Week 8 Pick: Clemson vs. Miami Total Bet

by | Last updated Oct 19, 2023 | cfb

Clemson Tigers (4-2 SU, ATS 2-2) vs Miami Hurricanes (4-2 SU, ATS 3-2)

Date: Saturday, October 21st

Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL

TV: ACCN

Point Spread: Clem -4/Mia +4 (Deposit $100 and get $100 FREE w/code PREDICTEM at Betnow!)

Money Line: Tigers -176/Canes +142

Over/Under: 48.5

The Clemson Tigers and Miami Hurricanes matchup in an Atlantic Coast showdown at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL. The over/under for this matchup is currently 48.5 while Clemson is favored by -4.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

The most recent time Clemson and Miami met up, Clemson walked away with a 40-10 win. Defensively, the Tigers held Miami to just 68 passing yards. On offense, Clemson went 14/19 on 3rd down and compiled 447 yards of total offense.

Clemson Tigers Recent Form:

Clemson’s record has improved to 4-2 following their 17-12 win against Wake Forest as they prepare for this week’s showdown with Miami.

The over/under line going into this matchup was 53.5, resulting in a hit for the under. At kick-off, Clemson was favored by 21, resulting in an ATS loss despite a straight-up win.

Quarterback Cade Klubnik did not throw for a touchdown in the team’s win over Wake Forest, but he did rush for one touchdown. Overall, he had a completion percentage of 64.3% and threw for 131 yards.

The top rusher for Clemson against Wake Forest was Will Shipley. He gained 97 rushing yards and scored one time in 19 attempts. In the passing game, Beaux Collins finished with a team-high 50 receiving yards while averaging 10.0 yards per reception.

Defensively, Clemson allowed a total of 262 yards to Wake Forest. This includes giving up 35 yards allowed on the ground and 227 passing yards. Looking at this week’s game, the Clemson defense stands at 55th in points allowed, permitting 19.3 points on average per game. So far, opposing teams have managed 175.5 passing yards per game against them (29th). On the ground, they’re conceding 86.3 rushing yards, ranking them 13th in college football.

Away Injury Report

FullName Position InjuryBodyPart InjuryStatus
Sheridan Jones CB Illness Questionable
Walker Parks OL Lower Body Out
Nate Wiggins CB Knee Questionable
Cole Turner WR Hip Out
Antonio Williams WR Ankle Questionable
Vic Burley DT Knee Out
Misun Kelley WR Redshirt Out
Jay Haynes RB Ankle Questionable

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Miami Hurricanes Recent Form:

Despite dropping their most recent game by a score of 41-31 to North Carolina, the Miami Hurricanes still have an above .500 record of 4-2 as they take on Clemson.

Looking at the over/under in this matchup, the line was 57 and with their 72 points, the over hit. Against the spread, Miami went into the game as 3-point underdogs, giving them an ATS and straight-up loss.

In the passing attack, Tyler Van Dyke had a big game through the air vs. North Carolina, throwing for 391 yards while completing 31 of his 48 attempts. Overall, he averaged 12.6 yards per completion and finished with a passer rating of 100.26.

Henry Parrish Jr. took the ball 13 times and led the team with 73 rushing yards, though he did not manage to find the endzone on the ground in the game against North Carolina. Jacolby George was the go-to receiver for the team, finding the endzone one time and securing six balls for 125 yards.

The Hurricanes’ defense finished the game by giving up 508 total yards to North Carolina. The team’s run defense allowed 235 yards rushing compared to 273 in the passing game. In terms of passing yards allowed per game, Miami’s defense is ranked 120th. Opponents, on average, attempt 32.3 passes against the Hurricanes. They are allowing 19 PPG, which places them 54th in college football. Their rush defense ranks 14th in the NCAA.

Home Injury Report

FullName Position InjuryBodyPart InjuryStatus
Samson Okunlola OL Lower Body Out
Mark Fletcher Jr. RB Foot Doubtful

Betting Trends

  • Looking at Clemson’s five most recent road games, they have put together a record vs. the spread of 3-2.
  • Miami’s ATS record at home (last three) is 1-2.
  • Looking back at the last ten times Miami went into a game as the underdog, their ATS mark was 5-5.
  • Clemson is 5-5 in their last ten games as the favorite.

Free Pick

Both Clemson and Miami boast strong defensive units capable of stifling each other’s offenses. Clemson’s alarming inefficiency in the red zone further supports a low-scoring outcome. Additionally, the run-heavy offensive strategies from both teams are likely to eat up the clock, reducing the number of scoring opportunities. Turnover margins also play a role; Clemson’s knack for taking the ball away could disrupt Miami’s scoring drives.

In a nutshell, the strong defenses, Clemson’s red zone struggles, time-consuming rushing attacks, and turnover tendencies combine to make a compelling case for a total score under 49 points in this Clemson vs. Miami showdown.

Best Parlays

2 Team Parlay 3 Team Parlay 4 Team Parlay
sportsbetting 2.64 to 1 6 to 1 12.3 to 1
Bovada 2.64 to 1 5.95 to 1 12.3 to 1
Mybookie 2.64 to 1 5.95 to 1 12.3 to 1