Angels vs. Orioles Odds & Predictions 7/10/22

by | Jul 10, 2022 | mlb

Los Angeles Angels vs Baltimore Orioles
Date: Sunday, July 10th, 12:05 ET
Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
TV: Peacock
Money Line: Angels -110 / Orioles -110 (Bovada)
Total Line: 9.0

STARTING PITCHING

Los Angeles: Jose Suarez (3-4, 4.30) Baltimore: Austin Voth (0-0, 7.20)

Angels Projected Lineup

Max Stassi C Michael Stefanic 2B Jared Walsh 1B Luis Rengifo 2B Taylor Ward RF Jonathan Villar 3B Brandon Marsh LF DH Shohei Ohtani Mike Trout CF Jose Suarez P

Orioles Projected Lineup

Ramon Urias SS Rougned Odor 2B Anthony Santander RF Adley Rutschman C Austin Hays LF Jorge Mateo SS Ryan Mountcastle 1B Cedric Mullins CF Trey Mancini 1B Austin Voth P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Los Angeles Angels: 38-48-0 SU / OU 35-44-7 / Run Line W/L 39-47-0 Baltimore Orioles: 42-44-0 SU / OU 37-46-3 / Run Line W/L 54-32-0

The Baltimore Orioles host the Los Angeles Angels on Sunday, July 10th at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 12:05 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Baltimore as the favorite (-110), with an OU line set at 9.0.

Recent Form

After suffering a 1 run loss to the Orioles (1-0), the Angels will look to get back in the win column. Despite the loss, Los Angeles’s pitching staff gave up only 1 run on 5 hits. On offense, the Angels finished with 0 runs on 5 hits. Angels suffered the loss, despite being favored at -120.0. So far, the team has been the favorite in 60 of their games, winning at a rate of 55%. This matchup remained below the over-under line set at 8.5 runs. With this result, Los Angeles’s over-under record dropped even further, moving to just 35-44-7.

The Angels will be hoping to pick up a win in today’s matchup, as they have gone just 1-4 over their last 5 games. This mark has come on an average run margin of just -3. A key reason for Los Angeles’s recent struggles is an offense averaging just 2.2 runs per game over their last 5 contests, compared to a season average of 3.98. Los Angeles’s overall series record is just 11-13-3.

The Orioles will look to add another win, as in their last game, they defeated the Angels by a score of 1-0. In the winning effort, the team’s pitchers held the Angels to 0 runs and 5 hits. At the plate, the Orioles only came through for 1 run on 5 hits. Despite being the underdogs, getting 100.0 on the moneyline, the Orioles still picked up the win. In their 70 games as the underdog, their straight-up win percentage sits at 46.0%. With this result, the Orioles and Angels combined to fall below the over-under line of 8.5 runs. This result comes as no surprise, as the team’s over-under record is just 37-46-3.

Over their last 5 games, the Orioles have not lost a game, going 5-0. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of +7 (last 5). Baltimore is still playing winning baseball, even with their offense averaging just 4.4 runs per game, compared to a season-long mark of 4.08. On the season, Baltimore has won more than half of their series, going 12-11-4.

Pitching Matchup

The Los Angeles Angels will send Jose Suarez to the mound with an overall record of 1-2. To date, Suarez has an ERA of 4.30 while lasting an average of 4.13 innings per appearance. Opposing teams have hit the ball well against the left-hander, with a batting average of 0.273. Opposing batters have been able to drive the ball with power against Suarez, averaging 1.45 homers per 9 innings pitched. Up to this point, Suarez has a strikeout percentage of just 23.0% and a per-game average of 4.22. Throughout the season, Suarez has avoided walking batters, allowing just 4.06 per contest.

For the Orioles, starting pitcher Austin Voth has a record of 0-1. To date, he has an ERA of 7.20 while lasting an average of 0.96 innings per appearance. Opposing teams have hit the ball well against the right-hander, with a batting average of 0.386. Home runs have been an issue for Voth, as he is allowing an average of 1.98 per 9 innings pitched. Voth is in the bottom half of the league in strikeouts, averaging just 0.95 K’s per game. This includes a strikeout percentage of 19.0%. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 2.89 walks per contest.

Los Angeles vs Baltimore History

Today’s matchup between the Los Angeles Angels and Baltimore Orioles will be their 7th meeting of the season. Baltimore holds the edge in the series at 5-1. Through 6 games, the series’ over-under record is 2-3, with the average run total sitting at 13.83 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 1.5 runs. Last season, Los Angeles picked up the series win, 4 games to 2. In these 6 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 5-1. Last year, the Angels and Orioles averaged 13.83 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 4.5 runs per contest.

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Angels’s last 9 games when playing Baltimore
  • Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Los Angeles Angels at Baltimore Orioles Prediction

Heading into Sunday’s American League matchup between Los Angeles and Baltimore, I expect today’s game to play out much differently than yesterday’s 1-0 pitchers duel. Neither Jose Suarez or Austin Voth have had regular time as the starter, which should put extra stress on each team’s bullpen. I recommend taking the over at 9 runs.

Free MLB Pick: Over 9 Runs

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