Arizona vs. Washington MLB Runline Pick
Date: Tuesday, June 6th, 7:05 ET
Location: Nationals Park
TV: MASN2
Money Line: Diamondbacks -154/Nationals +130
Total Line: 9.5
Betting Preview
Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Washington Nationals and the Diamondbacks on Tuesday, June 6th at Nationals Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.
Betting Odds
| ML | RL | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | -154 | -1.5 | O 9.5 (-111) |
| WSH | +130 | +1.5 | U 9.5 (-109) |
Diamondbacks vs. Nationals Projected Lineup
| Batting Order | Position | |
|---|---|---|
| Pavin Smith | 1 | RF |
| Ketel Marte | 2 | 2B |
| Corbin Carroll | 3 | CF |
| Christian Walker | 4 | 1B |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | 5 | LF |
| Josh Rojas | 6 | 3B |
| Gabriel Moreno | 7 | C |
| Jake McCarthy | 8 | RF |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 9 | SS |
| Tommy Henry | – | SP |
| Batting Order | Position | |
|---|---|---|
| Lane Thomas | 1 | RF |
| Luis García | 2 | 2B |
| Joey Meneses | 3 | DH |
| Jeimer Candelario | 4 | 3B |
| Stone Garrett | 5 | RF |
| Dominic Smith | 6 | 1B |
| Keibert Ruiz | 7 | C |
| Alex Call | 8 | CF |
| CJ Abrams | 9 | SS |
| Jake Irvin | – | SP |
Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record
Arizona Diamondbacks: 35-25 SU / OU 28-29 / Runline 35-25
Heading into their game vs. the Nationals, the Diamondbacks have a record of 35-25 and have dropped two straight games. Currently they are tied for first in the NL West and have an overall series record of 11-4-3. At home, they have gone 20-14 and 15-11 on the road.
- The Diamondbacks have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.3.
- The Diamondbacks have been favored in 45.0% of their games and have runline records of 18-16 and 17-9 at home and on the road, respectively
- So far, the Diamondbacks have an over/under record of just 28-29.
If the Nationals are going to climb out of last place in the NL East, they will need to turn things around with a win over the Diamondbacks. Heading into the game, the Nationals have lost two straight games and stand with an overall record of 25-34. On the road, the Nationals are 13-15 and 12-19 at home. The team’s overall series record is 6-10-2.
- The Nationals have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of -0.6.
- The Nationals have been favored in 5.1% of their games and have runline records of 15-16 and 21-7 at home and on the road, respectively
- So far, the Nationals have an over/under record of just 28-29.
Pitching Matchup
| Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Henry | 8 | 7 | 41 | 3-1 | 3.73 | 1.24 | 6 |
Coming in with a record of 3-1, Tommy Henry will get the start for the Diamondbacks. Through eight appearances, he has an ERA of 3.73 and batting average allowed of .233. Opponents have walked 16 times vs. Henry along with 25 strikeouts. Henry’s WHIP stands at 1.24 with a SLG allowed of .420.
Tommy Henry earned a win and a quality start in his previous game, leading his team to a 6-0 win over the Rockies. He allowed zero runs and two hits across seven innings.
| Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Irvin | 6 | 6 | 27 | 1-3 | 5.67 | 1.63 | 4 |
The Nationals will turn to starter Jake Irvin who has an overall record of 1-3. After six appearances, his ERA is 5.67 and he has a K/9 figure of 0.8. Also, he has compiled a FIP of 5.80 and an OBP of .367.
Jake Irvin is coming off an outing against the Dodgers in which he allowed four runs on eight hits in five innings of work, taking the loss. The Nationals lost the game by a score of 9-3.
Diamondbacks vs. Nationals Offense Outlook
As of now, the Diamondbacks are one of the top home run hitting teams in baseball, with a total of 68 home runs (10th). Their overall performance has been impressive, averaging 5.0 runs per game with a collective batting average of .259. When playing on the road, their slugging percentage is .415 compared to .428 at home.
Arizona Diamondbacks Top Bats
| BA | OBP | SLG | RBI | HR | SB | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll | .286 | .373 | .523 | 25 | 10 | 16 |
| Ketel Marte | .274 | .336 | .479 | 25 | 9 | 6 |
| Christian Walker | .254 | .318 | .483 | 36 | 12 | 1 |
Arizona Diamondbacks Top Hitters: Last Five Games
| Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll | .307 | 6 | 4 | 1 | .547 |
| Ketel Marte | .190 | 4 | 4 | 1 | .440 |
| Christian Walker | .396 | 6 | 3 | 1 | .729 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | .291 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .521 |
| Pavin Smith | .250 | 2 | 3 | 0 | .375 |
After 59 games, the Nationals are ranked 18th in the league with an average of 4.3 runs per game. Washington ranks 18th in home runs (46) while their overall batting average is .265. On the road, they have a BA of .255 and .261 at home.
Washington Nationals Top Hitters vs. Lefties
| Player | BA | HR | SLG | WOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lane Thomas | .342 | 4 | .575 | .422 |
| Dominic Smith | .329 | 0 | .355 | .330 |
| Joey Meneses | .276 | 0 | .382 | .309 |
| Luis García | .270 | 1 | .397 | .284 |
| Alex Call | .266 | 1 | .375 | .339 |
Washington Nationals Top Hitters: Last Five Games
| Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeimer Candelario | .233 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .533 |
| Keibert Ruiz | .333 | 5 | 4 | 3 | .958 |
| Luis García | .250 | 6 | 3 | 2 | .530 |
| Joey Meneses | .420 | 8 | 4 | 0 | .560 |
| Alex Call | .292 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .292 |
Free MLB Pick
After a rough start to his MLB career last season, Tommy Henry has pitched well in 2023. He has a sub 4.00 ERA and a reasonable 1.24 WHIP. He comes into this match off arguably the best outing of the season, pitching seven shutout innings and allowing just two hits. My only concern here is his performance on the road, where he is 2-0 but has a 5.74 ERA. That said, his latest road start was a big improvement going 5 2/3 innings and allowing two runs. The Nats rookie starter Jake Irwin has gone the opposite direction. After pitching 10 2/3 innings and allowing just one run in his first two starts, he has 16 runs in his next four starts pitching just 16 1/3 innings. I think the D’Backs get back on track here, but I don’t like laying -145, so take Arizona -1.5 +103.
