Astros vs. Mariners Recommended Bet 5/27/22

by | May 27, 2022 | mlb

Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners
Date: Friday, May 27th, 09:40 ET
Location: T-Mobile Park
TV: ATT SportsNet-SW
Money Line: Astros -200 / Mariners +165
Total Line: 7.0
(Get the best odds for every day >>> Dimeline Sportsbooks)

STARTING PITCHING

Houston: Justin Verlander (6-1, 1.22)
Seattle: Chris Flexen (1-6, 4.98)

Astros Projected Lineup

Jeremy Peña SS
Chas McCormick LF
Yuli Gurriel 1B
Kyle Tucker RF
Alex Bregman 3B
Martín Maldonado C
Yordan Alvarez LF
Jose Altuve 2B
Michael Brantley LF
Justin Verlander P

Mariners Projected Lineup

Kyle Lewis CF
Cal Raleigh C
Jesse Winker LF
Julio Rodriguez CF
Taylor Trammell RF
Eugenio Suárez 3B
J.P. Crawford SS
Adam Frazier 2B
Ty France 1B
Chris Flexen P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Houston Astros: 29-16-0 SU / OU 12-33-0 / Run Line W/L 23-22-0
Seattle Mariners: 18-27-0 SU / OU 24-20-1 / Run Line W/L 21-24-0

The Seattle Mariners host the Houston Astros on Friday, May 27th at T-Mobile Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 09:40 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Houston as the favorite (-200), with an OU line set at 7.0.

Recent Form

The Houston Astros will look to add another win to their resume after pulling out a slim 2-1 win over the Cleveland. Overall, the team’s pitching staff limited the Cleveland to 1 run on 5 hits. The team was able to pick up the win despite scoring just 2 runs on their 6 hits. Heading into this game, Houston was the betting favorite, at -180.0. So far, the team has been the favorite in 36 of their games, winning at a rate of 69.0%. Combined, the Astros and Cleveland fell short of the over-under betting line of 8.5 runs. So far, Houston has been a good candidate to fall below the betting lines, as their over-under record sits at just 12-33-0.

The Astros are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 4-1 over their last 5 games. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at 4. Houston comes into the game struggling on offense, averaging 3.4 over their last 5. This figure is down from their season average of 4.22. So far, Houston has won over half of their 14 series played, going 8-5-1.

The Mariners will look to get back on track after dropping their last game by a score of 4-2 to the Athletics. Even in the loss, the pitching staff allowed just 4 runs on 8 hits. At the plate, the Mariners only came through for 2 runs on 5 hits. Leading into the game, Seattle was the betting favorite at -170.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 18 games, winning at a rate of 50.0%. With this result, the Mariners and the Athletics combined to fall below the over-under line of 7.0 runs. Seattle still has an above .500 OU record at (24-20-1).

In their last 5 contests, Mariners have just 1 win, going 1-4. This recent slump is backed by a scoring margin of -8 over their last 5 games. In their 5 most recent contests, the team is scoring at a rate of 4.6, similar to their season-long average of 3.96. Seattle has a below .500 series record of just 4-9-1.

Pitching Matchup

Houston will roll with Justin Verlander (6-1) as their starter. To date, Verlander has an ERA of 1.22 while lasting an average of 6.4 innings per appearance. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.161. So far, Verlander has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 0.7 home runs per 9 innings. Verlander is in the bottom half of the league in strikeouts, averaging just 6.125 K’s per game. This includes a strikeout percentage of 26.0%. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 1.57 walks per contest.

Seattle will roll with Chris Flexen (1-6) as their starter. So far, Flexen has put together an ERA of 4.98. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.39 innings. Opposing teams have hit the ball well against the right-hander, with a batting average of 0.278. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below-average rate against Flexen, as he is allowing just 1.88 per 9 innings. Flexen has accumulated a strikeout percentage of 17.0% and a per-game average of 3.875. Throughout the season, Flexen has avoided walking batters, allowing just 3.12 per contest.

Houston vs Seattle History

For the season, Houston Astros and Seattle Mariners will be playing their 6th game of the season. So far, Houston is leading the season series, 4-2. Through 6th games, the series’ over-under record is 3-3, with the average run total sitting at 9.37 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 5.17 runs. Going back to last year, Houston won the season series, 11 games to 8. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 11-7-1, with the average run total being 9.37 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 3.79 runs per contest.

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston’s last 8 games
  • Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle’s last 7 games
  • Seattle is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Houston

Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners Prediction

Heading into Friday’s matchup between Seattle and Houston, the Astros are the heavy favorites -200 on the moneyline. At this price, there isn’t a lot of value on the moneyline. However, I see the Astros winning by multiple runs, as Justin Verlander figures to be stingy against the Mariners’ offense. In addition, Seattle has lost their last 5 games with Chris Flexen on the mound.

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