Astros vs. Nationals Odds & Pick 5/13/22

by | May 13, 2022 | mlb

Houston Astros vs Washington Nationals
Date: Friday, May 13th, 07:05 ET
Location: Nationals Park
TV: ATT SportsNet-SW
Money Line: Astros -155 / Nationals +130
Total Line: 8.0
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STARTING PITCHING

Houston: Framber Valdez (1-2, 3.34)
Washington: Josiah Gray (4-2, 3.45)

Astros Projected Lineup

Jeremy Peña SS
Chas McCormick LF
Yuli Gurriel 1B
Kyle Tucker RF
Alex Bregman 3B
Martín Maldonado C
Yordan Alvarez LF
Jose Altuve 2B
Michael Brantley LF
Framber Valdez P

Nationals Projected Lineup

Maikel Franco 3B
Alcides Escobar 2B
Keibert Ruiz C
Lane Thomas LF
Juan Soto RF
Victor Robles CF
Nelson Cruz CF
Josh Bell 1B
César Hernández 2B
Josiah Gray P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Houston Astros: 21-11-0 SU / OU 9-23-0 / Run Line W/L 17-15-0
Washington Nationals: 11-22-0 SU / OU 14-16-3 / Run Line W/L 13-20-0

The Washington Nationals host the Houston Astros on Friday, May 13th at Nationals Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:05 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Houston as the favorite (-155), with an OU line set at 8.0.

Recent Form

The Houston Astros are coming off a 5 run win over Minnesota by a score of 5-0. On their way to the victory, the pitching staff gave up 0 runs on 7 hits. The Astros benefited from an offense that generated 5 runs on 9 hits. Heading into this game, Houston was the betting favorite, at -115.0. Through 25 games as the favorite, the team has found the win column at a rate of 72.0%. Combined, the Astros and Minnesota fell short of the over-under betting line of 8.0 runs. With this result, Houston’s over-under record dropped even further, moving to just 9-23-0.

Over the Astros’ last 5 games, they have not lost a contest, going 5-0. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at 24. Offensively, the team has put up 29 runs in their last 5 games. Houston’s season average comes in at 4.09 (16th. So far, Houston has won over half of their 10 series played, going 5-4-1.

Washington will be looking to move on from a tough loss to the Mets by the score of 4-1. Even in the loss, the pitching staff allowed just 4 runs on 5 hits. At the plate, the Nationals only came through for 1 run on 4 hits. This loss came as no surprise, as Washington came into the game as the underdog, getting 130.0. In their 27 games as the underdog, their straight-up win percentage sits at 33.0%. With this result, the Nationals and the Mets combined to fall below the over-under line of 9.0 runs. Now, Washington had an over-under record of 14-16-3.

In their last 5 contests, Nationals have just 2 wins, going 2-3. Even though Washington has notched just 2 in their last 5 games, they still have a run differential in this stretch (3). In their 5 most recent contests, the team is scoring at a rate of 4.4 runs per game, similar to their season-long average of 4.12. Washington has a below .500 series record of just 2-7-1.

Pitching Matchup

Houston will roll with Framber Valdez (1-2) as their starter. So far, Valdez has put together an ERA of 3.34. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.35 innings. So far, Valdez has a batting average allowed of 0.227. So far, Valdez has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 0.28 home runs per 9 innings. Overall, he is averaging 4.33 per game, on a K rate of 19.0%. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 4.18 walks per outing.

Josiah Gray gets the start for the Nationals, with an overall record of 4-2. To date, Gray has an ERA of 3.45 while lasting an average of 5.18 innings per appearance. So far, Gray has a batting average allowed of 0.219. Opposing batters have been able to drive the ball with power against Gray, averaging 1.45 homers per 9 innings pitched. In terms of strikeouts, Josiah Gray has a strong strikeout percentage of 26.0%, including a per game average of 5.66. Command has been a problem for Gray, as he is giving up 4.6 walks per outing.

Houston vs Washington History

Today’s game between Houston Astros and Washington Nationals is their matchup of the year.

Betting Trends

  • Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
  • Astros are 12-1 in their last 13 games following a win.
  • Nationals are 24-50 in their last 74 games following a loss.
  • Nationals are 16-36 in their last 52 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Houston Astros at Washington Nationals Prediction

The Astros come into today’s matchup, as one of the hottest teams in baseball, and there is no reason to bet against them in Washington. Even though Nationals starter Josiah Gray has some solid overall numbers, he has been susceptible to giving up the long ball. I recommend going for the bigger payday by taking Houston -1.5 runs.

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