Astros vs. Royals Free Pick 6/3/22

by | Last updated Jun 3, 2022 | mlb

Houston Astros vs Kansas City Royals
Date: Friday, June 3rd, 08:10 ET
Location: Kauffman Stadium
TV: ATT SportsNet-SW
Money Line: Astros -145 / Royals +122
Total Line: 8.5
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Houston: Jose Urquidy (4-2, 4.8)
Kansas City: Brady Singer (2-0, 2.49)

Astros Projected Lineup

Jeremy Peña SS
Chas McCormick LF
Yuli Gurriel 1B
Kyle Tucker RF
Alex Bregman 3B
Martín Maldonado C
Yordan Alvarez LF
Jose Altuve 2B
Michael Brantley LF
Jose Urquidy P

Royals Projected Lineup

Carlos Santana 1B
Emmanuel Rivera 3B
MJ Melendez C
Hunter Dozier RF
Nicky Lopez 2B
Salvador Perez C
Bobby Witt Jr. SS
Whit Merrifield CF
Andrew Benintendi LF
Brady Singer P


Houston Astros: 33-18-0 SU / OU 13-38-0 / Run Line W/L 25-26-0
Kansas City Royals: 16-33-0 SU / OU 26-21-2 / Run Line W/L 19-30-0

The Kansas City Royals host the Houston Astros on Friday, June 3rd at Kauffman Stadium. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 08:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Houston as the favorite (-145), with an OU line set at 8.5.

Recent Form

The Houston Astros will look to add another win to their resume after pulling out a slim 5-4 win over the Athletics. For the game, Houston’s pitching staff allowed 4 runs on 4 hits. The Astros benefited from an offense that generated 5 runs on 11 hits. Heading into their last game, Houston was the betting favorite at -210.0. Through 42 games as the favorite, the team has found the win column at a rate of 69.0%. Together, the Astros and Athletics combined to surpass the over-under betting line set at 7.5 runs. Even with this game going over the total, Houston still has an over-under record of just 13-38-0.

In the Astros’ last 5 games, they are above .500, going 4-1. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of +2. Houston has put together this record, despite averaging just 3.0 runs per game, compared their season average of 4.04. So far, Houston has won over half of their 16 series played, going 9-6-1.

Kansas City is coming off a 4 run loss to Guardians. Dropping the game 4-0. For the game, the pitching staff held the Guardians to 4 runs on 8 hits. At the plate, the Royals failed to score on their 7 hits. Leading into Kansas City’s loss, they were the underdogs, getting 125.0 on the moneyline. So far, the team has gone into 38 games as the underdog, still finding the win column at a rate of 28.9%. With this result, the Royals and Guardians combined to fall below the over-under line of 9.0 runs. Kansas City still has an above .500 over-under record at (26-21-2).

The Royals come into today’s game looking to turn things around, as they are just 1-4 over their last 5 games. This recent slump is backed by a scoring margin of -13 over their last 5 games. Even with their recent struggles, the offense has been steady, averaging 3.2 runs per game. This is right in line with their season average of 3.71. Kansas City has a below .500 series record of just 3-11-2.

Pitching Matchup

Houston will roll with Jose Urquidy (4-2) as their starter. So far, Urquidy has put together an ERA of 4.8. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.0 innings. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.332. Home runs have been an issue for Urquidy, as he is allowing an average of 1.6 per 9 innings pitched. Up to this point, Urquidy has a strikeout percentage of just 17.0% and a per game average of 3.78. Throughout the season, Urquidy has avoided walking batters, allowing just 1.4 per contest.

The Kansas City Royals will send Brady Singer to the mound with an overall record of 2-0. Through 6 appearances, Singer has an ERA of just 2.49 while averaging 4.18 innings per appearance. So far, batters are hitting just 0.223 against him. In addition, to his strong BA allowed, he has been able to limit power, allowing just 0.72 home runs allowed per 9 innings. Singer is in the bottom half of the league in strikeouts, averaging just 4.33 K’s per game. This includes a strikeout percentage of 26.0%. Throughout the season, Singer has avoided walking batters, allowing just 1.42 per contest.

Houston vs Kansas City History

Today’s matchup between the Houston Astros and Kansas City Royals will be their first meeting of the season. Dating back to last season, the Kansas City picked up 4 wins compared to 3, taking the season series. The average scoring margin in these games was 2.57 with an over under record of 2-4-1. Between the games, the average run total was 7.71 runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston’s last 7 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston’s last 7 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City’s last 5 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 10 of Kansas City’s last 13 games

Houston Astros at Kansas City Royals Prediction

Heading into Friday’s matchup between Houston and Kansas City, the Astors have been the much better team all season long. However, given that they are facing Brady Singer, the Astros are just -145 on the moneyline. For today’s matchup, I recommend taking the Royals to pull off the upset, led by another strong outing from Singer, who currently has a WHIP of just .99.

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