Baltimore Orioles vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds, Prediction & Analysis

by | Last updated Jul 26, 2023 | mlb

Baltimore Orioles vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Date: Wednesday, July 26th, 6:05 ET
Location: Citizens Bank Park
TV: NSPPH
Money Line: Orioles -104/Phillies -116
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Orioles on Wednesday, July 26th at Citizens Bank Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
BAL -104 -1.5 O 9 (-118)
PHI -116 +1.5 U 9 (-104)

Orioles vs. Phillies Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Austin Hays 1 LF
Adley Rutschman 2 C
Anthony Santander 3 RF
Gunnar Henderson 4 3B
Jordan Westburg 5 2B
Ryan Mountcastle 6 1B
Ramón Urías 7 3B
Colton Cowser 8 CF
Jorge Mateo 9 SS
Kyle Bradish SP


Batting Order Position
Kyle Schwarber 1 LF
Trea Turner 2 SS
Nick Castellanos 3 RF
Bryce Harper 4 DH
J.T. Realmuto 5 C
Bryson Stott 6 2B
Alec Bohm 7 1B
Brandon Marsh 8 CF
Jake Cave 9 LF
Ranger Suárez SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Baltimore Orioles: 62-39 SU / OU 51-43 / Runline 61-40
Philadelphia Phillies: 54-47 SU / OU 41-53 / Runline 41-60

The Orioles head into today’s game in first place in the AL East on a record of 62-39. Over their last ten games, they have put together an above .500 record of 6-4. At home, Baltimore is 30-20 and 32-19 on the road. Their overall series record comes in at 19-10-3.

  • The Orioles have covered the runline in four straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.5.
  • The Orioles have been favored in 45.5% of their games and have runline records of 23-27 and 38-13 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 54% of the Orioles’ 101 games at 51-43.

Heading into today’s action, the Phillies’ record of 54-47 has them sitting 2nd in the NL East. Currently, they are 11 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 2-3 and have a road and home record of 27-27 and 27-20, respectively. Philadelphia’s overall series record sits at 17-13-2.

  • The Phillies have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.1.
  • The Phillies have been favored in 63.4% of their games and have runline records of 16-31 and 25-29 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Phillies have an over/under record of just 41-53.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Kyle Bradish 18 18 97 6-5 3.05 1.13 9


The Orioles will turn to starter Kyle Bradish who has an overall record of 6-5. Through 18 appearances his ERA stands at 3.05 with a K/9 figure of 8.51. So far, he has put together of FIP of 3.52 to go along with an OBP of .288.

The Orioles are looking for another good outing from Kyle Bradish, as he finished with a quality start in his last outing. Despite, Bradish tossing six innings and allowing just two runs, the Orioles still lost to the Rays by a score of 3-0.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Ranger Suárez 13 13 73 2-5 4.07 1.40 7


Today will be Ranger Suárez’s 14th appearance this season, and he has an overall record of 2-5. His current ERA stands at 4.07 and OBP allowed of .320. So far, he struckout 67 batters and has a WHIP of 1.40. On the road, his ERA is 3.42 compared to 7.16 at home.

Ranger Suárez is coming off an outing against the Guardians in which he allowed four runs on eight hits in five innings of work, taking the loss. The Phillies lost the game by a score of 6-5.

Orioles vs. Phillies Offense Outlook

This season, the Orioles are ranked 9th in the league with an average of 4.9 runs per game. Baltimore is ranked 13th in home runs, with a total of 119 long balls. Their overall batting average is .250, including .239 on the road and .251 at home.

Baltimore Orioles Top Hitters vs. Lefties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Ryan Mountcastle .326 8 .674 .417
Adley Rutschman .292 3 .448 .381
Jorge Mateo .299 2 .448 .344
Austin Hays .266 3 .457 .323
Anthony Santander .265 4 .482 .376


Baltimore Orioles Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Ryan O’Hearn .400 5 2 2 .750
Ryan Mountcastle .479 5 4 1 .812
Gunnar Henderson .150 3 4 1 .300
Adam Frazier .400 4 2 0 .550
Jordan Westburg .083 1 1 1 .333


This season, Philadelphia is 17th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.5 runs per game. Currently, they have hit 110 home runs, placing them 19th. In terms of batting average, Philadelphia is 4th in the league. On the road, their BA of .245 is 10th, compared to 15th (.246) when playing at home.

Philadelphia Phillies Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Bryson Stott .299 7 .446 .336
Nick Castellanos .274 11 .453 .328
Trea Turner .258 5 .383 .297
Brandon Marsh .300 5 .484 .370
Alec Bohm .266 3 .350 .299


Philadelphia Phillies Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Bryson Stott .150 3 4 1 .350
Bryce Harper .300 6 5 1 .450
J.T. Realmuto .140 3 2 1 .260
Kyle Schwarber .050 1 2 0 .050
Alec Bohm .440 6 1 0 .490


Free MLB Pick

I like the Orioles in this spot. They have the better and more consistent starter with Kyle Bradish on the mound while the Phillies go with Lefty Ranger Suarez. They hit left-handed pitching well with a 23-20 record and averaged 5.9 runs per nine innings. Take Baltimore +100

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