Barking Dog: Padres vs. Dodgers 7/2/22

by | Jul 2, 2022 | mlb

San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Date: Saturday, July 2nd, 07:15 ET
Location: Dodger Stadium
TV: FOX
Money Line: Padres +122 / Dodgers -145 (Find the best sportsbooks >>>)
Total Line: 7.5

STARTING PITCHING

San Diego: Yu Darvish (7-3, 3.26) Los Angeles: Tyler Anderson (8-1, 3.23)

Padres Projected Lineup

Ha-seong Kim 3B Trent Grisham CF Eric Hosmer 1B Jose Azocar RF Austin Nola C Manny Machado 3B Luke Voit 1B Jurickson Profar LF Jake Cronenworth 1B Yu Darvish P

Dodgers Projected Lineup

Cody Bellinger CF Trayce Thompson RF Chris Taylor RF Justin Turner 3B Max Muncy 2B Gavin Lux LF Will Smith C Trea Turner SS Freddie Freeman 1B Tyler Anderson P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

San Diego Padres: 46-33-0 SU / OU 34-43-2 / Run Line W/L 41-38-0 Los Angeles Dodgers: 48-28-0 SU / OU 30-40-6 / Run Line W/L 44-32-0

The Los Angeles Dodgers host the San Diego Padres on Saturday, July 2nd at Dodger Stadium. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:15 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Los Angeles as the favorite (-145), with an OU line set at 7.5.

Recent Form

The Padres are hoping to get back on track after falling to the Dodgers by a score of 5-1. In the loss, San Diego’s pitchers gave up 5 runs on 10 hits. The Padres ended the game with just 1 run on 4 hits. The loss came as San Diego was the betting underdog, getting 150.0 on the moneyline. Together, the Padres and Dodgers stayed below the over-under line set at 7.5 runs. So far, San Diego has been a good candidate to fall below the betting line, as their over-under record sits at just 34-43-2.

After their 5 most recent games, the Padres have gone just 1-4. In this rough stretch of games, the team’s run differential comes in at -6. A key reason for San Diego’s recent struggles is an offense averaging just 3.4 runs per game over their last 5 contests, compared to a season average of 4.54. So far, San Diego has won over half of their 25 series played, going 13-8-4.

In their last game, the Los Angeles Dodgers picked up a 4 run win over the Padres by a score of 5-1. In the win, the pitching staff allowed just 1 run on 4 hits. In the victory, the Dodgers came up with 10 hits and 5 runs. Heading into action, Los Angeles was the favorite at -180.0. So far, the team has won 64.0% of the games in which they were favored. Combined, the Dodgers and Padres’ run total fell below the over-under line of 7.5 runs. Now, Los Angeles had an over-under record of 30-40-6.

In their last 5 games, the Dodgers have put together a record of 3-2. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of +3 (last 5). Los Angeles has benefited from strong pitching, as their offense has slipped in their last 5 games, averaging just 4.0 runs per game. Their overall average sits at 5.05. On the season, Los Angeles has won more than half of their series, going 16-8-1.

Pitching Matchup

The San Diego Padres will send Yu Darvish to the mound with an overall record of 7-3. In his previous outings, Darvish has lasted an average of 6.29 innings, putting together an ERA of just 3.26. Hits have been hard to come by against the right-hander, as his batting average allowed is just 0.214. Home runs have not been an issue for Darvish, as he is giving up just 0.61 HR/9. In terms of strikeouts, Yu Darvish has a strong strikeout percentage of 21.0%, including a per game average of 5.36. Throughout the season, Darvish has avoided walking batters, allowing just 1.83 per contest.

In today’s game, Los Angeles turns to starter Tyler Anderson. For the year, he has a record of 8-1. Through 14 appearances, Anderson has an ERA of just 3.23 while averaging 5.57 innings per appearance. This season opponents are hitting 0.23 against Anderson. So far, Anderson has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 0.92 home runs per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Tyler Anderson has a strong K% of 21.0%, including a per game average of 4.79. Anderson has done a good job at limiting walks, averaging just 1.5 per contest.

San Diego vs Los Angeles History

Today’s matchup between the San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers will be their 6th meeting of the season. Los Angeles holds the edge in the series at 4-1. Through 5 games, the series’ over-under record is 1-4, with the average run total sitting at 8.21 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 4.0 runs. Dating back to last season, the Los Angeles picked up 12 wins compared to 7, taking the season series. In these 19 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 10-8. Last year, the Padres and Dodgers averaged 8.21 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 2.84 runs per contest.

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego’s last 5 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Diego’s last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
  • LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Diego
  • LA Dodgers is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing San Diego

San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction

Heading into Saturday’s NL West showdown between San Diego and Los Angeles, the Dodgers are the favorite on the moneyline. However, I see LA struggling against Yu Darvish and his outstanding WHIP of just .98. I recommend taking the Padres to pull off the upset.

Free MLB Pick: Padres Moneyline

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