Bet the Runline: Angels vs. Braves 7/23/22

by | Last updated Jul 23, 2022 | mlb

Los Angeles Angels vs Atlanta Braves
Date: Saturday, July 23rd, 07:20 ET
Location: Truist Park
TV: Bally Sports Southeast
Money Line: Angels 165 / Braves -200
Total Line: 8.5 Find the best sign-up promotions >>>


Los Angeles: Patrick Sandoval (3-5, 3.0) Atlanta: Kyle Wright (11-4, 2.95)

Angels Projected Lineup

Phil Gosselin 2B Michael Stefanic 2B Jo Adell RF Jared Walsh 1B Brandon Marsh LF Max Stassi C Taylor Ward CF Luis Rengifo 3B DH Shohei Ohtani Patrick Sandoval P

Braves Projected Lineup

Adam Duvall RF Orlando Arcia 2B Marcell Ozuna LF Ronald Acuña Jr. RF Travis d’Arnaud C Austin Riley 3B Michael Harris II CF Matt Olson 1B Dansby Swanson SS Kyle Wright P


Los Angeles Angels: 39-53-0 SU / OU 40-46-7 / Run Line W/L 42-51-0 Atlanta Braves: 56-38-0 SU / OU 47-45-3 / Run Line W/L 49-46-0

The Atlanta Braves host the Los Angeles Angels on Saturday, July 23rd at Truist Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:20 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Atlanta as the favorite (-200), with an OU line set at 8.5.

Recent Form

The Angels will look to bounce back from a tough loss to the Braves by the score of 8-1. Los Angeles’s pitching staff finished the game by allowing 8 hits, leading to 8 runs. The Angels ended the game with just 1 run on 5 hits. Los Angeles’s loss came as the underdog, getting 130.0 on the moneyline. Together, the Angels and Braves combined to surpass the over-under betting line set at 7.0 runs. Games involving the Angels have stayed below the over-under line more than half of the time, at 40-46-7.

In their last 5 games, the Angels are below .500, at 1-4. This mark has come on an average run margin of just -16. On offense, Los Angeles’s offense has experienced a dip in production, averaging 2.4 runs per game over their last 5 contests. Los Angeles’s overall series record is just 11-16-3.

The Atlanta Braves will be looking to pick up another win, as they most recently defeated the Angels by 7 runs (8-1). In the win, the pitching staff allowed just 1 run on 5 hits. Offensively, they finished with 8 runs on 8 hits. Atlanta picked up the win while being favored at -154.0. So far, the team has won 67.0% of the games in which they were favored. The Braves and Angels went over the run total line set at 7.0 runs. For the season, the team’s over-under record is 47-45-3.

Across their last 5 contests, the Braves are above .500, going 4-1. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +11. The Braves’ offense has elevated their play over their last 5 games, averaging 6.0 runs per game, compared to their season average of 4.78. On the season, Atlanta has won more than half of their series, going 15-10-5.


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Pitching Matchup

Patrick Sandoval gets the start for the Angels, with an overall record of 3-5. Currently, Sandoval has an ERA of just 3.0 while pitching an average of 5.4 innings per outing. Across his previous starts, opposing teams have put together a batting average of 0.252. So far, Sandoval has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 0.44 home runs per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Patrick Sandoval has a strong strikeout percentage of 24.0%, including a per-game average of 5.8. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 4.11 walks per outing.

In today’s game, Atlanta turns to starter Kyle Wright. For the year, he has a record of 11-4. Through 18 appearances, Wright has an ERA of just 2.95 while averaging 6.11 innings per appearance. This season opponents are hitting 0.23 against Wright. Throughout the season, Wright has done a good job at limiting home runs, allowing 0.74 per 9 innings. Per game, Kyle Wright is averaging 5.94, on a strikeout percentage of 24.0%. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 2.78 walks per outing.

Los Angeles vs Atlanta History

Today’s matchup between the Los Angeles Angels and Atlanta Braves will be their 2nd meeting of the season. Currently, Atlanta is winning the season series 1-0.

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels’s last 5 games when playing Atlanta
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels’s last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Atlanta’s last 13 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta’s last 5 games

Los Angeles Angels at Atlanta Braves Prediction

Heading into Saturday’s Interleague showdown between Los Angeles and Atlanta, the Braves are the heavy favorite to come away with the win. I recommend taking Atlanta to win by multiple runs, as I expect the Angels to struggle vs Kyle Wright. While Atlanta has won 5 straight games with Wright on the mound, the Angels have not won with Patrick Sandoval on the mound since the middle of June.

Free MLB Pick: Atlanta Braves -1.5 Runline

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