Bet the Runline: Rockies vs. Dodgers

by | Oct 4, 2022 | mlb

Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Date: Tuesday October 4th, 10:10 ET
Location: Dodger Stadium
TV: FS1
Money Line: Rockies +280 / Dodgers -360
Total Line: 7.5

STARTING PITCHING

Colorado: Ryan Feltner (3-9, 6.01) Los Angeles: Julio Urías (17-7, 2.17)

Rockies Projected Lineup

Ezequiel Tovar SS Michael Toglia 1B Brendan Rodgers 2B Elehuris Montero 1B Elias Díaz C José Iglesias SS C.J. Cron 1B Randal Grichuk RF Yonathan Daza CF Ryan Feltner P

Dodgers Projected Lineup

Chris Taylor LF Cody Bellinger CF Max Muncy 3B Mookie Betts RF Justin Turner 3B Gavin Lux 2B Will Smith C Freddie Freeman 1B Trea Turner SS Julio Urías P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Colorado Rockies: 67-93-0 SU / OU 75-78-7 / Run Line W/L 84-76-0 Los Angeles Dodgers: 110-50-0 SU / OU 67-81-12 / Run Line W/L 96-64-0

The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Colorado Rockies on Tuesday October 4th at Dodger Stadium. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 10:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Los Angeles as the favorite (-360), with an OU line set at 7.5.

Recent Form

The Colorado Rockies will look to add another win to their resume after pulling out a slim 2-1 win over the LA Dodgers. On their way to the victory, the pitching staff gave up 1 run on 6 hits. On offense, Colorado’s lineup put together a total of 9 hits, leading to 2 runs. This victory came despite being the betting underdog, getting 290.0 on the moneyline. Together, the Rockies and LA Dodgers stayed below the over-under line set at 8.5 runs. With this result, Colorado’s over-under record dropped even further, moving to just 75-78-7.

In their last 5 games, the Rockies are below .500, at 2-3. This mark has come on an average run margin of just -9. A key reason for Colorado’s recent struggles is an offense averaging just 3.0 runs per game over their last 5 contests, compared to a season average of 4.33. Colorado’s overall series record is just 19-25-6.

In their last game, the Dodgers suffered a 1 run loss to the Rockies by a score of 2-1. Even in the loss, the pitching staff allowed just 2 runs on 9 hits. The Dodgers offense ended the game with just 1 run on 6 hits. Los Angeles came away with a loss, despite being favored on the moneyline (-380.0). For the season, the team has been favored in 156 games, winning at a rate of 70.0%. With this result, the Dodgers and Rockies combined to fall below the over-under line of 8.5 runs. This result comes as no surprise, as the team’s over-under record is just 67-81-12.

In their last 5 games, the Dodgers have put together a record of 3-2. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of +10 (last 5). Los Angeles has benefited from strong pitching, as their offense has slipped in their last 5 games, averaging just 4.6 runs per game. Their overall average sits at 5.24. On the season, Los Angeles has won more than half of their series, going 37-10-3.

Pitching Matchup

The Colorado Rockies will send Ryan Feltner to the mound with an overall record of 3-9. To date, Feltner has an ERA of 6.01 while lasting an average of 4.79 innings per appearance. Compared to other starters, the right-hander has a high BA allowed, currently sitting at 0.271. Home runs have been an issue for Feltner, as he is allowing an average of 1.48 per 9 innings pitched. In terms of strikeouts, Ryan Feltner has a strong strikeout percentage of 20.0%, including a per game average of 4.21. Command has been a problem for Feltner, as he is giving up 3.25 walks per outing.

The Los Angeles Dodgers will send Julio Urías to the mound with an overall record of 17-7. In his previous outings, Urías has lasted an average of 5.67 innings, putting together an ERA of just 2.17. So far, batters are hitting just 0.199 against him. Urías is allowing home runs at a rate of 1.11 per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Julio Urías has a strong K% of 24.0%, including a per-game average of 5.4. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 2.12 walks per outing.

Colorado vs Los Angeles History

Today’s matchup between the Colorado Rockies and Los Angeles Dodgers will be their 18th meeting of the season. Currently, Los Angeles is winning the season series 10-7. The over-under record in this series sits at 5-10. The average run total in these games is 9.63 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 3.53 runs. Dating back to last season, the Los Angeles picked up 13 wins compared to 6, taking the season series. In these 19 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 7-12. Last year, the Rockies and Dodgers averaged 9.63 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 3.11 runs per contest.

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado’s last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado’s last 5 games on the road
  • LA Dodgers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado
  • LA Dodgers is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Colorado

Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction

In Tuesday’s NL West showdown between Colorado and Los Angeles, the Dodgers will be sending Julio Urias to the mound for his final start of the regular season. When Urias has faced the Rockies, the team won 3 out of their 4 games and covered the runline twice. I see Los Angeles running away with this matchup. I like the Dodgers on the runline.

Free MLB Pick: Dodgers Runline

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