Bet the Total: Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox

by | Last updated May 17, 2023 | mlb

Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox
Date: Wednesday, May 17th, 7:10 ET
Location: Fenway Park
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Mariners +108/Red Sox -128 (You’re wasting money if you’re not betting at a bookie that offers MLB dimelines!)
Total Line: 9.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Boston Red Sox and the Mariners on Wednesday, May 17th at Fenway Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
SEA +108 +1.5 O 9.5 (-115)
BOS -128 -1.5 U 9.5 (-106)

Mariners vs. Red Sox Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Julio Rodríguez 1 CF
Ty France 2 1B
Jarred Kelenic 3 CF
Eugenio Suárez 4 3B
Cal Raleigh 5 C
Teoscar Hernández 6 RF
J.P. Crawford 7 SS
Jose Caballero 8 SS
Kolten Wong 9 2B
Marco Gonzales SP

 

Batting Order Position
Alex Verdugo 1 LF
Justin Turner 2 DH
Rob Refsnyder 3 RF
Rafael Devers 4 3B
Enrique Hernández 5 SS
Masataka Yoshida 6 LF
Jarren Duran 7 CF
Connor Wong 8 C
Enmanuel Valdez 9 2B
Brayan Bello SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Seattle Mariners: 21-21 SU / OU 20-22 / Runline 21-21
Boston Red Sox: 23-20 SU / OU 29-13 / Runline 23-20

With an overall record of 21-21, the Mariners are in 4th place in the AL West, trailing by five games. Over their last ten games, they are above .500 at 6-4. On the road, the Mariners have a mark of 11-9 while going 10-12 at home. Their overall series mark stands at 6-7.

 

  • The Mariners have covered the runline in 50.0% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.7
  • The Mariners have been favored in 73.8% of their games and have runline records of 9-13 and 12-8 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Mariners have an over/under record of just 20-22.

Heading into today’s action, the Red Sox’s record of 23-20 has them sitting 5th in the AL East. Currently, they are nine games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 1-4 and have a road and home record of 9-9 and 14-11, respectively. Boston’s overall series record sits at 8-4.

 

  • The Red Sox have covered the runline in 53.5% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.2
  • The Red Sox have been favored in 37.2% of their games and have runline records of 12-13 and 11-7 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 69% of the Red Sox’s 43 games at 29-13.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Marco Gonzales 7 7 36 3-0 4.42 1.39 4

Across seven appearances, Marco Gonzales has a slugging percentage allowed of .447 and enters with a WHIP of 1.39. His overall record is 3-0 on an ERA of 4.42. For the season, he has a total of 25 K’s, and is averaging 0.7 strikeouts per nine innings. Gonzales’ record on the road is 3-0 and 0-0 at home. This includes an ERA of 5.35 (road) and 4.90 (home), respectively.

Seattle is hoping that Marco Gonzales can help guide them to another win, as they defeated the Tigers (9-2) the last time he pitched. He finished the game with two earned runs on five hits across six innings.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Brayan Bello 5 5 23 2-1 5.01 1.59 5

With an overall record of 2-1, the Red Sox will give Brayan Bello the start. His ERA stands at 5.01 with a K/9 figure of 1.0 after making five appearances. Additionally, he has a FIP of 5.06 and an OBP of .362.

Brayan Bello earned a win and a quality start in his previous game, leading his team to a 5-2 win over the Braves. He allowed two runs and six hits across six innings.

Mariners vs. Red Sox Offense Outlook

Through 42 games the Mariners are 14th in the league at 4.5 runs per game. In terms of home runs, Seattle is 17th having gone deep 45 times. In terms of batting average, they have hit .229 including .230 on the road and .221 at home.

Seattle Mariners Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Mariners 42 4.5 (14th) 45 (17th) .229 (28th) .307 (25th) .307 (25th)

Seattle Mariners Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Teoscar Hernández .440 9 3 1 .690
Julio Rodríguez .270 6 4 1 .440
Cal Raleigh .358 5 4 2 .783
Eugenio Suárez .300 5 4 1 .450
Jarred Kelenic .170 4 4 1 .320

With 54 home runs hit so far this season (10th), the Red Sox are showing why they are one of the top home run hitting teams in baseball. They are averaging 5.5 runs per game and have a collective batting average of .268. The team’s slugging percentage is .471 at home and .394 on the road.

Boston Red Sox Top Hitters vs. Lefties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Alex Verdugo .259 0 .333 .316
Rob Refsnyder .304 1 .413 .356
Rafael Devers .228 3 .491 .328
Justin Turner .255 1 .431 .348
Masataka Yoshida .263 1 .368 .364

Boston Red Sox Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Jarren Duran .267 4 2 1 .483
Masataka Yoshida .280 5 3 0 .467
Alex Verdugo .257 5 6 0 .413
Justin Turner .180 4 3 1 .350
Triston Casas .433 5 1 1 .683

Free MLB Pick

Although a quick look at the starting pitcher’s overall statistics might make you think that there will be a lot of scoring in this game, the recent performances tell a different story. Marco Gonzales from the Seattle Mariners had a rough outing where he gave up eight runs in just three innings pitched. However, he has bounced back and delivered two consecutive quality starts in his most recent games. Furthermore, Gonzales has performed well against the current lineup of the opposing team, allowing a low batting average of .161 in 31 at-bats.

On the other side, the Boston Red Sox’s pitcher, Brayan Bello, had a shaky start to the season but has shown improvement in his last three games. He has managed to limit the opposing teams to two or fewer earned runs in each of those outings.

Considering these recent performances, it seems unlikely that there will be a high-scoring game. Therefore, it would be a good choice to bet on the total number of runs being under 9.5. Bet your MLB predictions for FREE this week by scoring a 100% real cash bonus up to $500 when you use bonus code PREDICTEM at Betnow Sportsbook!

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