Blue Jays vs. Mariners Game Picks & Predictions

by | Jul 9, 2022 | mlb

Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Saturday, July 9th, 10:10 ET

Location: T-Mobile Park

TV: ROOTNW

Money Line: Blue Jays -125 / Mariners +105

Total Line: 7.0

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STARTING PITCHING

Toronto: Alek Manoah (9-3, 2.33)
Seattle: Robbie Ray (7-6, 3.62)

Blue Jays Projected Lineup

Matt Chapman 3B
Santiago Espinal 2B
Teoscar Hernández RF
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF
Gabriel Moreno C
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B
Alejandro Kirk C
George Springer CF
Bo Bichette SS
Alek Manoah P

Mariners Projected Lineup

Adam Frazier LF
Dylan Moore RF
Carlos Santana 1B
Cal Raleigh C
Eugenio Suárez 3B
Sam Haggerty LF
Julio Rodriguez CF
J.P. Crawford SS
Ty France 1B
Robbie Ray P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Toronto Blue Jays: 45-39-0 SU / OU 46-38-1 / Run Line W/L 35-50-0
Seattle Mariners: 42-42-0 SU / OU 40-43-2 / Run Line W/L 44-41-0

The Seattle Mariners host the Toronto Blue Jays on Saturday, July 9th at T-Mobile Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 10:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Toronto as the favorite (-125), with an OU line set at 7.0.

Recent Form

The Blue Jays will look to bounce back from a tough loss to the Mariners by the score of 8-3. Toronto’s pitching staff finished the game by allowing 9 hits, leading to 8 runs. The Blue Jays ended the game with just 2 runs on 12 hits. This defeat came despite being favored at -115.0. So far, the team has been the favorite in 67 of their games, winning at a rate of 55.0%. This matchup remained below the over-under line set at 9.0 runs. However, for the season, Toronto still has an overall over-under record of 46-38-1.

In their last 5 games, the Blue Jays are below .500, at 1-4. In this rough stretch of games, the team’s run differential comes in at -14. Toronto’s offense is in the middle of a cold streak, as their offensive production has dipped to just 2.4 runs per game over their last 5 contests. So far, Toronto has won over half of their 27 series played, going 13-11-3.

Seattle is coming off a 3-run win over the Blue Jays (8-3). For the game, the pitching staff held the Blue Jays to 3 runs on 12 hits. Offensively, they finished with 5 runs on 9 hits. Seattle picked up the win while being favored at -105.0. So far, the team has won 59.0% of the games in which they were favored. With this result, the Mariners and Blue Jays combined to fall below the over-under line of 9.0 runs. This result comes as no surprise, as the team’s over-under record is just 40-43-2.

The Mariners come into the matchup looking to stay hot, going 5-0 over their last five contests. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +17. Overall, the Mariners are averaging 4.07 runs per contest. But, over their last 5 outings, they have been scoring at a clip of 5.2 runs per contest. On the season, Seattle has won more than half of their series, going 14-12-1.

Pitching Matchup

Alek Manoah gets the start for the Blue Jays, with an overall record of 9-3. In his previous outings, Manoah has lasted an average of 6.26 innings, putting together an ERA of just 2.33. Hits have been hard to come by against the right-hander, as his batting average allowed is just 0.213. Not only does Manoah have a strong batting average allowed, but he has also avoided giving up home runs. In his previous outings, opponents are averaging just 0.81 HR/9 Per game, Alek Manoah is averaging 5.62, on a strikeout percentage of 23.0%. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 1.88 walks per outing.

The Seattle Mariners will send Robbie Ray to the mound with an overall record of 7-6. Ray gets the start with an ERA of 3.62. On average, he has lasted 6.12 innings per appearance. Across his previous outings, opponents are batting 0.213 against Ray. Home runs have been a concern for Ray as he is allowing 1.3 per 9 innings. Per game, Robbie Ray is averaging 6.88, on a strikeout percentage of 28%. Command has been a problem for Ray, as he is giving up 3.11 walks per outing.

Toronto vs Seattle History

Today’s matchup between the Toronto Blue Jays and Seattle Mariners will be their 6th meeting of the season. Seattle holds the edge in the series at 3-2. Through 5 games, the series’ over-under record is 1-4, with the average run total sitting at 10.83 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 3.8 runs. Seattle won last year’s head-to-head series, grabbing 4 wins to 2. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 4-2, with the average run total being 10.83 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 4.17 runs per contest.

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone OVER in 19 of Toronto’s last 25 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto’s last 8 games when playing on the road against Seattle
  • Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • Seattle is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners Prediction

Heading into Saturday’s showdown between Toronto and Seattle, the Blue Jays are the slight favorite on the moneyline in what is expected to be a close game. Even though Alek Manoah hasn’t quite been himself of late, I expect him to have a bounce-back outing vs Seattle. Look for the Blue Jays to come away with the win.

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