Braves vs. Brewers Odds & Predictions 5/18/22

by | May 18, 2022 | mlb

Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Wednesday, May 18th, 1:10 ET

Location: American Family Field

TV: BSWI

Money Line: Braves +125/ Brewers -150 (BetNow - Deposit $100 to $500 and get a dollar for dollar matching 100% real cash bonus when you use bonus code PREDICTEM)

Total Line: 6.5

STARTING PITCHING

Atlanta: Merrill Kelly (3-1, 1.71)
Brewers: Tyler Anderson (3-0, 4.40)

Braves Projected Lineup

Ronald Acuna
Matt Olsen
Austin Riley
Marcell Ozuna
Ozzie Albies
Travis d’Arnaud
Dansby Swanson
Adam Duvall
Travis Demeritte

Brewers Projected Lineup

Luis Urias
Willy Adames
Christian Yelich
Hunter Renfroe
Tyrone Taylor
Rowdy Tellez
Lorenzo Cain
Victor Caratini
Kolten Wong

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Atlanta Braves: 17-20-0 SU / OU 20-15-2 / Run Line W/L 17-20-0
Milwaukee Brewers: 23-14-0 SU / OU 17-17-3 / Run Line W/L 16-21-0

The Milwaukee Brewers host the Atlanta Braves on Wednesday, May 18 th at American Family Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 1:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board has the Brewers as the favorite at -150 on the moneyline.

Recent Form

The Atlanta Braves are coming off a 3-0 win over the Brewers in game 2 of this 3 game series. The Braves picked up 3 runs on 6 hits. 2 of their runs came in the 8th inning off Milwaukee reliever Brad Boxberger. Tucker Davidson went 5 scoreless innings, giving up just 3 hits to Milwaukee.

With the win, the Braves have now won 2 of their past 3 games. In their last 2 contests, Milwaukee and Atlanta have combined for a total of just 4 runs.

In last night’s loss to Atlanta, the Brewers bats once again were not up to the task. Overall, they come up with just 5 hits. Starting pitcher Adrian Houser went for 6 innings without giving up a run.

Over Milwaukee’s last 3 games, the team’s offense has plated just 6 runners, averaging just 2 runs per game. The Brewers went on to lose 2 of these contests.

Pitching Matchup

Atlanta will be sending Max Fried to the mound for his 8th start of the season. So far, he has a 4-2 record with a 3.14 ERA. In these outings, he has racked up 41 strikeouts compared to just 4 walks. Fried comes into the game with an outstanding WHIP of just .98.

Milwaukee will be looking for another strong outing from reigning Cy Young winner Corbin Burnes. In today’s game, Burnes will be making his 8th start of the year and has an ERA of just 1.77. Opposing teams are struggling to score runs against him as his WHIP is just .79. Like 2021, Burnes is racking up strikeouts at an incredible rate, already posting 57 K’s.

Atlanta vs Philadelphia History

Wednesday’s matchup will be the 6th meeting of the season between Atlanta and Milwaukee. So far, the Braves have the upper hand at 3-2. The over-under record in these matchups is 2-3. Atlanta has covered the runline in the past 4 games.

Betting Trends

  • Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
  • Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee’s last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
  • Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Atlanta Braves at Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

Today’s matchup between Milwaukee and Atlanta is all about the starting pitching. With Corbin Burnes and Max Fried on the mound, the over-under betting line is set at just 6.5 runs. Even with this low total, I recommend taking the under. Throughout the season, the Brewers have struggled when facing quality starting pitching. With the past 2 meetings between Milwaukee and Atlanta featuring some outstanding pitching, I am sticking with that trend and taking the under.

Free MLB Pick: Under 6.5 Runs.

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