Braves vs. Mets Moneyline Play 8/18/22

by | Last updated Aug 26, 2022 | mlb

New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Thursday August 18th, 07:20 ET

Location: Truist Park


Money Line: Mets -121 / Braves +111 ( – Awesome live betting platform and FAST crypto payouts!)

Total Line: 7un -113


New York: Jacob deGrom (2-0, 1.62)
Atlanta: Max Fried (10-4, 2.6)


New York Mets: 76-42-0 SU / OU 59-50-9 / Run Line W/L 65-53-0
Atlanta Braves: 72-47-0 SU / OU 60-52-7 / Run Line W/L 62-57-0

The Atlanta Braves host the New York Mets on Thursday, August 18th at Truist Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:20 ET. The MLB Odds Board places the Mets as the favorite (-121), with an OU line set at 7.

Recent Form

New York looks to keep things rolling after taking down the Braves by the score of 9-7. The Braves came up with seven hits leading to seven runs against New York’s pitchers. The Mets lineup had a good night at the plate, coming up with 14 hits, leading to 9 runs. Heading into their last game, New York was the betting favorite at -160.0. So far, the team has been the favorite in 92 of their games, winning at a rate of 71.0%. With the over-under line set at 7.5 runs, the Mets and Braves combined to go over this total. So far, New York has an above .500 over-under record of 59-50-9.

The Mets are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 3-2 over their last five games. Despite their recent success, their last 5-run margin comes in at -8. New York has put together this record, despite averaging just 3.4 runs per game, compared to their season average of 4.76. So far, New York has won over half of their 37 series played, going 27-7-3.

In Atlanta’s last outing, they fell by a score of 9-7 to the Mets. In the game, the team’s pitching staff allowed a total of 14 hits, leading to nine runs. Offensively, they finished with seven runs on seven hits. This loss came as no surprise, as Atlanta came into the game as the underdog, getting 135.0. In their 20 games as the underdog, their straight-up win percentage sits at 20.0%. In terms of the over-under, the Braves and Mets combined to surpass the line of 7.5 runs. Overall, the team has gone over the betting line in over half of their games, going 60-52-7.

In their last five games, the Braves have put together a record of 4-1. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +21. Overall, the Braves are averaging 4.89 runs per contest. But, over their last five outings, they have been scoring at a clip of 6.8 runs per contest. On the season, Atlanta has won more than half of their series, going 19-12-6.

Pitching Matchup

New York will roll with Jacob deGrom (2-0) as their starter. In his previous outings, deGrom has lasted an average of 5.4 innings, putting together an ERA of just 1.62. So far, batters are hitting just 0.109 against him. Not only does deGrom have a strong batting average allowed, but he has also avoided giving up home runs. In his previous outings, opponents are averaging just 0.56 HR/9. Up to this point, deGrom has a strikeout percentage of just 50.0% and a per game average of 9.33. Throughout the season, deGrom has avoided walking batters, allowing just 0.54 per contest.

Atlanta will roll with Max Fried (10-4) as their starter. Currently, Fried has a strong ERA of just 2.60 while pitching an average of 6.28 innings per outing. In his previous outings, right-hander opponents are hitting 0.237 off the right-hander. So far, Fried has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 0.39 home runs per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Max Fried has a strong K% of 23.0%, including a per game average of 5.77. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 1.63 walks per outing.

New York vs Atlanta History

Today’s matchup between the New York Mets and Atlanta Braves will be their 16th meeting of the season. New York has the lead in the series at 9-6. The over-under record in this series sits at 10-4. The average run total in these games is 7.68 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 3.87 runs. Atlanta won last year’s head-to-head series, grabbing 10 wins to 9. In these 19 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 7-11. Last year, the Mets and Braves averaged 7.68 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 3.47 runs per game.

Betting Trends

  • NY Mets is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Mets’ last 9 games when playing Atlanta
  • Atlanta is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
  • Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves Prediction

Thurday’s showdown between New York and Atlanta features an outstanding pitching matchup between Jacob deGrom and Max Fried. In his first 3 outings, deGrom has been excellent on the mound, with New York winning 2 of his 3 starts. However, as he works back into action, deGrom has yet to go past the 6th inning. I expect this to continue, giving Atlanta some time to work against the bullpen. I like Atlanta on the moneyline.

Free MLB Pick: Braves Moneyline.


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