Braves vs. Rockies ML Pick 6/2/22

by | Jun 2, 2022 | mlb

Atlanta Braves (24-27) vs. Colorado Rockies (23-27)
When: 8:40 p.m., Thursday, June 2
Where: Coors Field, Denver
Moneyline: ATL -150/COL +125 (Get better odds >>>)
Runline: Braves -1.5/Rockies +1.5
Total: 11

Starting Pitchers: Ian Anderson (3-3, 4.34 ERA, 1.34 WHIP) vs. Austin Gomber (2-5, 5.51 ERA, 1.37 WHIP)

Hit to Win

Most baseball analysts will tell you that hits are nice, but they don’t win you games. Runs do. The Braves, however, are a major exception to this rule because when Atlanta outhits its opponents, good things quickly follow. For the year, the Braves are 23-5 when they outhit the opposition. When they don’t? They’re a mere 1-22.
A team that’s this dependent on offense would seem to be an obvious over team, and if that’s your way of thinking, you’d be correct. Only San Francisco has as many over cashes as the 27 that the Braves have landed this year, and it certainly isn’t hurting that most people view the Braves as a pitcher-heavy team based on having Max Fried, Ian Anderson, and other solid arms. Having those pitchers is a nice asset, but the Braves have proven that they will go as far as their offense allows them to go. When Atlanta is hitting, the Braves are one of baseball’s best. When the Braves can’t get on base, they can be easily beaten.

Rocky Mountain High

It looked like the Rockies were about to fade back into being an Under team, but that proved to be more of a product of facing the Mets’ outstanding pitching staff than it was anyone figuring out what’s going on at Coors Field. Once again, the ball is carrying more in Denver’s thin air than it is in other parks because someone apparently didn’t think things through when they decided to store every baseball in a humidor before each game.
The Rockies have done this for years in order to cut down on the offense at Coors, but when you have everyone else doing it too, Coors is once again going to stand out as a hitter haven because everyone is hitting the exact same baseball again. That said, the Rockies actually aren’t hitting the overs by mashing the ball as you might expect. Instead, Colorado has become an Over team the old-fashioned way: hitting it where the defense isn’t and setting itself up in RBI situations. It hasn’t hurt that the Rockies have a higher batting average than anyone except the Mets and have the third-fewest strikeouts in the National League, with only Washington and St. Louis showing more discipline at the plate.
The number will be tough to hit with it sitting at 11 runs, but given what the Rockies and Marlins did the past two games, it’s very possible.

Extreme Split

If the Rockies can ever figure out how to get their team to play on the road even close to how it plays at Coors Field, they’ll be very dangerous. It doesn’t seem a likely proposition, however, as Colorado is once again looking like a playoff contender at home and a AAA team on the road. The Rockies are a more than respectable 16-12 at Coors but just 7-15 when they go on the road.
Atlanta hasn’t figured out the road either, as the Braves are a mere 10-13 away from home this season and just dropped two of three in the desert to Arizona. For the year, Atlanta has won just one road series: a May 20-22 matchup with Miami in which the Marlins managed just ten runs for the entire series. If a team can compete with Atlanta’s sharp starters and quality bullpen, it will be a long night.More Picks: Get our NY Mets at LA Dodgers Best Bet for 6/2/22 >>>

Betting Trends

  • The Over is 4-0-1 in Andersons last five road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
  • The Rockies are 0-8 in their past eight games following a win.
  • The Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Colorado.
  • The Under is 5-1-1 in the past seven meetings.

Weather Report

The weather will be quite pleasant in Denver, with temperatures hitting 71 degrees and wind blowing in toward home plate at 11 miles per hour in this one.

Dan’s pick

When you can get Colorado for plus money at home, you take it until they show us something different about themselves. Right now, this is a team that can handle itself at home, and I’m going to ride this train until it crashes. Give me the Rockies. Bet your Braves vs. Rockies prediction and ALL your MLB bets for FREE this week by taking advantage of a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of up to $500 when you use bonus code PREDICTEM at Betnow Sportsbook!

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