Brewers vs. Braves Odds, Picks & Analysis 5/7/22

by | May 7, 2022 | mlb

Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Saturday, May 7th, 07:20 ET

Location: Truist Park

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Money Line: Brewers -104 / Braves -106 (BetOnline - This place pays FAST!)

Total Line: 6.5

STARTING PITCHING

Milwaukee: Corbin Burnes (1-1, 1.93)
Atlanta: Max Fried (3-2, 3.0)

Brewers Projected Lineup

2B Luis Urías
2B Kolten Wong
2B Keston Hiura
CF Tyrone Taylor
C Victor Caratini
LF Christian Yelich
RF Hunter Renfroe
LF Andrew McCutchen
SS Willy Adames

Braves Projected Lineup

CF Adam Duvall
RF Travis Demeritte
2B Ozzie Albies
C Travis d’Arnaud
SS Dansby Swanson
3B Austin Riley
LF Marcell Ozuna
RF Ronald Acuña Jr.
1B Matt Olson

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Milwaukee Brewers: 19-8-0 SU / OU 11-13-3 / Run Line W/L 15-12-0
Atlanta Braves: 12-16-0 SU / OU 15-12-1 / Run Line W/L 12-16-0

The Atlanta Braves host the Milwaukee Brewers on Saturday, May 7th at Truist Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:20 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Milwaukee as the favorite (-115), with an OU line set at 6.5.

Recent Form

The Milwaukee look to keep things rolling after taking down the Braves by the score of 6-3. Overall, the team’s pitching staff limited the Braves to 3 runs on 3 hits. The Brewers lineup had a good night at the plate, coming up with 11 hits, leading to 6 runs. Heading into this game, Milwaukee was the betting favorite, at -115.0. So far, the team has been the favorite in 24 of their games, winning at a rate of 71.0%. With the OU line set at 8.5 runs, the Brewers and Braves combined to go over this total. Even with this game going over the total, Milwaukee still has an over-under record of just 11-13-3.

In the Brewers’ last 5 games, they are above .500, going 4-1. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at 23. A key to their recent success has been an offense averaging 8.0 runs per game compared to their season average at 4.96. So far, Milwaukee has won over half of their 10 series played, going 7-2-1.

Atlanta is coming off a 3 run loss to Brewers. Dropping the game (6-3). On their way to giving up 6 runs, the Braves staff allowed 11 hits. In the loss, the Braves offense still came up with 3 hits and 6 runs. In terms of the over-under, the Braves and Brewers combined to surpass the line of 8.5 runs. For the season, the team’s OU record is (15-12-1).

The Braves come into today’s game looking to turn things around, as they are just 2-3 over their last 5 games. Even though Atlanta has notched just 2 in their last 5 games, they still have a positive run differential in this stretch (3). Even with their recent struggles, the offense has been steady, averaging 4.2 runs per game, right in line with their season average of 3.93. Atlanta has a below .500 series record of just 1-5-3.

Pitching Matchup

For the Brewers, Corbin Burnes gets the start. So far, he has put together a record of 1-1. Currently, Burnes has a strong ERA of just 1.93, while pitching an average of 6.44 innings per outing. So far, batters are hitting just 0.153 against him. Not only does Burnes have a strong batting average allowed figure, but he has also avoided giving up home runs, averaging just 1 home run allowed per 9 innings pitched. On the season, Corbin Burnes has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 36.0%, while averaging 8.6 K’s per 9 innings. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 1.93 walks per contest. For the Braves, Max Fried gets the start. So far, he has put together a record of 3-2. Leading up to the game, Fried has an ERA of 3.0. So far, he is averaging 6.0 innings per outing. Opposing lineups have put together a combined batting average of 0.221 against Fried. A strength of Max Fried’s game is his ability to generate swings and misses, striking out batters at a rate of 23.0%. Throughout the season, his strong command has led to an average of just 0.3 walks per contest.

Milwaukee vs Atlanta History

So far, the Atlanta Braves and Milwaukee Brewers have met up 1 time, with Milwaukee leading the season series, 1-0. Through 1 game, the series’ over-under record is 1-0, with the average run total sitting at 7.8 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 3.0 runs. Dating back to last season, Atlanta picked up 6 wins compared to 3, taking the season series. In these 9 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 4-5. Last year, the two teams averaged 7.8 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 2.8 runs per contest.

Betting Trends

  • Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
  • Milwaukee is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 6 games
  • Atlanta is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Milwaukee

Milwaukee Brewers at Atlanta Braves Prediction

Even though Milwaukee comes into this game swinging the bats well, I expect them to struggle against Max Fried. On the other side, everyone has trouble generating runs against Cy Young winner Corbin Burnes. I recommend the under. Free Pick: Under 6.5 Runs. Did you know that you could be wagering on MLB games at reduced odds? Why pay more? It doesn’t make sense! Start saving big money today by making the switch to BetAnySports Sportsbook! You’ll be so glad you did!

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