Cardinals vs. Cubs Runline Prediction

by | Last updated Aug 23, 2022 | mlb

St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Tuesday August 23rd, 02:20 ET

Location: Wrigley Field

TV: Bally Sports Midwest

Money Line: Cardinals -178 / Cubs +168 (BetNow – Double your bankroll with a 100% real cash bonus up to $500 when you use promo code PREDICTEM)

Total Line: OFF


St. Louis: Adam Wainwright (9-8, 3.11)
Chicago: Javier Assad (0-0)

Cardinals Projected Lineup

Tyler O’Neill LF
Andrew Knizner C
Paul DeJong SS
Lars Nootbaar RF
Dylan Carlson CF
Nolan Arenado 3B
Tommy Edman 3B
Paul Goldschmidt 1B
Nolan Gorman 2B
Adam Wainwright P

Cubs Projected Lineup

Zach McKinstry SS
Patrick Wisdom 3B
Franmil Reyes RF
Seiya Suzuki RF
Nico Hoerner SS
Christopher Morel 3B
Willson Contreras C
Ian Happ LF
Nick Madrigal 2B
Adrian Sampson P


St. Louis Cardinals: 70-51-0 SU / OU 57-60-4 / Run Line W/L 69-52-0
Chicago Cubs: 52-69-0 SU / OU 53-60-8 / Run Line W/L 63-58-0

The Chicago Cubs host the St. Louis Cardinals on Tuesday August 23rd at Wrigley Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 02:20 ET. The MLB Odds Board places St. Louis as the favorite (-178), with an OU line is currenly off the board.

Recent Form

The St. Louis Cardinals head into today’s matchup after picking up a close win over the Chicago Cubs by the score of 1-0. On their way to the victory, the pitching staff gave up 0 runs on 1 hit. On offense, St. Louis’s lineup put together a total of 4 hits, leading to 1 run. In the matchup, St. Louis was favored at -175.0 on the moneyline. Through 74 games as the favorite, the team has found the win column at a rate of 70.0%. Combined, the Cardinals and Cubs fell short of the over-under betting line of 8.0 runs. This outcome pushed St. Louis’s over-under record further below .500 at 57-60-4.

The Cardinals come into this game having won all 5 of their recent games. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at +29. Offensively, the team has put up 41 runs in their last 5 games. St. Louis’s season average comes in at 4.85 (4th. So far, St. Louis has won over half of their 38 series played, going 20-10-8.

In their last game, the Cubs suffered a 1 run loss to the Cardinals by a score of 1-0. For the game, the pitching staff held the Cardinals to 1 run on 4 hits. At the plate, the Cubs only came through for 0 runs on 1 hit. This loss came as no surprise, as Chicago came into the game as the underdog, getting 145.0. So far, the team has gone into 79 games as the underdog, still finding the win column at a rate of 41.0%. With this result, the Cubs and Cardinals combined to fall below the over-under line of 8.0 runs. Now, Chicago had an over-under record of 53-60-8.

Across their last 5 contests, the Cubs are above .500, going 3-2. They have managed to pick up these wins despite having a negative run differential over their last 5 games (-1). Chicago has benefited from strong pitching, as their offense has slipped in their last 5 games, averaging just 3.8 runs per game. Their overall average sits at 4.16. Chicago has a below .500 series record of just 17-18-5.

Pitching Matchup

Adam Wainwright gets the start for the Cardinals, with an overall record of 9-8. Through 24 appearances, Wainwright has an ERA of just 3.11 while averaging 6.25 innings per appearance. In his previous outings, right-hander opponents are hitting 0.240 off the right-hander. So far, Wainwright has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 0.84 home runs per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Adam Wainwright has a strong strikeout percentage of 20.0%, including a per game average of 5.12. In his previous outings, walks have been an issue, as Wainwright is averaging 2.33 free passes per outing.

The Chicago Cubs will send out Javier Assad, who is making his major league debut. If the right-hander doesn’t fare well in his first outing, the Cubs will turn things over to a bullpen with a combined ERA of 4.03, placing them 20th in the MLB.

St. Louis vs Chicago History

Today’s matchup between the St. Louis Cardinals and Chicago Cubs will be their 13th meeting of the season. So far, St. Louis is leading the season series, 8-4. Through 12 games, the series over-under record is 5-7, with the average run total sitting at 9.0 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 3.33 runs. Going back to last year, St. Louis won the season series, 10 games to 9. In these 19 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 10-9. Last year, the Cardinals and Cubs averaged 9.0 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 3.11 runs per contest.

More Picks: Marlins vs. Athletics Recommended Over/Under Bet

Betting Trends

  • St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
  • Chi Cubs is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Chi Cubs is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs Prediction

Last night, the Cubs and Cardinals competed in one of the best pitchers duels of the season, with Chicago managing just 1 hit. Things don’t get any easier for the Cubs vs Adam Wainwright, who is coming off a 7 inning scoreless outing vs Colorado. Look for St. Louis’ bats to come to life against Javier Assad in his first appearance in the big leagues. I like the Cardinals to cover the runline.

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