Cincinnati Reds vs. Kansas City Royals Total Pick

by | Last updated Jun 14, 2023 | mlb

Cincinnati Reds vs. Kansas City Royals
Date: Wednesday, June 14th, 8:10 ET
Location: Kauffman Stadium
TV: BSKC
Money Line: Reds -111/Royals -107 (Start saving big bucks by switching to dime lines!)
Total Line: 9.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Kansas City Royals and the Reds on Wednesday, June 14th at Kauffman Stadium. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
CIN -111 -1.5 O 9.5 (-101)
KC -107 +1.5 U 9.5 (-120)

Reds vs. Royals Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Kevin Newman 1 SS
Matt McLain 2 SS
Jonathan India 3 2B
Elly De La Cruz 4 SS
Spencer Steer 5 3B
Tyler Stephenson 6 C
Stuart Fairchild 7 RF
TJ Friedl 8 LF
Jose Barrero 9 SS
Ben Lively SP

 

Batting Order Position
Nick Pratto 1 1B
Salvador Perez 2 C
MJ Melendez 3 RF
Bobby Witt Jr. 4 SS
Maikel Garcia 5 SS
Nicky Lopez 6 2B
Michael Massey 7 2B
Drew Waters 8 RF
Dairon Blanco 9 CF
Daniel Lynch SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Cincinnati Reds: 33-35 SU / OU 38-30 / Runline 40-28
Kansas City Royals: 18-49 SU / OU 28-37 / Runline 23-44

On a record of 33-35, the Reds are 3rd in the NL Central. Currently, they are 2.5 games out of the division lead. Against the Royals, they will be seeking their 5th straight win. On the road, they have a record of 16-17 while going 17-18 at home. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 9-9-3.

 

  • The Reds have covered the runline in 58.8% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.5
  • The Reds have been favored in 22.1% of their games and have runline records of 20-15 and 20-13 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 56% of the Reds’ 68 games at 38-30.

If the Royals are going to climb out of last place in the AL Central, they will need to turn things around with a win over the Reds. Heading into the game, the Royals have lost eight straight games and stand with an overall record of 18-49. On the road, the Royals are 9-24 and 9-25 at home. The team’s overall series record is 3-17-1.

 

  • The Royals have covered the run line in 34.3% of their games and have an average run margin of -1.6
  • The Royals have been favored in 19.4% of their games and have runline records of 9-25 and 14-19 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Royals have an over/under record of just 28-37.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Ben Lively 7 5 36 3-4 4.21 1.13 8

Ben Lively has gone at least six innings in two straight games and has a record of 3-4. Through seven appearances, his ERA is 4.21 along with a WHIP of 1.13. So far, he has K/BB ratio of 37/9 and slugging percentage allowed of .411. This year, opponents have put together a batting average of .227 vs. him.

Cincinnati lost the last time Lively pitched, falling to the Cardinals by a final score of 7-4. In the game, Lively went 6 2/3 innings and allowed seven earned runs on 10 hits.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Daniel Lynch 3 3 16 0-2 4.41 1.47 1

The Royals will turn to starter Daniel Lynch who has an overall record of 0-2. After three appearances, his ERA is 4.41 and he has a K/9 figure of 1.0. Also, he has compiled a FIP of 3.09 and an OBP of .312.

Despite Lynch’s efforts, the Royals suffered a defeat in his last outing against the Orioles, with him being charged with the loss. He gave up three runs in six innings of work.

Reds vs. Royals Offense Outlook

With 53 home runs, the Reds ranks just 23rd in the league. However, their batting average is strong, ranking 10th in the MLB at .255. The team’s current OPS stands at .724.

Cincinnati Reds Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Jonathan India .274 .359 .417 34 7 12
Spencer Steer .278 .359 .465 36 8 5
Jake Fraley .262 .350 .430 38 7 11

Cincinnati Reds Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Elly De La Cruz .233 4 5 0 .233
Stuart Fairchild .317 5 3 1 .583
Jonathan India .197 4 4 1 .413
Tyler Stephenson .350 6 3 0 .350
TJ Friedl .317 5 2 0 .467

In terms of offensive production Kansas City is currently ranked 26th in the league this season. The team has hit 64 home runs, which is 19th, and their batting average of .230 is ranked 22nd in the league. When playing on the road, they rank 26th in batting average, compared to 29th when playing at home.

Kansas City Royals Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Salvador Perez .294 12 .571 .369
Bobby Witt Jr. .219 5 .373 .270
Vinnie Pasquantino .247 8 .460 .327
MJ Melendez .194 3 .323 .275
Nick Pratto .289 1 .381 .345

Kansas City Royals Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Bobby Witt Jr. .250 5 2 1 .450
Salvador Perez .280 6 4 2 .600
Edward Olivares .425 6 2 0 .779
Nick Pratto .167 3 2 0 .167
Michael Massey .130 3 0 0 .210

Free MLB Pick

The Reds’ offense has been solid this season, ranking 10th in the Majors in scoring (4.72 runs per game). They’ve been especially successful as of late, tallying four or more runs in seven of their last eight and five or more in three of their past four. They’ll face Daniel Lynch, who has been okay this season in his three starts. Keep in mind, though, that last season he started 27 games and finished with a 5.13 ERA, so I think we need to see more of him before declaring him a solid starter. Even if Lynch has a good performance, the Royals’ bullpen is awful, with the second-worst bullpen ERA in baseball. Cincinnati is going with Ben Lively, who has been roughed up in his last two starts allowing 12 runs over 13 2/3 innings. He won’t be taking on the toughest lineup tonight, with the Royals ranked 27th in scoring offense, but we may not need a lot of runs from Kansas City to get this over the total. Take the Over 9 -120. Football season is around the corner! Beef up your bankroll with the best bonus offer on the internet! —> Get a 125% bonus up to $400 AND get a free half point everytime you bet your favorite NFL, NCAA football, NBA and college football teams! Simply enter bonus code PREDICTEM when you signup and make your first deposit at GTBets Sportsbook!

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