Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick 7/25/23

by | Last updated Jul 25, 2023 | mlb

Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Date: Tuesday, July 25th, 8:10 ET
Location: American Family Field
TV: BSWI
Money Line: Reds +127/Brewers -152 (Get a 100% bonus with one of our sportsbook promo codes!)
Total Line: 8

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Reds on Tuesday, July 25th at American Family Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
CIN +127 +1.5 O 8 (-112)
MIL -152 -1.5 U 8 (-109)

Reds vs. Brewers Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Elly De La Cruz 1 SS
TJ Friedl 2 CF
Matt McLain 3 SS
Jake Fraley 4 LF
Jonathan India 5 2B
Joey Votto 6 1B
Spencer Steer 7 1B
Tyler Stephenson 8 C
Will Benson 9 LF
Andrew Abbott SP


Batting Order Position
Christian Yelich 1 LF
William Contreras 2 C
Willy Adames 3 SS
Owen Miller 4 2B
Tyrone Taylor 5 RF
Blake Perkins 6 RF
Andruw Monasterio 7 2B
Brice Turang 8 2B
Joey Wiemer 9 CF
Corbin Burnes SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Cincinnati Reds: 55-47 SU / OU 55-47 / Runline 64-38


Milwaukee Brewers: 56-45 SU / OU 42-56 / Runline 48-53The Reds head into today’s game vs. the Brewers with an overall record of 55-47. This mark has them sitting 2nd in the NL Central. Currently, they are 1.5 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 4-1 and have a road and home record of 27-21 and 28-26, respectively. Cincinnati’s overall series record sits at 16-11-4.

  • The Reds have covered the runline in five straight games and have a season-long run margin of -0.0.
  • The Reds have been favored in 27.5% of their games and have runline records of 32-22 and 32-16 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 54% of the Reds’ 102 games at 55-47.

The Brewers head into today’s game in first place in the NL Central on a record of 56-45. Over their last ten games, they have put together an above .500 record of 7-3. At home, Milwaukee is 28-23 and 28-22 on the road. Their overall series record comes in at 16-14-1.

  • The Brewers have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of -0.0.
  • The Brewers have been favored in 49.5% of their games and have runline records of 20-31 and 28-22 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Brewers have an over/under record of just 42-56.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Andrew Abbott 9 9 55 5-2 2.10 .92 8

 

Andrew Abbott has an overall record of 5-2, and will get the start for the Reds. With nine appearances, his ERA currently stands at 2.10, while his K/9 figure is 9.22. Additionally, he has a FIP of 4.07 and an OBP of .237.

The last time Andrew Abbott took to the mound, he secured a quality start and a win for his team, who won by a final score of 5-1 against the Giants. Abbott gave up zero runs and one hit across eight innings.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Corbin Burnes 20 20 121 9-5 3.49 1.06 14

 

Milwaukee will give the starting nod to Corbin Burnes, entering with a record of 9-5. Burnes is on a four game streak of finishing with fewer than three earned runs allowed. So far, his ERA is 3.49, including a FIP figure of 3.91. Overall, opponents have a slugging percentage of .315 against him. Burnes’ strikeout total currently sits at 125.

Burnes picked up the win in his most recent outing, as he gave up zero earned runs and two hits across eight innings vs. the Phillies. The Brewers won the game by a score of 4-0.

Reds vs. Brewers Offense Outlook

Cincinnati is currently ranked 8th in the league in terms of runs scored, averaging 4.9 runs per game this season. Their home run count is around the league average, with 114 long balls hit so far. The Reds’ current batting average of .253 places them 10th in the league, while they are 3rd on the road compared to 16th at home.

Cincinnati Reds Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Reds 102 4.9 (8th) 114 (14th) .253 (10th) .332 (5th) .332 (5th)

 

Cincinnati Reds Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Matt McLain .333 5 4 2 .771
Elly De La Cruz .150 3 4 2 .450
Will Benson .375 4 2 0 .666
Spencer Steer .330 7 2 0 .370
Jake Fraley .312 5 2 1 .625

 

Milwaukee is currently ranked 23rd in the league in terms of runs scored, averaging 4.1 runs per game this season. Their home run count is around the league average, with 105 long balls hit so far. The Brewers’ current batting average of .232 places them 21st in the league, while they are 21st on the road compared to 26th at home.

Milwaukee Brewers Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Christian Yelich .289 .377 .477 55 14 22
Willy Adames .208 .290 .404 48 17 4
William Contreras .270 .347 .437 38 10 1

 

Milwaukee Brewers Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Christian Yelich .417 8 3 1 .667
Sal Frelick .555 5 3 1 .889
Andruw Monasterio .350 5 2 0 .500
Willy Adames .150 3 2 1 .350
Brice Turang .117 2 2 1 .267

 

Free MLB Pick

I’m going to go with the obvious here and get down on the total. The matchup trend is to the Under with five straight cashing in on that side of the line. We have two solid pitchers with lefty Andrew Abbot on the mound for the visitors and Corbin Burnes for the home side. Abbott did get roughed up in his lone start in Milwaukee, but he looked good in his two starts at home this season against the Brew Crew allowing two earned runs over 12 IP. He has good numbers on the road with a 2.86 ERA. Corbin Burnes has been exceptional in his last two outings pitching 14 scoreless innings and striking out 23. One of those outings was against the Reds (6 IP, 3 H, 13 K). Take Under 8.

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