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Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks 9/22/18 Pick

by | Sep 22, 2018 | mlb

Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks 9/22/18

Time: 8:10 PM ET
Where: Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
Listed Pitchers: Antonio Senzatela (Col) vs. Patrick Corbin (Az)
TV: FS Arizona, SportsNet Rocky Mountain
Moneyline: Rockies +160/D’Backs -170
Over/Under: 7.5

The Rockies are hanging around the National League playoff picture and picked up a key victory on the road over fellow contender Arizona Friday night. How are we playing Saturday’s meeting between these NL West rivals with our daily free MLB picks?

MLB Betting Line

Saturday’s MLB betting odds opened Arizona at around -170 for this game, with an over/under of 7.5 runs. Both those figures were holding steady in early betting action.

The D’Backs could also be found getting around +120 giving the run and a half on the MLB run line.

Set-Up

The Rockies grabbed the opener of this series Friday night 6-2. Arizona actually led that game early 2-0, but Colorado scored once in the fifth, once in the sixth and four times with two outs in the eighth on its way toward cashing in as a +110 dog on the MLB betting line.

Friday’s victory snapped a three-game losing streak for the Rockies. At 83-70 overall Colorado trails the first-place Dodgers by just a game and a half in the NL West, and sits a game and a half back of St. Louis in the battle for the second National League wild-card spot.

With Friday’s loss, the D’Backs are just 5-15 over their last 20 games. At 79-75 overall Arizona trails LA by six games in the NL West and sits six games back of the Cardinals in that wild-card race.

The Rockies lead this season series with the Diamondbacks nine games to eight.

Saturday’s Starting Arms

Lefty Corbin (11-6, 3.09), by our strict standards, is 18/31 on quality starts this season and has gone 10 starts since giving up more than three runs in an outing. Tuesday he gave up three runs in six innings against the Cubs, and over his last nine starts, he’s allowed 17 runs through 56 2/3 innings (2.70 ERA). On the season Arizona is 17-14 with Corbin.

In three starts this year against Colorado Corbin allowed seven runs and 22 hits through 16 1/3 innings. The Diamondbacks won two of those games.

Senzatela (5-6, 4.81) is only 3/11 on quality starts this year, and 0 for his last three. Last Sunday he held San Francisco to one run through five innings, but in his two starts previous to that he gave up seven runs and 16 hits through 11 innings. On the season the Rockies are 5-6 with Senzatela.

Over two starts and one relief appearance against Arizona this year Senzatela allowed 10 runs and 15 hits through 14 innings. Colorado lost both of those starts.

The D’Backs and Corbin get our handicapping check-mark for this pitching match-up.

Saturday’s Batting Splits

The Rockies own a .271/.333..461 team batting average/OBP/slugging percentage split against left-handed pitching this season. But those figures are probably slightly inflated by the home ballpark they play in. Also, this lineup is without a good bat in Trevor Story (33 HR, 102 RBI), who’s nursing a sore elbow.

Arizona owns a .231/.308/.387 split against right-handed pitching this season, numbers rank right near the bottom in all of baseball.

Even without Story Colorado gets the check-mark with the sticks for Saturday.

The Bullpens

The Rockies bullpen owns a 4.71 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP, but as with the sticks, those figures are probably slightly inflated by Coors Field.

The D’Backs pen owns a 3.59 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP.

Arizona gets the check-mark in the bullpen comparison.

Totals Report

  • Unders are 38-35 in games played at Chase Field this year, which are averaging 8.6 total runs per.
  • Unders are 7-3 in Colorado’s last 10 games.
  • Overs are 5-1 in Arizona’s last six games.
  • Overs are 10-7 in Rockies-D’Backs games this season, 5-2 in the games played at Chase Field.
  • Unders are a combined 25-15 when Corbin and Senzatela start this year.

Free MLB Picks

Arizona gets two of our three handicapping check-marks for this game, but the Diamondbacks are a cold outfit at the moment. Meanwhile, Colorado is still well within striking distance of a playoff spot, and it’s getting a tempting underdog price. We’re taking that price and getting down at YouWager.