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Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers NLDS Game 2 Pick

by | Oct 5, 2018 | mlb

Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers 10/5/18

Time: 4:15 PM ET

Where: Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI

Listed Pitchers: Tyler Anderson (Col) vs. Jhoulys Chacin (Mil)

TV: FS-1

Moneyline: Rockies +150/Brewers -160 (Best Line: 5Dimes)

Over/Under: 8

The Brewers grabbed the opener of this NLDS with an extra-inning victory Thursday afternoon. How are we playing Friday’s Game 2 with our daily free MLB picks?

MLB Playoffs Betting Line

Friday’s MLB playoff betting odds opened Milwaukee at around -150 here, with an over/under of 8 runs. The early betting action then bumped the Brewers about a dime, to around -160.

The Brew Crew could also be found getting around +130 giving the run and a half on the MLB run line.

Set-Up

Milwaukee took Game 1 of this series Thursday afternoon 3-2 with an extra inning. The Brewers took the lead on a two-run homer by NL MVP-to-be Christian Yelich in the bottom of the third inning, and their bullpen, which pitched the whole game, held that lead into the top of the ninth, allowing just one hit. However, Colorado strung together three hits, an error and a sac fly against Milwaukee closer-for-the-moment Jeremy Jeffress to tie the score at 2-2.

The Brewers then won it on a two-out hit by Mike Moustakas in the bottom of the tenth, much to the relief of those who bet them at -170.

Also, Thursday’s game never approached its total of 8.5 runs.

Milwaukee now owns a nine-game winning streak, including that one-game playoff victory over the Cubs in Chicago Monday.

The Rockies are now 2-3 over their last five games, including that playoff loss to the Dodgers Monday and the wild-card win over the Cubs at Wrigley Tuesday.

The Brewers took the regular-season series from Colorado five games to two, outscoring the Rockies 35-29.

Friday’s Starters

Chacin (15-8, 3.50), a former Rockie, is the savior of the Brewers rotation this season. By our strict standards he’s only 11/35 on quality starts, and 0 for his last six. However, those numbers don’t quite tell the whole story. Monday he held the Cubs to one run on one hit – a solo homer – through 5 2/3 innings of that playoff victory, and over his last five starts, he’s allowed eight earned runs and just ten hits through 24 2/3 innings. On the season the Brewers are 23-12 with Chacin, 3-0 over his last three outings.

In one start against his former team, this season Chacin allowed two runs and four hits through 5 1/3 innings of a 5-2 Milwaukee victory back in May.

Lefty Anderson (7-9, 4.55) is 15/32 on quality starts this year, and three for his last three. Last Sunday he held Washington scoreless on four hits through 7 2/3 innings, and over his last three starts, he’s allowed just four runs and 14 hits through 19 2/3 innings. On the season the Rockies, a team that finished 20 games above .500, are only 12-20 with Anderson, but that is not all his fault.

In one start this season against the Brewers Anderson got bombed for seven runs and seven hits, including three homers, in four innings of an 8-4 Colorado defeat.

We must give Milwaukee and Chacin our handicapping check-mark for this pitching match-up.

Friday’s Batting Splits

The Rockies own a .248/.315/.422 team batting average/OBP/slugging percentage split against right-handed pitching this season. This lineup is running a bit Jekyll-and-Hyde at the moment; it’s hit double-digits in runs four times in its last ten games, but it’s also been held to exactly two runs four of its last five times out.

The Brewers own a .254/.323/.419 split against left-handed pitching this year.

We’ll call this battle of the bats a push.

The Bullpens

The Colorado bullpen owns a 4.62 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP. However, of course, those numbers are at least slightly influenced by the home ballpark this unit pitches in.

The Milwaukee pen owns a 3.47 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. But it might be a bit shorthanded Friday, after pitching the whole game Thursday.

Still, we gotta give the Brewers the edge in the comparison of the bullpens.

Totals Report

  • Unders are 41-39 in games played at Miller Park this year, which are averaging 8.7 total runs per.
  • Totals are a combined 33-33 when Chacin and Anderson start this season.
  • Unders are 5-3 in Rockies-Brewers games this season.

Free MLB Picks

The Brewers get two of our main handicapping check-marks for this one, and they’re just hot, getting good pitching and clutch hitting, plus a few breaks here and there. Moreover, as Crash Davis once advised, you don’t screw with a streak. We’re betting the Brew Crew Friday, and we’ll chase a better price by giving the run and a half against the run line.