Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Betting Predictions

by | Jun 10, 2022 | mlb

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Friday June 10th, 07:05 ET

Location: Citizens Bank Park

TV: NBC 10

Money Line: Diamondbacks +108 / Phillies -130 (MyBookie - Awesome promos!)

Total Line: 8.0

STARTING PITCHING

Arizona: Zac Gallen (4-1, 2.4)
Philadelphia: Kyle Gibson (3-2, 4.4)

Diamondbacks Projected Lineup

Jake McCarthy LF
Alek Thomas CF
David Peralta LF
Pavin Smith 1B
Josh Rojas 3B
Geraldo Perdomo SS
Daulton Varsho CF
Ketel Marte 2B
Christian Walker 1B
Zac Gallen P

Phillies Projected Lineup

Alec Bohm 3B
Bryson Stott SS
J.T. Realmuto C
Didi Gregorius SS
Nick Castellanos RF
Mickey Moniak RF
Bryce Harper RF
Kyle Schwarber LF
Rhys Hoskins 1B
Kyle Gibson P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Arizona Diamondbacks: 28-31-0 SU / OU 24-34-1 / Run Line W/L 35-24-0
Philadelphia Phillies: 28-29-0 SU / OU 33-22-2 / Run Line W/L 29-28-0

The Philadelphia Phillies host the Arizona Diamondbacks on Friday June 10th at Citizens Bank Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:05 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Philadelphia as the favorite (-130), with an OU line set at 8.0.

Recent Form

In the Arizona Diamondbacks’ last game, they picked up a 5-4 win over the Reds. The Reds came up with 9 hits leading to 4 runs against Arizona’s pitchers. The Diamondbacks benefited from an offense that generated 5 runs on 6 hits. Arizona picked up the win, despite getting 121.0 on the moneyline. This matchup remained below the over-under line set at 10.0 runs. With this result, Arizona’s over-under record dropped even further, moving to just 24-34-1.

After their 5 most recent games, the Diamondbacks have gone just 2-3. This mark has come on an average run margin of just -8. In their last 5 contests, Arizona is averaging 4.0 runs per game, right in line with their season average of 3.93. Arizona’s overall series record is just 7-7-4.

In their last game, the Philadelphia Phillies picked up a 5-run win over the Brewers by a score of 8-3. In the win, the pitching staff allowed just 3 runs on 11 hits. In the victory, the Phillies came up with 9 hits and 8 runs. Despite being the underdogs, getting 145.0 on the moneyline, the Phillies still picked up the win. So far, the team has gone into 21 games as the underdog, still finding the win column at a rate of 43.0%. In terms of the over-under, the Phillies and Brewers combined to surpass the line of 7.5 runs. The team has gone over the betting line in over half of their games, going 33-22-2.

The Phillies come into the matchup looking to stay hot, going 5-0 over their last five contests. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of +23 (last 5). Compared to their season average, the Phillies come into this game swinging the bats well, averaging 7.4 runs per game. Philadelphia has a below .500 series record of just 6-11-1.

Pitching Matchup

Zac Gallen gets the start for the Diamondbacks, with an overall record of 4-1. Through 10 appearances, Gallen has an ERA of just 2.4 while averaging 5.61 innings per appearance. So far, batters are hitting just 0.191 against him. Home runs have also not been an issue for Gallen, as he’s giving up just 0.64 per 9. Overall, he is averaging 5.3 per game, on a K rate of 24.0%. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 2.4 walks per contest.

The Philadelphia Phillies will send Kyle Gibson to the mound with an overall record of 3-2. To date, Gibson has an ERA of 4.4 while lasting an average of 5.19 innings per appearance. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.256. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below-average rate against Gibson, as he is allowing just 0.79 per 9 innings. Gibson has accumulated a strikeout percentage of 22.0% and a per-game average of 4.73. Throughout the season, Gibson has avoided walking batters, allowing just 2.67 per contest.

Arizona vs Philadelphia History

Today’s game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Philadelphia Phillies is their matchup of the year. Going back to last year, Arizona won the season series, 4 games to 3. The average scoring margin in these games was 2.71, with an over-under record of 3-3. Last year, the two teams combined to average 9.29 runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona’s last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona’s last 6 games on the road
  • Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Arizona Diamondbacks at Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

In Friday’s matchup between Arizona and Philadelphia, the Phillies are the slight favorite on the moneyline. This comes despite the Diamondbacks having an edge in starting pitching, as Zac Gallen has a WHIP of just .96. But, the Phillies appear to have turned things around, as they are coming off sweeping both the Angels and Brewers. I like Philadelphia on the moneyline.

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