Dodgers vs. Padres O/U Play

by | Sep 10, 2022 | mlb

Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres

Date: Saturday September 10th, 08:40 ET

Location: Petco Park

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

Money Line: Dodgers -165 / Padres +139 (BetOnline - Check out their 500K NFL Handicapping Contest and 200K Survivor Pool!)

Total Line: 8.0

STARTING PITCHING

Los Angeles: Julio Urías (15-7, 2.29)
San Diego: Blake Snell (6-8, 3.82)

Dodgers Projected Lineup

Max Muncy 3B
Hanser Alberto 2B
Justin Turner 3B
Mookie Betts RF
Chris Taylor 2B
Trayce Thompson CF
Will Smith C
Freddie Freeman 1B
Trea Turner SS
Julio Urías P

Padres Projected Lineup

Wil Myers 1B
Trent Grisham CF
Jurickson Profar LF
Juan Soto RF
Jake Cronenworth 2B
Manny Machado 3B
Jorge Alfaro C
Josh Bell 1B
Ha-seong Kim SS
Blake Snell P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Los Angeles Dodgers: 94-43-0 SU / OU 59-66-12 / Run Line W/L 84-53-0
San Diego Padres: 77-62-0 SU / OU 65-69-5 / Run Line W/L 61-78-0

The San Diego Padres host the Los Angeles Dodgers on Saturday, September 10th at Petco Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 08:40 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Los Angeles as the favorite (-165), with an OU line set at 8.0.

Recent Form

The Dodgers will look to rebound from a close, 5-4 loss to San Diego. In the loss, Los Angeles’s pitchers gave up 5 runs on 8 hits. On offense, the Dodgers finished with 4 runs on 6 hits. This defeat came despite being favored at -155.0. So far, the team has been the favorite in 133 of their games, winning at a rate of 70.0%. This game went over the posted over-under line of 8.5 runs. On the season, Los Angeles’s over-under record is 59-66-12.

The Dodgers come into this game with a 3-2 record over their last 5 contests. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at +8. Their hot play has been driven by an offense that typically averages 5.38 runs per game. But, over this stretch this figure has bumped up to 6.0. So far, Los Angeles has won over half of their 44 series played, going 31-11-2.

In their last game, the Padres picked up a close win over the Dodgers by a score of 5-4. For the game, the pitching staff held the Dodgers to 4 runs on 6 hits. In the victory, the Padres came up with 8 hits and 5 runs. This was a good win for the Padres, as they were underdogs at 143.0 on the moneyline. In their 37 games as the underdog, their straight-up win percentage sits at 51.0%. In terms of the over-under, the Padres and Dodgers combined to surpass the line of 8.5 runs. Against the run total, San Diego is just 65-69-5.

In their last 5 games, the Padres have put together a record of 3-2. They have managed to pick up these wins despite having a negative run differential over their last 5 games (-5). San Diego has benefited from strong pitching, as their offense has slipped in their last 5 games, averaging just 4.2 runs per game. Their overall average sits at 4.42. On the season, San Diego has won more than half of their series, going 23-15-6.

Pitching Matchup

Los Angeles will roll with Julio Urías (15-7) as their starter. Through 26 appearances, Urías has an ERA of just 2.29 while averaging 5.58 innings per appearance. Hits have been hard to come by against the left-hander, as his batting average allowed is just 0.196. Per 9 innings pitched, Urías is averaging 1.12 home runs allowed. Per game, Julio Urías is averaging 5.35, on a strikeout percentage of 24.0%. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 2.1 walks per outing.

San Diego will roll with Blake Snell (6-8) as their starter. Snell gets the start with an ERA of 3.82. On average, he has lasted 5.21 innings per appearance. So far, Snell has a batting average allowed of 0.233. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below-average rate against Snell, as he is allowing just 0.82 per 9 innings. Per game, Blake Snell is averaging 7.05, on a strikeout percentage of 32.0%. Command has been a problem for Snell, as he is giving up 3.82 walks per outing.

Los Angeles vs San Diego History

For the season, the Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres will be playing their 15th game of the season. Los Angeles has the lead in the series at 10-4. Through 14 games, the series over-under record is 6-6, with the average run total sitting at 8.21 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 4.71 runs. Going back to last year, Los Angeles won the season series, 12 games to 7. In these 19 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 10-8. Last year, the Dodgers and Padres averaged 8.21 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 2.84 runs per contest.

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers’ last 6 games
  • LA Dodgers is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games when playing San Diego
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego’s last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego’s last 7 games when playing LA Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres Prediction

Heading into Saturday’s matchup between Los Angeles and San Diego, the run total is set at 8 runs. With Julio Urias and Blake Snell on the mound, look for this game to remain below this number. Snell has given up just 1 run across his last 12 innings, while Urias has been dominant all season long.

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