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Game 2 Pick: Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox

by | Oct 14, 2018 | mlb

Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox 10/14/18

Time: 7:09 PM ET
Where: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Listed Pitchers: Gerrit Cole (Hous) vs. David Price (Bos)
TV: TBS
Moneyline: Astros -125/Red Sox +115
Over/Under: 8

The Astros, much to our delight, grabbed Game 1 of this ALCS Saturday night, and shoot for a 2-0 lead Sunday evening. How are we playing this contest with our daily free MLB picks?

MLB Playoffs Betting Line

Sunday’s Game 2 MLB betting odds opened Houston at around -125, with an over/under of 8 runs. Both those figures were holding steady in the early betting action.

The Astros could also be found getting around +125 giving the run and a half on the MLB run line.

Set-Up

Houston won Game 1 of this ALCS Saturday night 7-2 behind Justin Verlander, hitting the pay windows at a price of around +110. The Astros scored twice in the top of the second inning, let Boston tie the game with two runs in the bottom of the fifth, but took the lead for good with a run in the sixth and pulled away with four in the ninth.

On the evening Houston only had five hits but drew 10 walks.

Game 1 also sneaked over a total of seven runs, much to the dismay we’re sure of those who bet the under.

With Saturday’s win, the Astros are 12-2 over their last 14 games.

Houston took the regular-season series from Boston four games to three, outscoring the Sox 34-31.

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Game 2 Starting Arms

This pitching match-up is a rematch of a game played back on Sept. 7 also in Boston, a 6-3 Astros victory.

Lefty Price (15-7, 3.58), by our strict standards, is 17/31 on quality starts this season, but 0 for his last three. Eight days ago in that ALDS against the Yankees Price gave up three runs on three hits, including a couple of homers, in less than two innings of work, and over his last three starts, he’s allowed 10 earned runs and 14 hits through 12 innings.

On the season the Red Sox are 22-9 with Price, but only 3-3 over his last six outings.

In two starts this season against the Astros Price allowed five runs and seven hits through 12 1/3 innings, with 17 strikeouts. Boston split those two games.

Cole (15-5, 2.88) is 21/33 on quality starts this year, and three for his last three. Eight days ago in that ALDS against Cleveland, he gave up just one run on three hits through seven innings, with 12 strikeouts, and over his last three starts, he’s allowed only five runs and 14 hits through 20 innings, with 28 strikeouts against just one walk.

On the season Houston is 25-8 with Cole and 7-0 over his last seven starts.

In two starts this season against Boston Cole allowed five runs and 10 hits through 13 innings. The Astros won both those games.

We’re giving Houston and Cole our handicapping check-mark for this pitching match-up.

Game 2 Batting Splits

The Astros posted a .275/.344/.459 team batting average/OBP/slugging percentage split against left-handed pitching this season. This lineup has also scored 28 runs in four playoffs games so far.

The Red Sox posted a .275/.344/.473 split against right-handed pitching this year. They also led the Majors in scoring this season.

We’ll call the splits with the sticks a push for Game 2.

The Bullpens

The Houston bullpen put up a 3.03 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP this season, both of which led the Majors. This unit has also allowed just one run and seven hits through 12 2/3 innings of work in these playoffs so far.

The Boston pen put up a 3.72 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP this season. But this unit has also allowed 11 ER and 15 hits through 22 innings in these playoffs.

We’re giving the Astros the check-mark in the comparison of the bullpens.

Totals Report

  • Totals are split 38-38 in games played at Fenway Park this year, which are averaging 9.7 total runs per.
  • Overs are 6-2 in Astros-Red Sox games this season.

Free MLB Picks

We’re giving Houston two stars on our main handicapping factors, which means we’re betting the Astros. And we’ll take a chance at a better price by playing against the run line for our free MLB pick for Game 2. Get not only the best runlines but the best odds on most sports 5Dimes Sportsbook

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