Giants vs. Pirates Odds & Predictions

by | Jun 18, 2022 | mlb

San Francisco Giants vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Saturday, June 18th, 04:05 ET

Location: PNC Park

TV: NBCS BA

Money Line: Giants -200 / Pirates +165 (BetNow - We’ve worked out a special deal with them where they’ll give you a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit up to $500 if you use bonus code PREDICTEM when registering for a NEW betting account!)

Total Line: 8.5

STARTING PITCHING

San Francisco: Alex Wood (4-5, 4.11)
Pittsburgh: José Quintana (1-4, 3.22)

Giants Projected Lineup

Thairo Estrada 3B
Curt Casali C
Darin Ruf 1B
Luis Gonzalez P
Brandon Crawford SS
Evan Longoria 3B
Mike Yastrzemski RF
Austin Slater CF
Wilmer Flores 2B
Alex Wood P

Pirates Projected Lineup

Jack Suwinski LF
Tyler Heineman C
Daniel Vogelbach 1B
Diego Castillo SS
Ke’Bryan Hayes 3B
Yu Chang 1B
Michael Chavis 1B
Tucupita Marcano 2B
Bryan Reynolds CF
José Quintana P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

San Francisco Giants: 36-27-0 SU / OU 30-29-4 / Run Line W/L 31-32-0
Pittsburgh Pirates: 25-38-0 SU / OU 24-33-6 / Run Line W/L 27-36-0

The Pittsburgh Pirates host the San Francisco Giants on Saturday, June 18th at PNC Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 04:05 ET. The MLB Odds Board places San Francisco as the favorite (-200), with an OU line set at 8.5.

Recent Form

In their most recent game, San Francisco picked up a 2-run win over the Pirates (2-0). On their way to the victory, the pitching staff gave up 0 runs on 2 hits. On offense, San Francisco’s lineup put together a total of 6 hits, leading to 2 runs. In the matchup, San Francisco was favored at -200.0 on the moneyline. So far, the team has been the favorite in 51 of their games, winning at a rate of 61.0%. Together, the Giants and Pirates stayed below the over-under line set at 8.0 runs. Even after this game, San Francisco’s overall over-under record sits at 30-29-4.

The Giants are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 4-1 over their last 5 games. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at +9. San Francisco comes into the game struggling on offense, averaging 3.2 runs per game over their last 5. This figure is down from their season average of 4.86. So far, San Francisco has won over half of their 22 series played, going 12-7-3.

The Pirates will look to get back on track after dropping their last game by a score of 2-0 to the Giants. Despite the losing effort, the team’s pitchers held the Giants to 2 runs and 6 hits. The Pirates’ offense ended the game with just 0 runs on 2 hits. This loss came as no surprise, as Pittsburgh came into the game as the underdog, getting 170.0. So far, the team has gone into 49 games as the underdog, still finding the win column at a rate of 37.0%. Combined, the Pirates and Giants’ run total fell below the over-under line of 8.0 runs. Now, Pittsburgh had an over-under record of 24-33-6.

In their last 5 contests, the Pirates have just 1 win, going 1-4. During this time, the team has a run differential of -12. In their 5 most recent contests, the team is scoring at a rate of 2.6 runs per game, compared to their season-long average of 3.37. Pittsburgh has a below .500 series record of just 6-12-3.

Pitching Matchup

Alex Wood gets the start for the Giants, with an overall record of 4-5. So far, Wood has put together an ERA of 4.11. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.09 innings. Compared to other starters, the left-hander has a high BA allowed, currently sitting at 0.266. This season, Wood has been able to avoid giving up home runs, allowing just 0.74 per 9 innings. On the season, Alex Wood has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 23.0%. This includes a per game average of 5.0 K’s per game. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 2.35 walks per contest.

José Quintana gets the start for the Pirates, with an overall record of 1-4. Currently, Quintana has a strong ERA of just 3.22 while pitching an average of 4.85 innings per outing. Together, opponents have a batting average of 0.249 against Quintana. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below-average rate against Quintana, as he is allowing just 0.77 per 9 innings. Quintana’s current strikeout average is 4.17 per game. This includes a K rate of 20.0%. Command has been a problem for Quintana, as he is giving up 3.07 walks per outing.

San Francisco vs Pittsburgh History

Today’s matchup between the San Francisco Giants and Pittsburgh Pirates will be their 2nd meeting of the season. San Francisco has the lead in the series at 1-0. The over-under record in this series sits at 0-1. The average run total in these games is 8.14 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 2.0 runs. Pittsburgh won last year’s head-to-head series, grabbing 4 wins to 3. In these 7 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 3-4. Last year, the Giants and Pirates averaged 8.14 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 3.29 runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Francisco’s last 8 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
  • San Francisco is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh’s last 8 games when playing at home against San Francisco
  • Pittsburgh is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games when playing San Francisco

San Francisco Giants at Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

Heading into Saturday’s National League matchup between San Francisco and Pittsburgh, the Giants are the heavy favorite on the moneyline. Even though Alex Wood’s overall stats aren’t that impressive, he is coming into the game having made 2 straight quality starts. On the other side, Jose Quintana has come back down to earth of late, giving up 4 runs in 2 straight outings. I like the Giants to cover the runline.

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