Guardians vs. Blue Jays Odds & ML Pick

by | Last updated Aug 26, 2022 | mlb

Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Sunday August 14th, 01:37 ET

Location: Rogers Centre

TV: Bally Sports Great Lakes

Money Line: Guardians 122 / Blue Jays -145

Total Line: 7.5


Cleveland: Shane Bieber (7-6, 3.28)
Toronto: Kevin Gausman (8-8, 2.91)

Guardians Projected Lineup

Andrés Giménez 2B
Austin Hedges C
Josh Naylor 1B
Oscar Gonzalez RF
Owen Miller 1B
José Ramírez 3B
Myles Straw CF
Steven Kwan LF
Amed Rosario SS
Shane Bieber P

Blue Jays Projected Lineup

Whit Merrifield 2B
Santiago Espinal 2B
Bo Bichette SS
Teoscar Hernández RF
Matt Chapman 3B
Danny Jansen C
Alejandro Kirk C
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B
Kevin Gausman P


Cleveland Guardians: 60-53-0 SU / OU 53-53-7 / Run Line W/L 60-53-0
Toronto Blue Jays: 61-51-0 SU / OU 58-53-1 / Run Line W/L 48-64-0

The Toronto Blue Jays host the Cleveland Guardians on Sunday August 14th at Rogers Centre. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 01:37 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Toronto as the favorite (-145), with an OU line set at 7.5.

Recent Form

The Guardians will look to rebound from a close, 2-1 loss to the Blue Jays. Despite the loss, Cleveland’s pitching staff gave up only 2 runs on 6 hits. Offensively, they finished with just 1 run on 6 hits. The loss came as Cleveland was the betting underdog, getting 105.0 on the moneyline. Together, the Guardians and Blue Jays stayed below the over-under line set at 8.5 runs. After the game, Cleveland dropped back to an over-under record of 53-53-7.

The Guardians come into this game with a 4-1 record over their last 5 contests. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of +12. Cleveland’s offense heads into action averaging 4.2 runs per game in their last 5 contests. Similar to their season average of 4.33. So far, Cleveland has won over half of their 36 series played, going 16-11-9.

The Blue Jays will look to add another win, as in their last game, they defeated the Guardians by a score of 2-1. In the win, the pitching staff allowed just 1 run on 6 hits. The Blue Jays’ offense ended the game with just 2 runs on 6 hits. Heading into action, Toronto was the favorite at -115.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 93 games, winning at a rate of 56.9%. With this result, the Blue Jays and Guardians combined to fall below the over-under line of 8.5 runs. Toronto still has an above .500 over-under record at (58-53-1).

The Blue Jays come into today’s game looking to turn things around, as they are just 2-3 over their last 5 games. This recent slump is backed by a scoring margin of -10 over their last 5 games. The team’s offense is partly to blame for their recent slump, as they have averaged just 2.8 runs over their last 5 game. On the season, Toronto has won more than half of their series, going 17-12-7.

Pitching Matchup

The Cleveland Guardians will send Shane Bieber to the mound with an overall record of 7-6. Currently, Bieber has an ERA of just 3.28 while pitching an average of 6.25 innings per outing. Across his previous appearances, the right-hander has a batting average allowed of 0.235. So far, Bieber has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 0.75 home runs per 9 innings. On the season, Shane Bieber has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 25.0%. This includes a per game average of 6.38 K’s per game. Command has been a problem for Bieber, as he is giving up 1.91 walks per outing.

Toronto will roll with Kevin Gausman (8-8) as their starter. Heading into the game, Gausman has appeared in 21 contests, posting an ERA of just 2.91. On average, he pitches 5.58 innings per appearance. So far, opposing teams have hit the ball well against the right-hander, posting a batting average allowed of 0.27. Throughout the season, Gausman has done a good job at limiting home runs, allowing 0.46 per 9 innings. Overall, Kevin Gausman has struck out 28% of the batters he has faced. On average, he averages 6.52 K’s per game. Command has been a problem for Gausman, as he is giving up 1.53 walks per outing.

Cleveland vs Toronto History

For the season, the Cleveland Guardians and Toronto Blue Jays will be playing their 7th game of the season. Cleveland has the lead in the series at 4-2. The over-under record in this series sits at 3-3. The average run total in these games is 8.86 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 3.67 runs. Dating back to last season, Toronto picked up 5 wins compared to 2, taking the season series. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 3-3, with the average run total being 8.86 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 3.71 runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • leveland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland’s last 7 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto’s last 5 games at home
  • Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Cleveland Guardians at Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

Heading into Sunday’s American League matchup between Cleveland and Toronto, the Blue Jays are the favorite to come away with the win. I recommend taking Toronto on the moneyline, as Kevin Gausman is in the middle of a good stretch of pitching. Spanning his last 2 games (14 innings), the right-hander has not given up a run.

Free MLB Pick: Blue Jays Moneyline

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