Mets vs. Braves Odds & ML Bet 8/16/22

by | Aug 16, 2022 | mlb

New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Tuesday August 16th, 07:20 ET

Location: Truist Park

TV: Bally Sports South

Money Line: Mets +117 / Braves -140 (Bovada - Probably the best bookie on the web! See why!)

Total Line: 8.5

STARTING PITCHING

New York: Taijuan Walker (10-3, 3.43)
Atlanta: Charlie Morton (5-5, 4.27)

Mets Projected Lineup

Tyler Naquin RF
Luis Guillorme 3B
Daniel Vogelbach 1B
Starling Marte RF
Jeff McNeil 2B
Tomás Nido C
Francisco Lindor SS
Pete Alonso 1B
Brandon Nimmo CF
Taijuan Walker P

Braves Projected Lineup

Marcell Ozuna LF
Michael Harris II CF
William Contreras C
Ronald Acuña Jr. RF
Eddie Rosario LF
Austin Riley 3B
Vaughn Grissom 2B
Matt Olson 1B
Dansby Swanson SS
Charlie Morton P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

New York Mets: 75-41-0 SU / OU 58-49-9 / Run Line W/L 64-52-0
Atlanta Braves: 71-46-0 SU / OU 59-51-7 / Run Line W/L 61-56-0

The Atlanta Braves host the New York Mets on Tuesday, August 16th at Truist Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:20 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Atlanta as the favorite (-140), with an OU line set at 8.5.

Recent Form

The Mets come into this matchup having suffered a 12-run loss to the Braves (13-1). In the loss, New York’s pitchers gave up 13 runs on 15 hits. Offensively, they finished with just 1 run on 7 hits. The loss came as New York was the betting underdog, getting 140.0 on the moneyline. Together, the Mets and Braves combined to surpass the over-under betting line set at 8.0 runs. New York has had more than half of their games go over the over-under line (58-49-9).

The Mets are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 3-2 over their last 5 games. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at +2. New York has put together this record, despite averaging just 3.8 runs per game, compared to their season average of 4.77. So far, New York has won over half of their 37 series played, going 27-7-3.

In their last game, the Atlanta Braves picked up a 12 run win over the Mets by a score of 13-1. In the win, the pitching staff allowed just 1 run on 7 hits. In the victory, the Braves came up with 15 hits and 13 runs. Atlanta picked up the win while being favored at -165.0. So far, the team has won 68.0% of the games in which they were favored. In terms of the over-under, the Braves and Mets combined to surpass the line of 8.0 runs. For the season, the team’s over-under record is 59-51-7.

Over their last 5 games, the Braves have not lost a game, going 5-0. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +22. Compared to their season average, the Braves come into this game swinging the bats well, averaging 6.2 runs per game. On the season, Atlanta has won more than half of their series, going 19-12-6.

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Pitching Matchup

The New York Mets will send Taijuan Walker to the mound with an overall record of 10-3. To date, Walker has an ERA of 3.43 while lasting an average of 5.5 innings per appearance. Walker comes into the game with a batting average allowed of 0.242. This season, Walker has been able to avoid giving up home runs, allowing just 0.74 per 9 innings. On the season, Taijuan Walker has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 19.0%. This includes a per game average of 4.25 K’s per game. Command has been a problem for Walker, as he is giving up 2.53 walks per outing.

In today’s game, Atlanta turns to starter Charlie Morton. For the year, he has a record of 5-5. Morton gets the start with an ERA of 4.27. On average, he has lasted 5.55 innings per appearance. So far, Morton has a batting average allowed of 0.228. Opposing hitters are hitting home runs at an above average rate against Morton. This year, he is allowing 1.33 HR’s per 9 innings pitched. Overall, Charlie Morton has struck out 27.0% of the batters he has faced. On average, he averages 6.41 K’s per game. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 3.24 walks per outing.

New York vs Atlanta History

For the season, the New York Mets and Atlanta Braves will be playing their 14th game of the season. New York has the lead in the series at 8-5. Through 13 games, the series over-under record is 9-3, with the average run total sitting at 7.68 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 3.92 runs. Dating back to last season, Atlanta picked up 10 wins compared to 9, taking the season series. In these 19 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 7-11. Last year, the Mets and Braves averaged 7.68 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 3.47 runs per game.

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets’s last 7 games when playing Atlanta
  • NY Mets is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games
  • Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta’s last 7 games when playing NY Mets

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves Prediction

Going into Tuesday’s NL East matchup between New York and Atlanta, the Braves are the favorite to come away with another win over their rival Mets. However, I don’t see Atlanta’s offense coming anywhere close to repeating last night’s effort. Look for Taijuan Walker to keep the Braves in check. I like New York on the moneyline.

Free MLB Pick: Mets Moneyline.

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