Mets vs. Giants Predicted Moneyline Winner

by | May 23, 2022 | mlb

New York Mets (28-15) vs. San Francisco Giants (22-18)

When: 9:45 p.m., Monday, May 23

Where: Oracle Park, San Francisco

Moneyline: NYM +127/SF -137 (Get these lines BetOnline)

Runline: Mets +1.5/Giants -1.5

Total: 7.5ov -117

Starting Pitchers: David Peterson (1-0, 1.89 ERA, 1.11 WHIP) vs. Alex Cobb (3-1, 5.61 ERA, 1.52 WHIP)

Cashing In Chances

At first glance, the San Francisco Giants’ history against left-handed starters like Peterson doesn’t look like much for an opponent to concern itself with. After all, the Giants have the second-lowest number of hits in the National League against left-handed pitching (ahead of only Miami) and bat a mere .224 as a team against southpaws.

But there’s one thing the Giants do well on a consistent basis: taking any crumb of success they can find and turning it into something positive. San Francisco ranks third in the majors and second in the NL in runs batted in against lefty pitching with 58, despite a low average and slugging percentage. The Giants have only struck out 85 times in 33 games this year, which says that they’ll be putting the ball in play more often than not. When San Francisco does put the ball in play, it’s a dangerous lineup, as it has shown by scoring seven runs or more in three of its past five games.

Stringing Things Together

There’s a common belief in sports that the New York market is one of the hardest markets in which to play on a regular basis, given that the New York media can be relentless with its criticism and the glare of its spotlight. But that comes with the reverse side of the coin: when the Mets get away from the fans and can just focus on baseball rather than any outside distractions, they’re actually quite good at getting results to go their way.

The Mets’ mark of 15-7 away from Citi Field says that this is a team that knows how to win on the road, even with the caveat that seven of their road games at this point in the season have come in Washington. The Mets have simply played very well away from their home this season and have used that success away from home to build a good-sized lead on the rest of the NL East. The Mets already have an eight-game lead over Philadelphia, and if they can keep up their strong showing in the water, they can essentially squash any thoughts of failing to run away with the NL East title and do the easier tasks. One thing working in their favor here: San Francisco is just 11-10 at Oracle Park this season.

Contrasting Styles

Watch a Giants game, and you’re likely going to see a couple of runs scored in the early going, usually from the home team. The Giants have excelled at putting up runs in the first five innings of their games in 2022, leading the majors in runs scored against him in the first quarter of the season.

The Mets are once again different. Offensive success is really not the first thing people think of when it comes to this Mets team, but great pitching certainly has been and continues to be. The Mets rank third in run prevention in the first five innings, and their starting pitching performance is one of the big reasons why they’re such a solid bet in the early going. The Mets only give up 1.75 runs per game in the first five innings, as they’re usually able to keep offenses under wraps before handing the ball to their solid bullpen.

Betting Trends

  • The Mets are 9-2 in their past 11 series openers.
  • The Mets are 4-1 in their past five games overall.
  • The Giants are 16-5 in their past 21 games
  • The Giants are 54-23 in their past 77 games as a favorite.
  • The under is 4-0 in the Mets’ past four series openers.
  • The under is 6-2 in the Mets’ past eight road games.
  • The over is 4-0 in the Giants’ past four against the NL East.
  • The over is 5-1 in the Giants’ past six home games.
  • The Giants have won five of their past seven meetings against the Mets in San Francisco.
  • The under is 7-2-1 in the past 10 meetings in San Francisco.

Weather Report

If the winds can hold up, this could be a higher-scoring game, as temperatures will sit at 60 degrees at first pitch with a wind of 15 miles per hour set to blow toward deep center field.

Dan’s pick

I just can’t shake the fact that the Giants are coming off four straight losses, while the Mets have usually been strong starters when they face someone new. New York has been inconsistent, but I’d much rather be backing the team that’s turning in consistent performances over the far more inconsistent Giants. As such, I lean toward the Mets in this situation, and the value is too good to pass up. I’ll back New York. Bet your Mets vs. Giants prediction and ALL your baseball picks for FREE this week by taking advantage of a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $500 at Betnow Sportsbook! (Must use bonus code PREDICTEM).

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