Mets vs. Phillies Odds & Best Bet 5/7/22

by | May 7, 2022 | mlb

New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Saturday, May 7th, 04:05 ET

Location: Citizens Bank Park

TV: SNY

Money Line: Mets -143 / Phillies +132 (BetOnline - They’re the FASTEST paying Bitcoin sportsbook on the web!)

Total Line: 7.5un -120

STARTING PITCHING

New York: Chris Bassitt (3-2, 2.61)
Philadelphia: Zach Eflin (1-2, 5.25)

Mets Projected Lineup

LF Mark Canha
3B J.D. Davis
3B Eduardo Escobar
2B Jeff McNeil
C James McCann
SS Francisco Lindor
1B Pete Alonso
CF Brandon Nimmo
RF Starling Marte

Phillies Projected Lineup

2B Jean Segura
SS Didi Gregorius
C J.T. Realmuto
1B Rhys Hoskins
CF Odubel Herrera
RF Bryce Harper
RF Nick Castellanos
LF Kyle Schwarber
3B Alec Bohm

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

New York Mets: 19-9-0 SU / OU 13-12-3 / Run Line W/L 17-11-0
Philadelphia Phillies: 11-15-0 SU / OU 13-11-2 / Run Line W/L 11-15-0

The Philadelphia Phillies host the New York Mets on Saturday, May 7th at Citizens Bank Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 04:05 ET. The MLB Odds Board lists NY Mets as the favorite (-143), with an OU line set at 7.5.

Recent Form

The New York Mets will look to add another win to their resume after pulling out a slim 8-7 win over the Phillies. For the game, New York’s pitching staff allowed 7 runs on 12 hits. The Mets lineup had a good night at the plate, coming up 11 hits, leading to 8 runs. This victory came despite being the betting underdog, getting 130.0. The Mets and Phillies combined to surpass the over-under betting line set at 8.0 runs. This result being part of a larger trend, as New York as the over has hit in more than half of their games (13-12-3).

In the Mets last 5 games, they are above .500, going 3-2. Even with this record, in these games, their scoring differential is just -5. New York has put together this record, despite averaging just 4.0 runs per game compared their season average of 4.57. So far, New York has won over half of their 9 series played, going 8-0-1.

The Phillies are coming off a tight loss to the Mets, dropping the game 8-7. Philadelphia’s pitching staff gave up 11 hits, leading to 8 runs for the Mets. At the plate, the Phillies scored 7 times on, 12 hits. Leading into the game, Philadelphia was the betting favorite at -154.0. So far, the team has won 47.0% of their games in which they were favored. In terms of the over-under, the Phillies and Mets combined to surpass the line of 8.0 runs. For the season, the team’s OU record is (13-11-2).

The Phillies come into today’s game looking to turn things around, as they are just 1-4 over their last 5 games. During this time, the team has a run differential of -5. Even with their recent struggles, the offense has been steady, averaging 4.4 runs per game, right in line with their season average of 4.54. Philadelphia has a below .500 series record of just 2-7-0.

Pitching Matchup

For the Mets, Chris Bassitt gets the start. So far, he has put together a record of 3-2. Currently, Bassitt has a strong ERA of just 2.61, while pitching an average of 6.2 innings per outing. So far, batters are hitting just 0.193 against him. Not only does Bassitt have a strong batting average allowed figure, but he has also avoided giving up home runs, averaging just 1 home run allowed per 9 innings pitched. On the season, Chris Bassitt has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 28%, while averaging 6.8 K’s per 9 innings. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 2.32 walks per contest.

For the Phillies, Zach Eflin gets the start. So far, he has put together a record of 1-2. Leading up to the game, Eflin is hoping to bring down an ERA of 5.25. So far, he is averaging 4.8 innings per outing. Opposing lineups have put together a combined batting average of 0.284 against Eflin. Although opposing teams have been able to generate hits off him, Eflin has been able to limit the damage, giving up just 0 home runs per 9 innings. Heading into today’s action, Zach Eflin is averaging 3.6 K’s per 9 innings. Throughout the season, his strong command has led to an average of just 1.88 walks per contest.

New York vs Philadelphia History

So far, the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets have met up 6 times, with New York leading the season series, 5-2. Through 6 games, the series’ over-under record is 3-3, with the average run total sitting at 6.84 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 2.43 runs. Dating back to last season, Philadelphia picked up 10 wins compared to 9, taking the season series. In these 19 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 8-11. Last year, the Mets and Phillies 6.84 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 2.11 runs per contest.

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Betting Trends

  • NY Mets is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
  • NY Mets is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia’s last 7 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia’s last 10 games

New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

In this matchup, I like the Mets to pick up the win on the moneyline. Between the two starters, I see New York having the advantage with Chris Bassitt on the mound. However, the Mets and Phillies have been involved in some close games this year, leading me to stick to the moneyline.

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