Milwaukee Brewers at NY Mets Recommended Bet

Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets
Date: Thursday, June 29th, 7:10 ET
Location: Citi Field
TV: SNY
Money Line: Brewers +156/Mets -188
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the New York Mets and the Brewers on Thursday, June 29th at Citi Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Brewers vs. Mets Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
Christian Yelich	1	LF
William Contreras	2	C
Rowdy Tellez	3	1B
Willy Adames	4	SS
Jesse Winker	5	DH
Brian Anderson	6	3B
Raimel Tapia	7	LF
Luis Urías	8	3B
Joey Wiemer	9	RF
Adrian Houser	–	SP




	Batting Order	Position
Brandon Nimmo	1	CF
Starling Marte	2	CF
Francisco Lindor	3	SS
Pete Alonso	4	1B
Daniel Vogelbach	5	DH
Tommy Pham	6	LF
Jeff McNeil	7	2B
Francisco Alvarez	8	C
Brett Baty	9	3B
Max Scherzer	–	SP




Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Milwaukee Brewers: 42-38 SU / OU 33-44 / Runline 36-44
New York Mets: 36-44 SU / OU 35-41 / Runline 30-50

The Brewers head into today’s game vs. the Mets with an overall record of 42-38. This mark has them sitting 2nd in the NL Central. Currently, they are 0.5 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 3-2 and have a road and home record of 20-20 and 22-18, respectively. Milwaukee’s overall series record sits at 12-13.

• The Brewers have covered the runline in 45.0% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.3
• The Brewers have been favored in 51.2% of their games and have runline records of 16-24 and 20-20 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Brewers have an over/under record of just 33-44.

Heading into today’s action, the Mets’ record of 36-44 has them sitting 4th in the NL East. Currently, they are 17 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 2-3 and have a road and home record of 18-27 and 18-17, respectively. New York’s overall series record sits at 8-14-4.

• The Mets have covered the runline in 37.5% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.2
• The Mets have been favored in 67.5% of their games and have runline records of 13-22 and 17-28 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Mets have an over/under record of just 35-41.

Pitching Matchup




Milwaukee will give the starting nod to Adrian Houser, entering with a record of 2-2. Houser is on a two-game streak of finishing with fewer than three earned runs allowed. So far, his ERA is 4.02, including a FIP figure of 3.95. Overall, opponents have a slugging percentage of .404 against him. Houser’s strikeout total currently sits at 25.

Lasting just one inning and giving up zero runs on two hits in his last outing, Adrian Houser will be looking to bounce back today. He ended up with a no-decision in the Brewers’ 7-1 win over the Guardians.




Across his 13 outings, Max Scherzer has a record of 7-2 and an ERA of 3.95. One thing to note is that he has given up a home run in each of his last four appearances. As he takes the mound, his WHIP sits at 1.18 with an OBP allowed of .290. Scherzer’s strikeout to walk ratio is 76/16.

Max Scherzer finished with a quality start and a win in his last appearance, as the Mets took down the Phillies by final score of 4-2. Scherzer gave up two runs and seven hits across six innings.

Brewers vs. Mets Offense Outlook

This season, the Brewers are ranked 25th in the league with an average of 4.0 runs per game. Milwaukee is ranked 15th in home runs, with a total of 86 long balls. Their overall batting average is .226, including .225 on the road and .219 at home.

Milwaukee Brewers Top Hitters On The Road




Milwaukee Brewers Top Hitters: Last Five Games




The Mets have played 81 games and are ranked 15th in the league with 4.5 runs per game. New York ranks 8th in home runs, having gone deep 97 times. Their average is .239, including .235 on the road and .224 at home.

New York Mets Team Hitting Stats




New York Mets Top Hitters: Last Five Games




Free MLB Pick

The Mets have won just three of their last ten games. They send out Max Scherzer, who hasn’t always had his best stuff this season. Case in point an April 4th game against the Brewers, who got to him for five runs in 5 1/3 innings. Milwaukee starter Adrian Houser hasn’t been consistent this season, but he has held the opposition to three or fewer runs in five of his seven starts this season. Houser has also been okay on the road, with a 3.52 ERA in four starts. The Mets are a large -184 and I think we have enough to take a shot on the Brew Crew upsetting at a really solid price. Take Milwaukee + 167