Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox Best Bet

by | Jul 5, 2022 | mlb

Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox
Date: Tuesday, July 5th, 08:10 ET
Location: Guaranteed Rate Field
TV: Bally Sports North
Money Line: Twins +123 / White Sox -133 (BetOnline)
Total Line: 9.0

STARTING PITCHING

Minnesota: Chris Archer (2-3, 3.08) Chicago: Michael Kopech (2-5, 2.78)

Twins Projected Lineup

Alex Kirilloff 1B Gio Urshela 3B Max Kepler RF Gary Sánchez C Ryan Jeffers C Jorge Polanco 2B Carlos Correa SS Luis Arraez 1B Byron Buxton CF Chris Archer P

White Sox Projected Lineup

AJ Pollock LF Leury García RF Gavin Sheets RF Yoán Moncada 3B Reese McGuire C Luis Robert CF José Abreu 1B Tim Anderson SS Andrew Vaughn 1B Michael Kopech P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Minnesota Twins: 46-37-0 SU / OU 36-41-6 / Run Line W/L 37-46-0 Chicago White Sox: 38-40-0 SU / OU 37-37-4 / Run Line W/L 37-41-0

The Chicago White Sox host the Minnesota Twins on Tuesday, July 5th at Guaranteed Rate Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 08:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Chicago as the favorite (-130), with an OU line set at 9.0.

Recent Form

Minnesota looks to keep things rolling after taking down the White Sox by the score of 6-3. On their way to the victory, the pitching staff gave up 3 runs on 8 hits. The Twins benefited from an offense that generated 6 runs on 8 hits. This victory came despite being the betting underdog, getting 120.0 on the moneyline. In the game, the Twins and White Sox combined to match the over-under betting line of 9.0 runs. At 36-41-6, Minnesota has combined to stay below the over-under betting lines in over half of their games.

The Twins come into this game with a 3-2 record over their last 5 contests. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of +1. Minnesota comes into the game struggling on offense, averaging 3.4 runs per game over their last 5. This figure is down from their season average of 4.46. So far, Minnesota has won over half of their 26 series played, going 14-8-4.

Chicago will look to move on from a 3-run loss to the Twins, falling by the score of 6-3. In the game, the team’s pitching staff allowed a total of 8 hits, leading to 6 runs. With their 8 hits, the White Sox could only plate 3 runners. Chicago came away with a loss, despite being favored on the moneyline (-141.0). For the season, the team has been favored in 44 games, winning at a rate of 55%. With an over-under line set at 9.0, the White Sox and Twins combined to match this total. The White Sox now have a .500 over-under record of 37-37-4.

Across their last 5 contests, the White Sox are above .500, going 3-2. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +6. Chicago has benefited from strong pitching, as their offense has slipped in their last 5 games, averaging just 4.6 runs per game. Their overall average sits at 4.24. Chicago has a below .500 series record of just 11-12-3.

Pitching Matchup

Minnesota will roll with Chris Archer (2-3) as their starter. Through 15 appearances, Archer has an ERA of just 3.08 while averaging 4.07 innings per appearance. Hits have been hard to come by against the right-hander, as his batting average allowed is just 0.208. Home runs have been a concern for Archer as he is allowing 1.18 per 9 innings. This season, he has struck out 18.0 of the batters he has faced. This has led to a per-game average of 3.13. In his previous outings, walks have been an issue, as Archer is averaging 4.4 free passes per outing.

Chicago will roll with Michael Kopech (2-5) as their starter. Through 14 appearances, Kopech has an ERA of just 2.78 while averaging 4.86 innings per appearance. Hits have been hard to come by against the right-hander, as his batting average allowed is just 0.165. This year Kopech is allowing just 0.66 home runs per 9 innings pitched. Overall, Michael Kopech has struck out 23.0% of the batters he has faced. On average, he averages 4.5 K’s per game. Command has been a problem for Kopech, as he is giving up 4.1 walks per outing.

Minnesota vs Chicago History

For the season, the Minnesota Twins and Chicago White Sox will be playing their 5th game of the season. Minnesota has the lead in the series at 4-0. The over-under record in this series sits at 2-1. The average run total in these games is 10.21 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 3.25 runs. Dating back to last season, Chicago picked up 13 wins compared to 6, taking the season series. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 11-7, with the average run total being 10.21 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 4.0 runs per game.

Betting Trends

  • Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
  • Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox’s last 5 games at home
  • Chi White Sox is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox Prediction

Heading into Tuesday’s matchup between Minnesota and Chicago, the White Sox have the slight edge on the moneyline. Even though Chris Archer has only given up 3 runs across his last 3 starts, he has failed to work past the 5th inning in any of his 15 starts. On the other side, Michael Kopech when into June with an ERA of just 1.94, since then this has bumped up to 2.78. I like the Twins to pull off the upset.

Free MLB Pick: Twins Moneyline

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