Minnesota Twins vs Houston Astros Runline Pick

Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros
Date: Wednesday, May 31st, 8:10 ET
Location: Minute Maid Park
TV: SNSW
Money Line: Twins +153/Astros -182
Total Line: 8

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Houston Astros and the Twins on Wednesday, May 31st at Minute Maid Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Twins vs. Astros Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
Joey Gallo	1	RF
Carlos Correa	2	SS
Byron Buxton	3	DH
Alex Kirilloff	4	1B
Kyle Farmer	5	SS
Edouard Julien	6	2B
Willi Castro	7	SS
Christian Vázquez	8	C
Michael A. Taylor	9	CF
Louie Varland	–	SP




	Batting Order	Position
Jose Altuve	1	2B
Alex Bregman	2	3B
Yordan Alvarez	3	LF
Kyle Tucker	4	RF
José Abreu	5	1B
Jeremy Peña	6	SS
Corey Julks	7	LF
Jake Meyers	8	CF
Martín Maldonado	9	C
Hunter Brown	–	SP




Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Minnesota Twins: 28-27 SU / OU 23-28 / Runline 29-26
Houston Astros: 32-22 SU / OU 26-27 / Runline 28-26

Even though the Twins are in first place in the AL Central, they have gone just 2-3 over their last five games. Minnesota’s overall record currently sits at 28-27, including going 12-15 on the road and 16-12 at home. Their series record stands at 7-9.

• The Twins have covered the runline in 52.7% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.7
• The Twins have been favored in 61.8% of their games and have runline records of 14-14 and 15-12 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Twins have an over/under record of just 23-28.

With an overall record of 32-22, the Astros are in 2nd place in the AL West, trailing by three games. Over their last ten games, they are above .500 at 7-3. On the road, the Astros have a mark of 17-10 while going 15-12 at home. Their overall series mark stands at 9-7.

• The Astros have covered the runline in 51.9% of their games and have an average run margin of 1.0
• The Astros have been favored in 72.2% of their games and have runline records of 12-15 and 16-11 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Astros have an over/under record of just 26-27.

Pitching Matchup




Today will be Louie Varland’s 7th appearance this season and he has an overall record of 2-1. His current ERA stands at 4.24 and OBP allowed of .299. So far, he struckout 34 batters and has a WHIP of 1.24. On the road, his ERA is 5.27 compared to 3.42 at home.

In the 3-1 defeat against the Blue Jays in his previous start, Louie Varland was tagged with the loss after giving up three runs across six innings of work.




Hunter Brown has gone at least six innings in two straight games and has a record of 5-1. Through 10 appearances, his ERA is 3.12 along with a WHIP of 1.20. So far, he has K/BB ratio of 66/18 and slugging percentage allowed of .352. This year, opponents have put together a batting average of .239 vs. him.

A quality start and a win were added to Hunter Brown’s record in his previous outing against the Athletics. The Astros went on to win by a score of 5-2. Brown allowed two runs and four hits during seven innings.

Twins vs. Astros Offense Outlook

So far this season, the Twins are one of the top home run hitting teams in baseball, having hit a total of 74 home runs (7th). Overall, Minnesota is averaging 4.5 runs per contest and have a collective batting average of .232. At home, the Twins have a slugging percentage of .355 compared to .428 at home.

Minnesota Twins Team Hitting Stats




Minnesota Twins Top Hitters: Last Five Games




The Astros have played 54 games and have an average of 4.5 runs per game, which puts them 20th in the league. Houston has hit 56 home runs (21st). Their batting average comes in at .244, while hitting .247 on the road and .235 at home.

Houston Astros Top Bats




Houston Astros Top Hitters: Last Five Games




Free MLB Pick

The Astros have won four of their last five games, scoring five or more runs in each game. Hunter Green gets the ball for Houston, and he’s been solid from the get-go, going 7-1 and the team 9-3 in his 12 career starts. The money line is too much for me to play straight-up, but I feel confident that with their current offensive form and Hunter Green starting followed by one of the best bullpens in MLB that they can increase the margin tonight. Take Houston -1.5 run +113.