MLB Picks: Braves vs. Mets 5/2/22

by | Last updated May 2, 2022 | mlb

Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets
Date: Monday, May 2nd, 7:10 ET
Location: Citi Field
Money Line: Braves -115 / Mets -115 (Get the best MLB Lines)
Total Line: 7

Starting Pitching

Atlanta: Max Fried (2-2, 3.0)
New York: Chris Bassitt (3-1, 2.25)


Atlanta Braves: 10-13-0 SU / OU 11-11-1 / Run Line W/L 9-14-0
New York Mets: 16-7-0 SU / OU 9-11-3 / Run Line W/L 15-8-0

Braves Projected Lineup

CF Guillermo Heredia
RF Travis Demeritte
C Travis d’Arnaud
CF Adam Duvall
SS Dansby Swanson
3B Austin Riley
LF Marcell Ozuna
2B Ozzie Albies
1B Matt Olson
P Max Fried

Mets Projected Lineup

LF Mark Canha
2B Jeff McNeil
3B Eduardo Escobar
2B Robinson Canó
C James McCann
SS Francisco Lindor
1B Pete Alonso
CF Brandon Nimmo
RF Starling Marte
P Chris Bassitt

The New York Mets host the Atlanta Braves on Monday, May 2nd at Citi Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 7:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Atlanta as the favorite (-115), with an OU line set at 7.

Recent Form

The Braves will look to bounce back from a tough loss to Texas by the score of 7-3. This defeat came despite being favored at -145.0. Through 19 games as the favorite, the team has won at a rate of 47.0%. On their way to giving up 7 runs, the Atlanta pitching staff allowed a total of 11 hits. Offensively, the team generated a total of 6 hits of their own. Together, the Braves and Texas combined to surpass the over-under betting line set at 9.0 runs. With this result, Atlanta now has a .500 over-under record at 11-11-1.

The Braves will be hoping to pick up a win in today’s matchup, as they have gone just 2-3 over their last 5 games. In this rough stretch of games, the team’s run differential comes in at -2. In their last 5 contests, Atlanta is averaging 3.6 runs per game, right in line with their season average of 3.87. Atlanta’s overall series record is just 1-4-2.

The New York Mets are hoping for a repeat of their last game, as they took down Philadelphia by a score of 10-6. In the game, New York was able to take care of business as they were the favorites at -185.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 20 games, winning at a rate of 75.0%. Offensively, New York came up with 15 hits, while the team’s pitching staff allowed 8 hits, leading to 6 runs. In terms of the over-under, the Mets and Philadelphia combined to surpass the line of 6.5 runs. So far, New York has an over-under record of just 9-11-3.

In their last 5 games, the Mets have put together a record of 3-2. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at 2. Offensively, New York’s lineup has been steady at 4.4 runs per game over their last 5 contests. For the season, the team comes in with a per-game average of 4.70. On the season, New York has won more than half of their series, going 7-0-0.

Pitching Matchup

For the Braves, Max Fried gets the start. So far, he has put together a record of 2-2. To date, Fried has an ERA of 3.0 while lasting an average of 6.0 innings per appearance. Teams are hitting 0.233 against him and are averaging 0.38 home runs per 9 innings. Up to this point, Fried’s has a strikeout percentage of 22.3% and a per 9 average of 8.0. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 0.25 walks per contest.

For the Mets, Chris Bassitt gets the start. So far, he has put together a record of 3-1. Heading into his matchup vs Atlanta, Bassitt has a strong ERA, sitting at just 2.25. This has come while averaging 6.0 innings per appearance. On the season, opposing team’s have put together a batting average of 0.179 against Bassitt. On average, opponents are averaging 0.75 home runs against the right-hander. A strength of Chris Bassitt’s game is his ability to generate swings and misses, striking out batters at a rate of 28.0%. Throughout the season, his strong command has led to an average of just 1.75 walks per contest.

Atlanta vs New York History

Today’s matchup between the Atlanta Braves and New York Mets will be their first meeting of the season. Going back to last year, Atlanta won the season series, 10 games to 9. In these 18 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 7-11, with the average scoring differential sitting at 3.47 runs. Last year, the Braves and Mets combined to average 7.68 runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • Braves are 22-8 in their last 30 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Braves are 19-7 in their last 26 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League East.
  • Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Atlanta Braves at New York Mets Prediction

In a matchup of two NL East teams, look for Max Fried and the Braves to take game 1 of the series as even though the Mets have been hot, they have just the 19th rated slugging percentage against lefties.

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