MLB Picks: Giants vs. Dodgers 5/4/22

by | Last updated May 4, 2022 | mlb

San Francisco Giants vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Date: Wednesday, May 4th, 10:10 ET
Location: Dodger Stadium
Money Line: Giants +139 / Dodgers -151
Total Line: 7.5


San Francisco: Alex Wood (2-1, 4.19)
Los Angeles: Tony Gonsolin (1-0, 1.59)

Giants Projected Lineup

CF Austin Slater
3B Jason Vosler
2B Thairo Estrada
P Luis Gonzalez
C Joey Bart
3B Wilmer Flores
SS Brandon Crawford
LF Joc Pederson
RF Darin Ruf

Dodgers Projected Lineup

LF Chris Taylor
CF Cody Bellinger
1B Max Muncy
3B Justin Turner
2B Gavin Lux
1B Freddie Freeman
C Will Smith
RF Mookie Betts
SS Trea Turner


San Francisco Giants: 14-9-0 SU / OU 10-12-1 / Run Line W/L 12-11-0
Los Angeles Dodgers: 15-7-0 SU / OU 6-15-1 / Run Line W/L 15-7-0The Los Angeles Dodgers host the San Francisco Giants on Wednesday, May 4th at Dodger Stadium. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 10:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Los Angeles as the favorite (-151), with an OU line set at 8.5.

Recent Form

San Francisco heads into today’s action, looking to rebound from a 3-1 loss to the LA Dodgers. Even in the loss, the pitching staff gave up just 3 runs while allowing 5 hits. With their 6 hits, the Giants could only muster 1 run. The loss came as San Francisco was the betting underdogs, getting 126.0. Together, the Giants and LA Dodgers stayed below the OU line set at 7.0 runs. So far, San Francisco has been a good candidate to fall below the betting lines, as their over-under record sits at just 10-12-1.

In their last 5 games, the Giants are below .500, at 1-4. In this rough stretch of games, the team’s run differential comes in at -13. A key reason for San Francisco’s recent struggles is an offense averaging just 3.8 runs per game over their last 5 contests, compared to a season average of 4.78. So far, San Francisco has won over half of their 9 series played, going 5-3-1.

Los Angeles is coming off a 2 run win over the SF Giants (3-1). For the game, the pitching staff held the SF Giants to 1 on 6 hits. Los Angeles picked up the win while being favored at -136.0. So far, the team has won 68.0% of the games in which they were favored. With this result, Dodgers and Giants combined to fall below the over-under line of 7.0 runs. Now, Los Angeles had an OU mark of 6-15-1.

In their last 5 games, the Dodgers have put together a record of 3-2. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at 3. Los Angeles has benefited from strong pitching, as their offense has slipped in their last 5 games, averaging just 3.2 runs per game compared to their season average of 4.77. On the season, Los Angeles has won more than half of their series, going 6-2-0.

Pitching Matchup

For the Giants, Alex Wood gets the start. So far, he has put together a record of 2-1. To date, Wood has an ERA of 4.19 while lasting an average of 4.78 innings per appearance. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.273. In addition to a high a batting average allowed, opposing batters have been able to drive the ball with power against Wood, averaging 1.4 homers per 9 innings pitched. Up to this point, Wood’s has a strikeout percentage of 22.6% and a per 9 average of 9.0. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 1.25 walks per contest.

For the Dodgers, Tony Gonsolin gets the start. So far, he has put together a record of 1-0. Heading into his matchup vs San Francisco, Gonsolin has a strong ERA, sitting at just 1.59. This has come while averaging 4.25 innings per appearance. On the season, opposing team’s have put together a batting average of 0.194 against Gonsolin. Heading into today’s action, Tony Gonsolin is averaging 7.0 K’s per 9 innings. Throughout the season, walks have been an issue, as he is giving up 2.0 free passes per outing.

San Francisco vs Los Angeles History

So far, the Los Angeles Dodgers and San Francisco Giants have met up 1 time, with Los Angeles winning the season series 1-0. Through 1 game, the series’ over-under record is 0-1, with the average run total sitting at 7.75 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 2.0 runs. When looking back to last season, San Francisco and Los Angeles split the season series, with each team picking up 12 wins. In these 23 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 11-12. .

Betting Trends

  • San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Dodgers’s last 7 games
  • LA Dodgers is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home

San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction

Given that San Francisco comes into this game struggling at the plate, I like the Dodgers to pick up another win against their NL West Division rival. Up to this point, Alex Wood has yet to get comfortable on the mound. And, a matchup against the Dodgers is not an ideal recipe to get on track. I like LA on the run line.

Free Pick:

LAD -1.5

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