Nationals vs. Phillies Recommended Bet 7/2/23

Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Date: Sunday, July 2nd, 1:35 ET
Location: Citizens Bank Park
TV: NSPPH
Money Line: Nationals +205/Phillies -249
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Nationals on Sunday, July 2nd at Citizens Bank Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Nationals vs. Phillies Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
Lane Thomas	1	RF
Luis García	2	2B
Jeimer Candelario	3	3B
Joey Meneses	4	DH
Stone Garrett	5	RF
Dominic Smith	6	1B
Riley Adams	7	C
Derek Hill	8	CF
CJ Abrams	9	SS
Trevor Williams	–	SP




	Batting Order	Position
Kyle Schwarber	1	LF
Trea Turner	2	SS
Nick Castellanos	3	RF
Bryce Harper	4	DH
J.T. Realmuto	5	C
Bryson Stott	6	2B
Alec Bohm	7	3B
Brandon Marsh	8	CF
Kody Clemens	9	3B
Ranger Suárez	–	SP




Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Washington Nationals: 33-49 SU / OU 39-41 / Runline 47-35
Philadelphia Phillies: 44-38 SU / OU 32-44 / Runline 35-47

The Nationals head into today’s game vs. the Phillies with an overall record of 33-49. This mark has them sitting 5th in the NL East. Currently, they are 22 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 3-2 and have a road and home record of 20-22 and 13-27, respectively. Washington’s overall series record sits at 8-17-2.

• The Nationals have covered the runline in 57.3% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.9
• The Nationals have been favored in 3.7% of their games and have runline records of 17-23 and 30-12 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Nationals have an over/under record of just 39-41.

With an overall record of 44-38, the Phillies are in 3rd place in the NL East, trailing by 11 games. Over their last ten games, they are above .500 at 6-4. On the road, the Phillies have a mark of 22-23 while going 22-15 at home. Their overall series mark stands at 15-9-2.

• The Phillies have covered the runline in 42.7% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.1
• The Phillies have been favored in 63.4% of their games and have runline records of 14-23 and 21-24 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Phillies have an over/under record of just 32-44.

Pitching Matchup




Starter Trevor Williams comes in with an overall record of 4-4 for the Nationals. Having made 16 appearances, his ERA is 4.28 and he has a K/9 figure of 0.8. Additionally, he has a FIP of 5.34 and an OBP of .321.

Trevor Williams finished with a no-decision in his last outing against the Mariners. He allowed three runs on eight hits over four innings. The Nationals went on to lose the game by a score of 8-4.




Across nine appearances, Ranger Suárez has a slugging percentage allowed of .368 and enters with a WHIP of 1.20. His overall record is 2-2 on an ERA of 3.18. For the season, he has a total of 50 K’s, and is averaging 1.0 strikeouts per nine innings. Suárez’s record on the road is 2-1 and 0-1 at home. This includes an ERA of 2.39 (road) and 7.50 (home), respectively.

The last time Ranger Suárez took to the mound, he secured a quality start and a win for his team, who won by a final score of 5-1 against the Cubs. Suárez gave up one run and four hits across 7 1/3 innings.

Nationals vs. Phillies Offense Outlook

Washington enters the game ranked 24th in homers, with a total of 66 home runs. Their collective batting average is .261, which places them 6th in the league. Their OPS ranks 16th on the road and 20th at home.

Washington Nationals Top Hitters vs. Lefties




Washington Nationals Top Hitters: Last Five Games




Currently, Philadelphia is ranked 14th in the league for runs scored, with an average of 4.5 runs per game. They have hit a total of 90 home runs, which puts them 16th in baseball. The team’s current batting average of .259 is ranked 8th in the league. Their batting average is 8th on the road and 13th at home.

Philadelphia Phillies Top Bats




Philadelphia Phillies Top Hitters: Last Five Games




Free MLB Pick

Phillies starter Ranger Suarez has been pitching lights out over the past month. He’s allowed ONE run or less in five straight games (4 earned runs over 33.1 innings), including beating these same Nationals on June 4th, when he allowed only one run in seven innings.

The Phils are 5-1 in their last six games, including last nights blowout of Washington, in which they scored 19 runs.

Nats pitcher Trevor Williams is a 31-year-old retread who had a 5+ ERA in June. It’s probable that Philadelphia wins this game by multiple runs, so I’ll be betting Philly on the runline at -1.5 -120.