New York Mets vs. Kansas City Royals Expert Total Pick
Date: Tuesday, August 1st, 8:10 ET
Location: Kauffman Stadium
TV: BSKC
Money Line: Mets -154/Royals +129
Total Line: 9.5
Betting Preview
Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Kansas City Royals and the Mets on Tuesday, August 1st at Kauffman Stadium. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.
Betting Odds
| ML | RL | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYM | -154 | -1.5 | O 9.5 (-109) |
| KC | +129 | +1.5 | U 9.5 (-112) |
Mets vs. Royals Projected Lineup
| Batting Order | Position | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 1 | CF |
| Tommy Pham | 2 | LF |
| Francisco Lindor | 3 | SS |
| Pete Alonso | 4 | 1B |
| Jeff McNeil | 5 | 2B |
| Daniel Vogelbach | 6 | DH |
| Francisco Alvarez | 7 | C |
| Brett Baty | 8 | 3B |
| DJ Stewart | 9 | RF |
| José Quintana | – | SP |
| Batting Order | Position | |
|---|---|---|
| Maikel Garcia | 1 | 3B |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 2 | SS |
| MJ Melendez | 3 | RF |
| Salvador Perez | 4 | C |
| Matt Duffy | 5 | 1B |
| Edward Olivares | 6 | DH |
| Michael Massey | 7 | 2B |
| Drew Waters | 8 | CF |
| Dairon Blanco | 9 | LF |
| Zack Greinke | – | SP |
Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record
New York Mets: 50-55 SU / OU 42-57 / Runline 40-65
The Mets head into today’s game vs. the Royals with an overall record of 50-55. This mark has them sitting 4th in the NL East. Currently, they are 17.5 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 3-2 and have a road and home record of 24-32 and 26-23, respectively. New York’s overall series record sits at 11-18-5.
- The Mets have covered the runline in 38.1% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.1
- The Mets have been favored in 66.7% of their games and have runline records of 19-30 and 21-35 at home and on the road, respectively
- So far, the Mets have an over/under record of just 42-57.
As they take on the Mets, the Royals have an overall record of 32-75 and are currently last in the AL Central. However, they have rattled off three straight wins. At home, Kansas City has a mark of 18-36 compared to 14-39 on the road. Their series record sits at 5-27-2.
- The Royals have covered the runline in three straight games and have a season-long run margin of -1.6.
- The Royals have been favored in 12.1% of their games and have runline records of 21-33 and 20-33 at home and on the road, respectively
- So far, the Royals have an over/under record of just 49-56.
Pitching Matchup
| Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| José Quintana | 2 | 2 | 11 | 0-2 | 3.27 | 1.36 | 0 |
Today will be José Quintana’s 3rd appearance this season, and he has an overall record of 0-2. His current ERA stands at 3.27 and OBP allowed of .326. So far, he struckout eight batters and has a WHIP of 1.36. On the road, his ERA is 3.00 compared to 3.60 at home.
In the 3-1 defeat against the Yankees in his previous start, José Quintana was tagged with the loss after giving up three runs across six innings of work.
| Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zack Greinke | 20 | 20 | 101 | 1-11 | 5.49 | 1.28 | 20 |
Zack Greinke has an overall record of 1-11, and will get the start for the Royals. With 20 appearances, his ERA currently stands at 5.49, while his K/9 figure is 5.84. Additionally, he has a FIP of 5.07 and an OBP of .308.
Greinke is coming off an outing in which he gave up four earned runs and four hits in five innings of action. Kansas City lost the game by a score of 5-1 to the Guardians.
Mets vs. Royals Offense Outlook
With 106 games under their belt, the Mets are ranked 17th in the league at 4.4 runs per game. New York has gone deep 133 times, ranking them 10th in home runs. Their overall batting average is .238, .236 on the road, and .222 at home.
New York Mets Team Hitting Stats
| Team | Games | Runs | HR | BA | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | 106 | 4.4 (17th) | 133 (10th) | .238 (16th) | .319 (10th) | .319 (10th) |
New York Mets Top Hitters: Last Five Games
| Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso | .291 | 4 | 3 | 2 | .667 |
| Francisco Lindor | .375 | 6 | 4 | 2 | .812 |
| Jeff McNeil | .333 | 5 | 2 | 0 | .458 |
| Mark Vientos | .250 | 2 | 1 | 1 | .750 |
| Mark Canha | .417 | 5 | 1 | 0 | .500 |
The Royals have played 108 games so far and are ranked 25th in the league with an average of 3.8 runs per game. In terms of home runs, they are 22nd (97) and their overall batting average stands at .235. This includes a BA of .220 on the road and .232 at home.
Kansas City Royals Top Bats
| BA | OBP | SLG | RBI | HR | SB | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. | .263 | .301 | .465 | 60 | 18 | 29 |
| Salvador Perez | .247 | .289 | .430 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| MJ Melendez | .217 | .292 | .352 | 35 | 8 | 5 |
Kansas City Royals Top Hitters: Last Five Games
| Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. | .617 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1.217 |
| Kyle Isbel | .525 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1.000 |
| Maikel Garcia | .250 | 3 | 3 | 0 | .500 |
| Drew Waters | .250 | 3 | 3 | 0 | .417 |
| Michael Massey | .133 | 2 | 1 | 1 | .333 |
Free MLB Pick
Zack Greinke has an ERA of over 7.5 ERA the last two months. At age 39, this guy is washed. It doesn’t get any better when they make a call to the bullpen either, as the pen has an ERA of 5.11.
The KC offense has come alive lately and has scored eight runs or more in two of their last three games.
The Mets have scored five runs or more in each of their last three games and Pete Alonso is getting hot.
I’m betting the OVER 9.5 runs.
MLB Baseball Picks
MLB Betting Guide
New to betting on baseball? We've got you covered! Our comprehensive how to bet on baseball article explains all the different types of wagers offered at the sportsbooks including money lines, over/unders, run lines, parlays and more! Also get tips and strategies to increase your odds of beating the bookies!