Orioles vs. Red Sox Moneyline Bet

by | Last updated May 29, 2022 | mlb

Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Sunday, May 29th, 01:35 ET

Location: Fenway Park


Money Line: Orioles +144 / Red Sox -175 (BetNow – Grab a 100% bonus up to $500!)

Total Line: 10.0


Baltimore: Bruce Zimmermann (3-3, 3.38)
Boston: Nick Pivetta (3-4, 4.25)

Orioles Projected Lineup

Ramon Urias 3B
Rougned Odor 2B
Trey Mancini 1B
Anthony Santander LF
Adley Rutschman C
Jorge Mateo SS
Ryan Mountcastle 1B
Cedric Mullins CF
Austin Hays RF
Bruce Zimmermann P

Red Sox Projected Lineup

Alex Verdugo LF
Bobby Dalbec 1B
Trevor Story 2B
Christian Arroyo 1B
Christian Vázquez C
Rafael Devers 3B
J.D. Martinez LF
Xander Bogaerts SS
Enrique Hernández CF
Nick Pivetta P


Baltimore Orioles: 20-28-0 SU / OU 18-29-1 / Run Line W/L 28-20-0
Boston Red Sox: 22-25-0 SU / OU 19-25-3 / Run Line W/L 25-22-0

The Boston Red Sox host the Baltimore Orioles on Sunday, May 29th at Fenway Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 01:35 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Boston as the favorite (-175), with an OU line set at 10.0.

Recent Form

Baltimore looks to keep things rolling after taking down the Boston by the score of 4-2. Overall, the team’s pitching staff limited the Boston to 2 runs on 9 hits. The Orioles benefited from an offense that generated 4 runs on 7 hits. Baltimore picked up the win, despite getting 140.0 on the moneyline. n Combined, the Orioles and Boston fell short of the over-under betting line of 10.0 runs. So far, Baltimore has been a good candidate to fall below the betting lines, as their over-under record sits at just 18-29-1.

In their last 5 games, the Orioles are below .500, at 2-3. Even with this record, their scoring differential during this time is 1. However, the team’s offense isn’t to blame, as they are averaging 5.0 runs per game compared to their season average of 3.71. Baltimore’s overall series record is just 7-7-1.

In Boston’s last outing, they fell by a score of 4-2 to the Orioles. Even in the loss, the pitching staff allowed just 4 runs on 7 hits. At the plate, the Red Sox only came through for 2 runs on 9 hits. Leading into the game, Boston was the betting favorite at -152.0. So far, the team has won 50.0% of the games in which they were favored. With this result, the Red Sox and the Orioles combined to fall below the over-under line of 10.0 runs. This result comes as no surprise, as the team’s over-under record is just 19-25-3.

The Red Sox come into today’s game looking to turn things around, as they are just 2-3 over their last 5 games. Despite this record, the team still has a positive run differential of +3 (last 5). Their recent record comes while the offense has picked up its play, averaging 6.4 runs over their last 5 game, compared to their overall figure of 4.72. Boston has a below .500 series record of just 5-8-2.

Pitching Matchup

Bruce Zimmermann gets the start for the Orioles, with an overall record of 3-3. To date, Zimmermann has an ERA of 3.38 while lasting an average of 5.64 innings per appearance. Opposing teams have hit the ball well against the right-hander, with a batting average of 0.246. So far, Zimmermann has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 0.4 home runs per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Bruce Zimmermann has a strong strikeout percentage of 28%, including a per-game average of 6.37. Throughout the season, Zimmermann has avoided walking batters, allowing just 1.99 per contest.

Boston will roll with Nick Pivetta (3-4) as their starter. So far, Pivetta has put together an ERA of 4.25. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.36 innings. Through 9 outings, opposing teams have combined for a batting average of 0.221. Despite a strong batting average allowed, Pivetta is prone to giving up home runs, averaging 1.12 homers per 9 innings pitched. Overall, he is averaging 5.11 per game, on a K rate of 23.0%. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 2.96 walks per outing.

Baltimore vs Boston History

For the season, Baltimore Orioles and Boston Red Sox will be playing their 6th game of the season. So far, Baltimore is leading the season series, 4-2. The over-under record in this series sits at 2-4. The average run total in these games is 10.11 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 2.5 runs. Dating back to last season, the Boston picked up 13 wins compared to 6, taking the season series. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 8-11, with the average run total being 10.11 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 4.63 runs per game.

Betting Trends

  • Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
  • Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston’s last 9 games when playing Baltimore
  • Boston is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Baltimore

Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox Prediction

Heading into today’s AL East showdown between Baltimore and Boston, I recommend taking the Red Sox to pick up the win. Boston has won 3 straight games with Nick Pivetta on the mound. And although Bruce Zimmerman still has a respectable ERA of 3.78, this has spiked after two straight poor outings. I like the Red Sox on the moneyline.

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