Orioles vs. White Sox Runline Bet 6/26/22

by | Jun 26, 2022 | mlb

Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago White Sox
Date: Sunday, June 26th, 02:10 ET
Location: Guaranteed Rate Field
TV: MASN
Money Line: Orioles +165 / White Sox -200 (Find Dimeline Sportsbooks)
Total Line: 8.5

STARTING PITCHING

Baltimore: Jordan Lyles (4-6, 4.92)
Chicago: Dylan Cease (5-3, 2.68)

Orioles Projected Lineup

Rougned Odor 2B
Tyler Nevin 3B
Ryan Mountcastle 1B
Anthony Santander LF
Adley Rutschman C
Jorge Mateo SS
Austin Hays RF
Cedric Mullins CF
Trey Mancini RF
Jordan Lyles P

White Sox Projected Lineup

Gavin Sheets RF
Seby Zavala C
AJ Pollock LF
Jake Burger 3B
Josh Harrison 2B
Luis Robert CF
José Abreu 1B
Tim Anderson SS
Andrew Vaughn 1B
Dylan Cease P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Baltimore Orioles: 34-39-0 SU / OU 33-38-2 / Run Line W/L 46-27-0
Chicago White Sox: 33-37-0 SU / OU 34-33-3 / Run Line W/L 32-38-0

The Chicago White Sox host the Baltimore Orioles on Sunday, June 26th at Guaranteed Rate Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 02:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Chicago as the favorite (-200), with an OU line set at 8.5.

Recent Form

In Baltimore’s last game vs the White Sox, the Orioles came away with a 6-2 win. On their way to the victory, the pitching staff gave up 2 runs on 6 hits. The Orioles benefited from an offense that generated 6 runs on 9 hits. This victory came despite being the betting underdog, getting 175.0 on the moneyline. Together, the Orioles and White Sox stayed below the over-under line set at 9.0 runs. With this result, Baltimore’s over-under record dropped even further, moving to just 33-38-2.

The Orioles come into this game with a 4-1 record of their last 5 contests. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of +15. In their last 5 contests, Baltimore is averaging 4.2 runs per game, right in line with their season average of 4.10. So far, Baltimore has won over half of their 23 series played, going 10-9-4.

Chicago will look to move on from a 4 run loss to the Orioles, falling by the score of 6-2. In the game, the team’s pitching staff allowed a total of 9 hits, leading to 6 runs. With their 6 hits, the White Sox could only plate 2 runners. Leading into the game, Chicago was the betting favorite at -190.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 42 games, winning at a rate of 55%. With this result, the White Sox and Orioles combined to fall below the over-under line of 9.0 runs. Even still, Chicago games have still gone over the betting total over half of the time, at 34-33-3.

In their last 5 contests, the White Sox have just 1 win, going 1-4. During this time, the team has a run differential of -14. The team’s offense is partly to blame for their recent slump, as they have averaged just 3.0 runs over their last 5 game. Chicago has a below .500 series record of just 10-10-3.

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Pitching Matchup

The Baltimore Orioles will send Jordan Lyles to the mound with an overall record of 4-6. To date, Lyles has an ERA of 4.92 while lasting an average of 5.59 innings per appearance. Opposing teams have hit the ball well against the right-hander, with a batting average of 0.288. Opposing batters have been able to drive the ball with power against Lyles, averaging 1.15 homers per 9 innings pitched. In terms of strikeouts, Jordan Lyles has a strong strikeout percentage of 19.0%, including a per-game average of 4.71. In his previous outings, walks have been an issue, as Lyles is averaging 3.09 free passes per outing.

Chicago will roll with Dylan Cease (5-3) as their starter. In his previous outings, Cease has lasted an average of 5.29 innings, putting together an ERA of just 2.68. So far, batters are hitting just 0.213 against him. Not only does Cease have a strong batting average allowed, but he has also avoided giving up home runs. In his previous outings, opponents are averaging just 0.61 home runs allowed per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Dylan Cease has a strong K% of 34.0%, including a per game average of 7.71. Cease comes into the game hoping to improve his walk numbers, as he is averaging 4.38 free passes per outing.

Baltimore vs Chicago History

For the season, the Baltimore Orioles and Chicago White Sox will be playing their 4th game of the season. So far, Baltimore is leading the season series, 3-0. Through 3 games, the series’ over-under record is 0-3, with the average run total sitting at 8.71 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 3.67 runs. Chicago won last year’s head to head series, grabbing 7 wins to 0. In these 7 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 4-3. Last year, the Orioles and White Sox averaged 8.71 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 4.14 runs per contest.

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Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore’s last 5 games
  • Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox’s last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore
  • Chi White Sox is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Baltimore

Baltimore Orioles at Chicago White Sox Prediction

In Sunday’s AL matchup between Baltimore and Chicago, the White Sox are the heavy favorite with Dylan Cease on the mound. Even though Cease isn’t in need of much run support, I expect a good showing at the plate for the White Sox. I like Chicago on the runline.

Free MLB Pick:White Sox -1.5 Runline

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