Padres vs. Giants Total Play 8/29/22

by | Aug 29, 2022 | mlb

San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants
Date: Monday August 29th, 09:45 ET
Location: Oracle Park
TV: Bally Sports San Diego
Money Line: Padres +122 / Giants -145
Total Line: 7.0

STARTING PITCHING

San Diego: Mike Clevinger (4-5, 3.59)
San Francisco: Carlos Rodón (12-6, 2.81)

Padres Projected Lineup

Austin Nola C
Wil Myers 1B
Josh Bell 1B
Juan Soto RF
Jake Cronenworth 2B
Manny Machado 3B
Ha-seong Kim SS
Brandon Drury 1B
Jurickson Profar LF
Mike Clevinger P

Giants Projected Lineup

Thairo Estrada 2B
Mike Yastrzemski RF
Evan Longoria 3B
LaMonte Wade Jr 1B
Brandon Crawford SS
Joey Bart C
Wilmer Flores 1B
Joc Pederson OF
Tommy La Stella 3B
Carlos Rodón P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

San Diego Padres: 70-59-0 SU / OU 58-67-4 / Run Line W/L 57-72-0
San Francisco Giants: 61-65-0 SU / OU 60-59-7 / Run Line W/L 55-71-0

The San Francisco Giants host the San Diego Padres on Monday August 29th at Oracle Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 09:45 ET. The MLB Odds Board places San Francisco as the favorite (-145), with an OU line set at 7.0.

Recent Form

The Padres come into this matchup having suffered a 8 run loss to the Kansas City (15-7). In the loss, San Diego’s pitchers gave up 15 runs on 18 hits. Offensively, they finished with 7 runs on 10 hits. This defeat came despite being favored at -200.0. So far, the team has been the favorite in 96 of their games, winning at a rate of 55%. With the over-under line set at 9.5 runs, the Padres and Kansas City combined to go over this total. On the season, San Diego’s over-under record is 58-67-4.

In their last 5 games, the Padres are below .500, at 2-3. This mark has come on an average run margin of just -8. Compared to their overall average of 4.42 runs per game, the team’s offense is playing well. Over their last 5 contests, they have bumped this figure up to 5.0. So far, San Diego has won over half of their 40 series played, going 20-14-6.

San Francisco is coming off a 5 run loss to the Twins. Dropping the game 8-3. In the game, the team’s pitching staff allowed a total of 11 hits, leading to 8 runs. With their 10 hits, the Giants could only plate 3 runners. San Francisco dropped the game despite being favored at -110.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 93 games, winning at a rate of 56%. The Giants and Twins went over the run total line set at 9.0 runs. Overall, the team has gone over the betting line in over half of their games, going 60-59-7.

In their last 5 contests, the Giants have just 1 win, going 1-4. This recent slump is backed by a scoring margin of -18 over their last 5 games. If San Francisco is going to pick up their play, they need to improve their offensive performance. Over their last 5 contests, they are averaging just 1.8 runs per game, compared to a season average of 4.41. San Francisco has a below .500 series record of just 17-17-7.

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Pitching Matchup

San Diego will roll with Mike Clevinger (4-5) as their starter. To date, Clevinger has an ERA of 3.59 while lasting an average of 5.01 innings per appearance. Through 16 outings, opposing teams have combined for a batting average of 0.217. Home runs have been a concern for Clevinger as he is allowing 1.24 per 9 innings. Per game, Mike Clevinger is averaging 4.38, on a strikeout percentage of 21.0%. Command has been a problem for Clevinger, as he is giving up 2.91 walks per outing.

The San Francisco Giants will send Carlos Rodón to the mound with an overall record of 12-6. Heading into the game, Rodón has appeared in 25 contests, posting an ERA of just 2.81. On average, he pitches 5.88 innings per appearance. Hits have been hard to come by against the right-hander, as his batting average allowed is just 0.206. Home runs have not been an issue for Rodón, as he is giving up just 0.55 per 9. Overall, Carlos Rodón has struck out 32.0% of the batters he has faced. On average, he averages 7.56 K’s per game. Command has been a problem for Rodón, as he is giving up 2.5 walks per outing.

San Diego vs San Francisco History

For the season, the San Diego Padres and San Francisco Giants will be playing their 14th game of the season. San Diego has the lead in the series at 8-5. The over-under record in this series sits at 7-6. The average run total in these games is 8.84 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 4.08 runs. Dating back to last season, the San Francisco picked up 11 wins compared to 8, taking the season series. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 12-7, with the average run total being 8.84 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 3.47 runs per game.

Betting Trends

  • Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Giants are 5-2 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Giants are 5-2 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.

San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants Prediction

Leading into Monday night’s NL West showdown between San Diego and San Francisco, the over-under line is set at 7 runs. With Mike Clevinger and Carlos Rodon on the mound, look for this to be a low-scoring game. San Francisco hasn’t scored more than 3 runs in over a week of games, while the Padres offense continues to be up and down. I recommend taking the under.

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