Padres vs. Phillies Betting Predictions 7/15/23

by | Last updated Jul 15, 2023 | mlb

San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Date: Saturday, July 15th, 7:05 ET
Location: Citizens Bank Park
TV: NBC10
Money Line: Padres +125/Phillies -145
Total Line: 10

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Padres on Saturday, July 15th at Citizens Bank Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
SD +125 +1.5 O 10 (-115)
PHI -145 -1.5 U 10 (-105)

Padres vs. Phillies Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Ha-Seong Kim 1 SS
Fernando Tatis Jr. 2 RF
Juan Soto 3 RF
Manny Machado 4 3B
Xander Bogaerts 5 SS
Jake Cronenworth 6 2B
Gary Sánchez 7 C
Matt Carpenter 8 DH
Trent Grisham 9 CF
Ryan Weathers SP


Batting Order Position
Kyle Schwarber 1 LF
Trea Turner 2 SS
Nick Castellanos 3 RF
Bryce Harper 4 DH
J.T. Realmuto 5 C
Alec Bohm 6 1B
Bryson Stott 7 2B
Brandon Marsh 8 CF
Edmundo Sosa 9 3B
Ranger Suárez SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

San Diego Padres: 44-47 SU / OU 35-49 / Runline 44-47
Philadelphia Phillies: 48-42 SU / OU 36-47 / Runline 38-52

On a record of 44-47, the Padres are 4th in the NL West. Currently, they are 8.5 games out of the division lead. Against the Phillies, they will be seeking their 4th straight win. On the road, they have a record of 19-24 while going 25-23 at home. San Diego’s overall series record is 11-14-4.

  • The Padres have covered the runline in three straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.5.
  • The Padres have been favored in 75.8% of their games and have runline records of 23-25 and 21-22 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Padres have an over/under record of just 35-49.

Heading into their game vs. the Padres, the Phillies have a record of 48-42 and have dropped three straight games. In the NL East, they are in 3rd place and have an overall series record of 16-11-2. At home, they have gone 22-17 and 26-25 on the road.

  • The Phillies have four straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.0.
  • The Phillies have been favored in 60.0% of their games and have runline records of 14-25 and 24-27 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Phillies have an over/under record of just 36-47.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Ryan Weathers 11 9 40 1-5 6.08 1.60 7

Across 11 appearances, Ryan Weathers has a slugging percentage allowed of .497 and enters with a WHIP of 1.60. His overall record is 1-5 on an ERA of 6.08. For the season, he has a total of 27 K’s, and is averaging 0.7 strikeouts per nine innings. Weathers’ record on the road is 1-2 and 0-3 at home. This includes an ERA of 3.41 (road) and 15.15 (home), respectively.

His last time on the mound, the Padres fell to the Guardians by a score of 8-6. In the game, he allowed six earned runs on seven hits in what turned out to be a short outing.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Ranger Suárez 11 11 62 2-4 3.77 1.34 6

Across his 11 outings, Ranger Suárez has a record of 2-4 and ERA of 3.77. One thing to note, is that he has given up a home run in each of his last two appearances. As he takes the mound, his WHIP sits at 1.34 with an OBP allowed of .312. Suárez’s strikeout to walk ratio is 59/22.

Suárez is coming off an outing in which he gave up three earned runs and eight hits in 5 2/3 innings of action. Philadelphia lost the game by a score of 5-3 to the Marlins.

Padres vs. Phillies Offense Outlook

This season, the Padres are ranked 15th in the league with an average of 4.5 runs per game. San Diego is ranked 10th in home runs, with a total of 113 long balls. Their overall batting average is .235, including .222 on the road and .238 at home.

San Diego Padres Top Hitters vs. Lefties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Ha-Seong Kim .269 5 .490 .368
Manny Machado .338 3 .512 .387
Jake Cronenworth .213 2 .361 .277
Fernando Tatis Jr. .293 5 .587 .411
Juan Soto .208 3 .330 .313

San Diego Padres Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Manny Machado .287 5 5 4 1.050
Trent Grisham .396 5 2 0 .625
Gary Sánchez .271 4 4 1 .646
Fernando Tatis Jr. .287 5 3 1 .500
Juan Soto .125 2 2 1 .375

On offense, Philadelphia is 18th in the league with an average of 4.5 runs per game. When looking at their home run numbers, they are 15th, having hit 100 homers. Their overall batting average is .258, including .249 on the road and .247 at home.

Philadelphia Phillies Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Phillies 91 4.5 (18th) 100 (15th) .258 (7th) .320 (12th) .320 (12th)

Philadelphia Phillies Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Alec Bohm .283 5 4 0 .400
J.T. Realmuto .292 4 3 2 .729
Cristian Pache .333 3 1 1 1.000
Trea Turner .180 4 1 1 .330
Bryson Stott .233 4 2 0 .283

Free MLB Pick

Both starters have decent back numbers against today’s opponent. Although the Phillies have just 11 at bats versus Weathers. That said, Ranger Suarez has been terrible at home with a 5.92 ERA in five starts and Ryan Weathers has a 4.57 ERA on the road this season. The wind is blowing out. Take the Over 10 runs. Bet your baseball wagers for FREE this week by taking advantage of a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $75 to $300 by using bonus code PREDICT100 at MyBookie Sportsbook!

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