Padres vs. Tigers Total Prediction 7/25/22

by | Last updated Jul 25, 2022 | mlb

San Diego Padres vs Detroit Tigers

Date: Monday July 25th, 07:10 ET

Location: Comerica Park

TV: Bally Sports Detroit

Money Line: Padres -155 / Tigers +130 (Bovada – If you like to live bet, this is the sportsbook for you!)

Total Line: 8.5


San Diego: Sean Manaea (5-4, 4.11)
Detroit: Drew Hutchison (1-4, 4.46)

Padres Projected Lineup

Ha-seong Kim SS
Nomar Mazara RF
Jorge Alfaro C
Eric Hosmer 1B
Manny Machado 3B
Trent Grisham CF
Luke Voit 1B
Jurickson Profar LF
Jake Cronenworth 2B
Sean Manaea P

Tigers Projected Lineup

Jeimer Candelario 3B
Harold Castro 1B
Eric Haase C
Jonathan Schoop 2B
Victor Reyes RF
Robbie Grossman RF
Miguel Cabrera 1B
Riley Greene CF
Javier Báez SS
Drew Hutchison P


San Diego Padres: 54-43-0 SU / OU 43-52-2 / Run Line W/L 46-51-0
Detroit Tigers: 38-58-0 SU / OU 37-55-4 / Run Line W/L 44-52-0

The Detroit Tigers host the San Diego Padres on Monday, July 25th at Comerica Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places San Diego as the favorite (-155), with an OU line set at 8.5.


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Recent Form

The Padres will look to bounce back from a tough loss to the Mets by the score of 8-5. On their way to giving up 8 runs, the Padres staff allowed 12 hits. On offense, the Padres’ 13 hits and 5 runs ended up not being enough to pull out the win. The loss came as San Diego was the betting underdog, getting 120.0 on the moneyline. This game went over the posted over-under line of 8.0 runs. The Padres now have an over-under record of 43-52-2.

The Padres come into this game with a 3-2 record over their last 5 contests. Even with this record, in these games, their scoring differential is just 0. San Diego has put together this record, despite averaging just 3.2 runs per game, compared to their season average of 4.32. So far, San Diego has won over half of their 30 series played, going 15-10-5.

Detroit will be looking to move on from a tough loss to the Twins by the score of 9-1. On their way to giving up 9 runs, the Tigers staff allowed 12 hits. With their 3 hits, the Tigers could only plate 1 runner. Leading into Detroit’s loss, they were the underdogs, getting 145.0 on the moneyline. In their 75 games as the underdog, their straight-up win percentage sits at 37.0%. In terms of the over-under, the Tigers and Twins combined to surpass the line of 8.5 runs. Against the run total, Detroit is just 37-55-4.

In their last 5 contests, the Tigers have just 1 win, going 1-4. During this time, the team has a run differential of -22. Even with their recent struggles, the offense has been steady, averaging 2.4 runs per game. This is right in line with their season average of 3.13. Detroit has a below .500 series record of just 7-18-6.

Pitching Matchup

The San Diego Padres will send Sean Manaea to the mound with an overall record of 5-4. So far, Manaea has put together an ERA of 4.11. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.89 innings. So far, Manaea has a batting average allowed of 0.229. Home runs have been an issue for Manaea, as he is allowing an average of 1.26 per 9 innings pitched. On the season, Sean Manaea has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 24.0%. This includes a per game average of 5.88 K’s per game. In his previous outings, walks have been an issue, as Manaea is averaging 3.4 free passes per outing.

Detroit will roll with Drew Hutchison (1-4) as their starter. To date, Hutchison has an ERA of 4.46 while lasting an average of 2.67 innings per appearance. Hutchison’s opponent batting average currently sits at 0.242. Throughout the season, Hutchison has done a good job at limiting home runs, allowing 0.67 per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Hutchison is averaging just 1.67 K’s per game. So far, he has struck out 14% of the batters he has faced. Command has been a problem for Hutchison, as he is giving up 4.24 walks per outing.

San Diego vs Detroit History

Today’s matchup between the San Diego Padres and Detroit Tigers will be their first meeting of the season.

More Picks: Get our Pittsburgh at Chicago Cubs Best Bet 7/25/22 >>>

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego’s last 5 games
  • San Diego is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit’s last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit’s last 5 games at home

San Diego Padres at Detroit Tigers Prediction

Heading into Monday’s interleague matchup between San Diego and Detroit, the over-under betting line is set at 8.5 runs. However, I recommend taking the under, as the Tigers figure to struggle offensively vs Padres starter Sean Manaea. Over their last 3 games, Detroit’s offense has managed to score a total of just 5 runs. Look for this trend to continue on Monday.

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