Phillies vs. Blue Jays Odds & Total Bet

by | Jul 12, 2022 | mlb

Philadelphia Phillies vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Tuesday, July 12th, 07:07 ET

Location: Rogers Centre

TV: NBCSP

Money Line: Phillies OFF / Blue Jays OFF (Get the best MLB lines >>> You have to take this stuff seriously if you ever want to have a shot of winning!)

Total Line: OFF

STARTING PITCHING

Philadelphia: Andrew Bellatti (1-3, 3.14)
Toronto: Jose Berrios (6-4, 5.44)

Phillies Projected Lineup

Alec Bohm 3B
Bryson Stott SS
J.T. Realmuto C
Nick Castellanos RF
Didi Gregorius SS
Matt Vierling CF
Darick Hall 1B
Kyle Schwarber LF
Rhys Hoskins 1B
Andrew Bellatti P

Blue Jays Projected Lineup

Matt Chapman 3B
Santiago Espinal 3B
Teoscar Hern√°ndez RF
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF
Gabriel Moreno C
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B
Alejandro Kirk C
George Springer CF
Bo Bichette SS
Jose Berrios P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Philadelphia Phillies: 46-41-0 SU / OU 45-40-2 / Run Line W/L 45-42-0
Toronto Blue Jays: 45-42-0 SU / OU 47-39-1 / Run Line W/L 36-51-0

The Toronto Blue Jays host the Philadelphia Phillies on Tuesday, July 12th at Rogers Centre. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:07 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Toronto as the favorite (OFF), with an OU line set at OFF.

Recent Form

The Phillies come into this matchup having suffered a 5 run loss to the Cardinals (6-1). In the loss, Philadelphia’s pitchers gave up 6 runs on 9 hits. On offense, the Phillies finished with 1 run on 8 hits. This defeat came despite being favored at -130.0. Through 58 games as the favorite, the team has found the win column at a rate of 55%. This matchup remained below the over-under line set at 7.5 runs. Even after this game, Philadelphia’s overall over-under record sits at 45-40-2.

The Phillies come into this game with a 3-2 record over their last 5 contests. Even with this record, in these games, their scoring differential is just -1. Philadelphia comes into the game struggling on offense, averaging 2.4 runs per game over their last 5. This figure is down from their season average of 4.71. Philadelphia’s overall series record is just 12-13-2.

In their last game, the Blue Jays suffered a 1 run loss to the Mariners by a score of 6-5. On their way to giving up 6 runs, the Blue Jays staff allowed 7 hits. At the plate, the Blue Jays scored 5 times on 10 hits. This loss came as no surprise, as Toronto came into the game as the underdog, getting 105.0. So far, the team has gone into 18 games as the underdog, still finding the win column at a rate of 44.0%. In terms of the over-under, the Blue Jays and Mariners combined to surpass the line of 8.0 runs. Overall, the team has gone over the betting line in over half of their games, going 47-39-1.

In their last 5 contests, the Blue Jays have just 1 win, going 1-4. During this time, the team has a run differential of -8. The team’s offense is partly to blame for their recent slump, as they have averaged just 2.8 runs over their last 5 game. On the season, Toronto has won more than half of their series, going 13-11-3.

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Pitching Matchup

The Philadelphia Phillies will send Andrew Bellatti to the mound with an overall record of 1-3. Through 32 appearances, Bellatti has an ERA of just 3.14 while averaging 0.88 innings per appearance. So far, batters are hitting just 0.217 against him. Despite a strong batting average allowed, Bellatti is prone to giving up home runs, averaging 1.6 homers per 9 innings pitched. Up to this point, Bellatti has a strikeout percentage of just 34.0% and a per-game average of 1.28. Throughout the season, Bellatti has avoided walking batters, allowing just 3.77 per contest.

The Toronto Blue Jays will send Jose Berrios to the mound with a record of 6-4 and an EREA of 5.44. So far, Berrios has struck out 73 batters compared to 23 issued walks. In his last 2 outings, the right-hander has bounced back from a pair of rough starts. However, despite giving up just 1 run across 6 innings vs Oakland, Berrios did not factor into the decision.

Philadelphia vs Toronto History

Today’s game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Toronto Blue Jays is their first matchup of the year. Dating back to last season, the Toronto picked up 2 wins compared to 1, taking the season series. The average scoring margin in these games was 3.33 with an over under record of 1-2. Last year, the two teams combined to average 9.33 runs per game.

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia’s last 7 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto’s last 7 games at home
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto’s last 5 games when playing Philadelphia

Philadelphia Phillies at Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

Heading into Tuesday’s Interleague showdown between Philadelphia and Toronto, I expect a lot of scoring between the two teams. Even though Jose Berrios has been better of late, he is easily prone to have a bad outing. On the other side, the Phillies figure to be working deep into their bullpen as starter Andrew Bellatti has not pitched more than 1 inning all season. I recommend taking the over.

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