Phillies vs. Braves Best Bet 5/23/22

by | May 23, 2022 | mlb

Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Monday, May 23rd, 07:20 ET

Location: Truist Park

TV: NBCSP

Money Line: Phillies -110 / Braves -110 (Bovada - 50% bonus and rebates on ALL your wagers!)

Total Line: 8.0

STARTING PITCHING

Philadelphia: Zack Wheeler (2-3, 3.49)
Atlanta: Tucker Davidson (1-0, 5.87)

Phillies Projected Lineup

Kyle Schwarber LF
Johan Camargo SS
Jean Segura 2B
Nick Castellanos RF
J.T. Realmuto C
Alec Bohm 3B
Roman Quinn OF
Bryce Harper RF
Rhys Hoskins 1B
Zack Wheeler P

Braves Projected Lineup

Dansby Swanson SS
Adam Duvall CF
Ozzie Albies 2B
Ronald Acuña Jr. RF
Travis d’Arnaud C
Austin Riley 3B
Travis Demeritte RF
Marcell Ozuna LF
Matt Olson 1B
Tucker Davidson P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Philadelphia Phillies: 19-22-0 SU / OU 20-19-2 / Run Line W/L 20-21-0
Atlanta Braves: 19-22-0 SU / OU 22-16-3 / Run Line W/L 20-21-0

The Atlanta Braves host the Philadelphia Phillies on Monday, May 23rd at Truist Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:20 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Atlanta as the favorite (-110), with an OU line set at 8.0.

Recent Form

In the Philadelphia Phillies’ last game, they picked up a 4-3 win over the LA Dodgers. Overall, the team’s pitching staff limited the LA Dodgers to 3 runs on 6 hits. The Phillies benefited from an offense that generated 4 runs on 8 hits. This victory came despite being the betting underdog, getting 124.0 on the moneyline. This matchup remained below the over-under line set at 9.5 runs. Philadelphia games have still surpassed the over-under line more than half of the time, at (20-19-2).

Over the Phillies’ last 5 contests, they have a record of just 2-3. This mark has come on an average run margin of just -4. A key reason for Philadelphia’s recent struggles is an offense averaging just 2.4 runs per game over their last 5 contests, compared to a season average of 4.49. Philadelphia’s overall series record is just 4-9-0.

The Braves will look to bounce back from a tight 4-3 loss to the Marlins. Despite the losing effort, the team’s pitchers held the Marlins to 4 runs and 8 hits. The Braves’ offense ended the game with just 3 runs on 6 hits. Leading into Atlanta’s loss, they were at 100.0 on the moneyline. In their 8 games as the underdog, their straight-up win percentage sits at 25.0%. With an over-under line set at 7.0, the Braves and the Marlins combined to match this total. On the season, Atlanta’s overall over-under record sits at (22-16-3).

Across their last 5 contests, the Braves are above .500, going 3-2. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of 4 (last 5). Atlanta has benefited from strong pitching, as their offense has slipped in their last 5 games, averaging just 4.2 runs per game. Their overall average sits at 4.07. Atlanta has a below .500 series record of just 3-6-4.

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Pitching Matchup

Philadelphia will roll with Zack Wheeler (2-3) as their starter. To date, Wheeler has an ERA of 3.49 while lasting an average of 5.46 innings per appearance. Wheeler comes into the game with a batting average allowed of 0.234. So far, Wheeler has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 0.47 home runs per 9 innings. On the season, Zack Wheeler has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 26.0%, while averaging 5.85 K’s per game. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 2.33 walks per outing.

Tucker Davidson gets the start for the Braves, with an overall record of 1-0. To date, Davidson has an ERA of 5.87 while lasting an average of 3.6 innings per appearance. Opposing teams have hit the ball well against the left-hander, with a batting average of 0.258. So far, Davidson has yet to give up a home run. Up to this point, Davidson has a strikeout percentage of just 14.00% and a per game average of 2.5. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 5.87 walks per contest.

Philadelphia vs Atlanta History

Today’s game between Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves is their first matchup of the year. Last year, Atlanta won the season series 10-9. In these 19 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 9-10, with the average scoring differential sitting at 3.53 runs. Between the games, the average run total was 8.37 runs per game.

More Picks: Get our MLB Pick on the Toronto at St. Louis 5/23/22 Game >>>

Betting Trends

  • Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia’s last 8 games on the road
  • Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
  • Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves Prediction

Heading into today’s game, the Phillies and Braves are tied in the NL East standings with identical 19-22 records. In this matchup, I recommend taking the Phillies with Zach Wheeler on the mound. Look for the Philadelphia offense to bat around on Tucker Davidson, as the team is one of the best hitting lineups vs left-handed pitching.

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