Phillies vs. Brewers Odds & ML Bet 6/7/22

by | Jun 7, 2022 | mlb

Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Tuesday June 7th, 08:10 ET

Location: Guaranteed Rate Field

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Money Line: Phillies -130 / Brewers +108 (Everygame - Check out their 200% bonus on your deposit of only $25!)

Total Line: 8.5

STARTING PITCHING

Philadelphia: Ranger Suarez (4-3, 4.69)
Milwaukee: Jason Alexander (0-0, 2.57)

Phillies Projected Lineup

Mickey Moniak CF
Didi Gregorius SS
J.T. Realmuto C
Alec Bohm 3B
Nick Castellanos RF
Bryson Stott 2B
Bryce Harper RF
Kyle Schwarber LF
Rhys Hoskins 1B
Ranger Suarez P

Brewers Projected Lineup

Lorenzo Cain CF
Kolten Wong 2B
Tyrone Taylor CF
Jace Peterson 3B
Victor Caratini C
Christian Yelich LF
Rowdy Tellez 1B
Andrew McCutchen RF
Luis Urías SS
Jason Alexander P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Philadelphia Phillies: 35-19-0 SU / OU 24-27-3 / Run Line W/L 31-23-0
Milwaukee Brewers: 25-27-0 SU / OU 24-26-2 / Run Line W/L 23-29-0

The Milwaukee Brewers host the Philadelphia Phillies on Tuesday, June 7th at Guaranteed Rate Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 08:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Los Angeles as the favorite (-130), with an OU line set at 8.5.

Recent Form

In their last game, the Phillies suffered a 1 run loss to the Angels by a score of 5-4. On their way to giving up 5 runs, the Phillies staff allowed 8 hits. On offense, the Phillies finished with 4 runs on 9 hits. This defeat came despite being favored at -175.0. So far, the team has been the favorite in 53 of their games, winning at a rate of 64.0%. When looking at the over-under result, the Phillies and Angels matched the line set at 9.0 runs. With the teams matching the betting line, Philadelphia’s over under record sits at 24-27-3, Philadelphia.

In their last 5 games, the Phillies are below .500, at 2-3. This mark has come on an average run margin of just -3. Philadelphia’s offense is in the middle of a cold streak, as their offensive production has dipped to just 4.0 runs per game over their last 5 contests. So far, Philadelphia has won over half of their 17 series played, going 11-5-1.

The Brewers will look to add another win, as in their last game, they defeated the Padres by a score of 6-5. Milwaukee’s pitching staff gave up 9 hits, leading to 5 Padres runs. In the victory, the Brewers came up with 8 hits and 6 runs. Heading into action, Milwaukee was the favorite, at -110.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 33 games, winning at a rate of 57.9%. The Brewers and Padres went over the run total line set at 7.0 runs. So far, Milwaukee has an over-under record of just 24-26-2.

The Brewers come into today’s game looking to turn things around, as they are just 2-3 over their last 5 games. During this time, the team has a run differential of -10. In their 5 most recent contests, the team in scoring at a rate of 3.6 runs per game, similar to their season-long average of 3.65. On the season, Milwaukee has won more than half of their series, going 8-6-3.

Pitching Matchup

The Philadelphia Phillies will send Ranger Suarez to the mound with an overall record of 4-3. To date, Suarez has an ERA of 4.69 while lasting an average of 4.8 innings per appearance. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.277. So far, Suarez has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 1.12 home runs per 9 innings. Suarez is in the bottom half of the league in strikeouts, averaging just 4.2 K’s per game. This includes a strikeout percentage of 19.0%. Command has been a problem for Suarez, as he is giving up 4.12 walks per outing.

For the Brewers, starting pitcher Jason Alexander has yet to factor into a decision. In his previous outing, Alexander lasted 7.0 innings, putting together an ERA of just 2.57. In that start, Chicago put together a batting average of 0.28. Up to this point, Alexander has a strikeout percentage of just 11.0% and a per game average of 3.0.

Philadelphia vs Milwaukee History

Today’s matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and Milwaukee Brewers will be their 3rd meeting of the season. So far, the 2 out of the 3 meetings fell below the over-under betting line. Each of these games was set at 7.5 runs. The Brewers have won 2 of the 3 games straight up.

Betting Trends

  1. Phillies are 8-20 in their last 28 games as an underdog.
  2. Phillies are 4-10 in their last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  3. Brewers are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. National League East.
  4. Brewers are 70-29 in their last 99 vs. a team with a losing record.

Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

Heading into Tuesday’s matchup between Milwaukee and Philadelphia, the Phillies are the slight favorites to win on the road. However, Philadelphia has lost 3 straight games started by Ranger Suarez. Even though the Brewers have been struggling on offense, I expect them to get to Suarez early, as his WHIP has climbed to 1.56.

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