Phillies vs. Mets Moneyline Bet 5/27/22

by | May 27, 2022 | mlb

Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets
Date: Friday, May 27th, 07:10 ET
Location: Citi Field
TV: WPIX
Money Line: Phillies +105 / Mets -125 (Bet MLB Games with Bitcoin)
Total Line: 8.0

STARTING PITCHING

Philadelphia: Zach Eflin (1-3, 4.14)
New York: Carlos Carrasco (4-1, 3.3)

Phillies Projected Lineup

Odubel Herrera CF
Jean Segura 2B
J.T. Realmuto C
Rhys Hoskins 1B
Nick Castellanos RF
Alec Bohm 3B
Johan Camargo 3B
Bryce Harper RF
Kyle Schwarber LF
Zach Eflin P

Mets Projected Lineup

Eduardo Escobar 3B
Jeff McNeil LF
Mark Canha LF
Dominic Smith 1B
Starling Marte RF
Tomás Nido C
Francisco Lindor SS
Pete Alonso 1B
Brandon Nimmo CF
Carlos Carrasco P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Philadelphia Phillies: 21-24-0 SU / OU 23-20-2 / Run Line W/L 23-22-0
New York Mets: 29-17-0 SU / OU 22-21-3 / Run Line W/L 26-20-0

The New York Mets host the Philadelphia Phillies on Friday, May 27th at Citi Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places New York as the favorite (-125), with an OU line set at 8.0.

Recent Form

In their most recent game, Philadelphia picked up a 3 run win over Atlanta (4-1). On their way to the victory, the pitching staff gave up 1 run on 5 hits. The Phillies benefited from an offense that generated 4 runs on 6 hits. Heading into this game, Philadelphia was the betting favorite, at -120.0. Through 27 games as the favorite, the team has found the win column at a rate of 48.0%. Combined, the Phillies and Atlanta fell short of the over-under betting line of 8.0 runs. However, for the season, Philadelphia still has an overall over-under record of (23-20-2).

The Phillies are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 3-2 over their last 5 games. During this time, they have an average scoring differential 3. Philadelphia’s offense heads into action averaging 4.8 runs per game in their last 5 contests. Similar to their season average of 4.53. Philadelphia’s overall series record is just 4-9-1.

New York is coming off a 6 run loss to Giants. Dropping the game 9-3. In the game, the team’s pitching staff allowed a total of 8 hits, leading to 9 runs. At the plate, the Mets only came through for 3 runs on 5 hits. Leading into New York’s loss, they were the underdogs, getting 102.0 on the moneyline. So far, the team has gone into 6 games as the underdog, still finding the win column at a rate of 50.0%. The Mets and Giants went over the run total line set at 9.0 runs. For the season, the team’s over-under record is (22-21-3).

The Mets come into today’s game looking to turn things around, as they are just 2-3 over their last 5 games. This recent slump is backed by a scoring margin of -3 over their last 5 games. Despite their struggles in the win column, the offense has averaged 6.6 runs over their last 5 games. This is an improvement over their season-long mark of 4.83. On the season, New York has won more than half of their series, going 11-2-1.

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Pitching Matchup

Philadelphia will roll with Zach Eflin (1-3) as their starter. So far, Eflin has put together an ERA of 4.14. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.29 innings. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.252. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below-average rate against Eflin, as he is allowing just 0.73 per 9 innings. Eflin is in the bottom half of the league in strikeouts, averaging just 5.0 K’s per game. This includes a strikeout percentage of 23.0%. Throughout the season, Eflin has avoided walking batters, allowing just 1.7 per contest.

New York will roll with Carlos Carrasco (4-1) as their starter. So far, Carrasco has put together an ERA of 3.3. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.76 innings. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.251. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below average rate against Carrasco, as he is allowing just 0.59 per 9 innings. Overall, he is averaging 4.875 per game, on a K rate of 21.0%. Throughout the season, Carrasco has avoided walking batters, allowing just 1.36 per contest.

Philadelphia vs New York History

Today’s matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets will be their 9th meeting of the season. Currently, New York is winning the season series 6-3. The over-under record in this series sits at 3-5-1. The average run total in these games is 6.84 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 2.56 runs. Last season, Philadelphia picked up the series win, 10 games to 9. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 8-11, with the average run total being 6.84 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 2.11 runs per contest.

More Picks: Get Dan’s Yankees at Rays 5/27/22 Game Analysis & Free Pick >>>

Betting Trends

  • Philadelphia is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia’s last 8 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets’s last 5 games
  • NY Mets is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Philadelphia

Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets Prediction

Heading into Friday’s NL East showdown between New York and Philadelphia, the Mets are the slight betting favorites on the moneyline. Look for New York to pick up the win, as I expect them to have another strong offensive showing against Zach Eflin. In Eflin’s last time out vs the Mets, he gave up 5 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings.

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