Phillies vs Mets Odds & Picks

by | Last updated May 28, 2022 | mlb

Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets
Date: Saturday, May 28th, 07:15 ET
Location: Citi Field
Money Line: Phillies +105 / Mets -125 (Get better lines >>>)
Total Line: 8.5


Philadelphia: Zack Wheeler (3-3, 3.38)
New York: Taijuan Walker (2-0, 2.7)

Phillies Projected Lineup

Odubel Herrera CF
Jean Segura 2B
J.T. Realmuto C
Nick Castellanos RF
Rhys Hoskins 1B
Alec Bohm 3B
Johan Camargo 3B
Bryce Harper RF
Kyle Schwarber LF
Zack Wheeler P

Mets Projected Lineup

Eduardo Escobar 3B
Jeff McNeil LF
Mark Canha LF
Starling Marte RF
Dominic Smith 1B
Tomás Nido C
Francisco Lindor SS
Pete Alonso 1B
Brandon Nimmo CF
Taijuan Walker P


Philadelphia Phillies: 21-25-0 SU / OU 24-20-2 / Run Line W/L 23-23-0
New York Mets: 30-17-0 SU / OU 23-21-3 / Run Line W/L 27-20-0

The New York Mets host the Philadelphia Phillies on Saturday, May 28th at Citi Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:15 ET. The MLB Odds Board places New York as the favorite (-125), with an OU line set at 8.5.

Recent Form

In Philadelphia’s last game, they fell to the NY Mets by a score of 8-6. On their way to giving up 8 runs, the Phillies staff allowed 9 hits. On offense, the Phillies’ 9 hits and 6 runs ended up not being enough to pull out the win. Philadelphia’s loss came as the underdog, getting 161.0 on the moneyline. With the OU line set at 8.5 runs, the Phillies and NY Mets combined to go over this total. So far, Philadelphia has an above .500 OU record of (24-20-2).

Over the Phillies’ last 5 contests, they have a record of just 2-3. In this rough stretch of games, the team’s run differential comes in at 0. Despite their below .500 record, in Philadelphia’s last 5 games, they are averaging just 5.2. Their season-long average currently sits at 4.57 (9th. Philadelphia’s overall series record is just 4-10-1.

New York will look to keep things rolling in today’s game, as they most recently took down the Phillies by 2 runs 8-6. New York’s pitching staff gave up 9 hits, leading to 6 Phillies runs. In the victory, the Mets came up with 9 hits and 8 runs. In the game, New York was able to take care of business as they were the favorite at -171.0. So far, the team has won 66.0% of the games in which they were favored. In terms of the over-under, the Mets and Phillies combined to surpass the line of 8.5 runs. Overall, the team has gone over the betting line in over half of their games, going 23-21-3.

Across their last 5 contests, the Mets are above .500, going 3-2. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at 7. The Mets’ offense has elevated their play over their last 5 games, averaging 7.6 runs per game, compared to their season average of 4.89. On the season, New York has won more than half of their series, going 12-2-1.


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Pitching Matchup

The Philadelphia Phillies will send Zack Wheeler to the mound with an overall record of 3-3. So far, Wheeler has put together an ERA of 3.38. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.64 innings. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.246. So far, Wheeler has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 0.4 home runs per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Zack Wheeler has a strong strikeout percentage of 28.0%, including a per game average of 6.3. Throughout the season, Wheeler has avoided walking batters, allowing just 1.99 per contest.

The New York Mets will send Taijuan Walker to the mound with an overall record of 2-0. Currently, Walker has a strong ERA of just 2.7, while pitching an average of 5.0 innings per outing. Across his previous appearances, the right-hander has a batting average allowed of 0.232. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below-average rate against Walker, as he is allowing just 0.6 per 9 innings. Up to this point, Walker has a strikeout percentage of just 15.0% and a per game average of 3.0. Throughout the season, Walker has avoided walking batters, allowing just 2.7 per contest.

Philadelphia vs New York History

For the season, Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets will be playing their 10th game of the season. Currently, New York is winning the season series 7-3. Through 10 games, the series’ over-under record is 4-5-1, with the average run total sitting at 6.84 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 2.5 runs. Last season, Philadelphia picked up the series win, 10 games to 9. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 8-11, with the average run total being 6.84 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 2.11 runs per contest.

Betting Trends

  • Philadelphia is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia’s last 8 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets’s last 5 games
  • NY Mets is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Philadelphia

Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets Prediction

Heading into Saturday’s matchup between New York and Philadelphia, the Mets will look to once again extend their lead in the NL East. Currently, New York is 7.5 games ahead of Atlanta and 8.5 games in front of Philadelphia. In what figures to be an outstanding pitching matchup between Zack Wheeler and Taijuan Walker, look for the Mets to grab another win. I like New York on the moneyline.

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