Phillies vs. Padres Odds & Picks 6/26/22

by | Jun 26, 2022 | mlb

Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres
Date: Sunday, June 26th, 04:10 ET
Location: Petco Park
TV: NBCSP
Money Line: Phillies +122 / Padres -145 a href=”https://www.predictem.com/best-sportsbooks/mlb-dimeline/”>Find Dimeline Sportsbooks)
Total Line: 8.0

STARTING PITCHING

Philadelphia: Kyle Gibson (4-3, 4.06)
San Diego: Yu Darvish (7-3, 3.17)

Phillies Projected Lineup

Odubel Herrera CF
Alec Bohm 3B
J.T. Realmuto C
Nick Castellanos RF
Didi Gregorius SS
Bryson Stott 2B
Bryce Harper RF
Kyle Schwarber LF
Rhys Hoskins 1B
Kyle Gibson P

Padres Projected Lineup

Nomar Mazara RF
Ha-seong Kim 3B
Eric Hosmer 1B
Jorge Alfaro C
Manny Machado 3B
Trent Grisham CF
Luke Voit 1B
Jurickson Profar LF
Jake Cronenworth 2B
Yu Darvish P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Philadelphia Phillies: 38-35-0 SU / OU 40-31-2 / Run Line W/L 36-37-0
San Diego Padres: 45-29-0 SU / OU 32-40-2 / Run Line W/L 40-34-0

The San Diego Padres host the Philadelphia Phillies on Sunday, June 26th at Petco Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 04:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places San Diego as the favorite (-145), with an OU line set at 8.0.

Recent Form

In their most recent game, Philadelphia picked up a 2 run win over the Padres (4-2). Overall, the team’s pitching staff limited the Padres to 2 runs on 4 hits. The Phillies benefited from an offense that generated 4 runs on 7 hits. This victory came despite being the betting underdog, getting 120.0 on the moneyline. This matchup remained below the over-under line set at 7.5 runs. However, for the season, Philadelphia still has an overall over-under record of 40-31-2.

In their last 5 games, the Phillies are below .500, at 2-3. In this rough stretch of games, the team’s run differential comes in at -4. Philadelphia’s offense is in the middle of a cold streak, as their offensive production has dipped to just 2.4 runs per game over their last 5 contests. Philadelphia’s overall series record is just 10-12-1.

In San Diego’s last outing, they fell by a score of 4-2 to the Phillies. For the game, the pitching staff held the Phillies to 4 runs on 7 hits. The Padres offense ended the game with just 2 runs on 4 hits. San Diego came away with a loss, despite being favored on the moneyline (-130.0). So far, the team has won 62.0% of the games in which they were favored. Combined, the Padres and Phillies’ run total fell below the over-under line of 7.5 runs. Now, San Diego had an over-under record of 32-40-2.

In their last 5 games, the Padres have put together a record of 3-2. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +2. San Diego has played above .500 baseball, despite averaging just 3.6 runs in their last 5 games. This is a drop in production compared to their season average of 4.62. On the season, San Diego has won more than half of their series, going 13-7-3.

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Pitching Matchup

Kyle Gibson gets the start for the Phillies, with an overall record of 4-3. So far, Gibson has put together an ERA of 4.06. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.51 innings. Opposing teams have hit the ball well against the right-hander, with a batting average of 0.253. So far, Gibson has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 1.05 home runs per 9 innings. On the season, Kyle Gibson has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 21.0%. This includes a per game average of 4.71 K’s per game. In his previous outings, walks have been an issue, as Gibson is averaging 2.32 free passes per outing.

Yu Darvish gets the start for the Padres, with an overall record of 7-3. Through 13 appearances, Darvish has an ERA of just 3.17, while averaging 6.32 innings per appearance. Overall, opponents have a batting average of just 0.208 against the right-hander. In addition, to his strong BA allowed, he has been able to limit power, allowing just 0.66 home runs allowed per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Yu Darvish has a strong K% of 20.0%, including a per game average of 5.08. Throughout the season, Darvish has avoided walking batters, allowing just 1.86 per contest.

Philadelphia vs San Diego History

Today’s matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and San Diego Padres will be their 7th meeting of the season. So far, the teams have each won 3 times. The over-under record in this series sits at 1-5. The average run total in these games is 8.33 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 2.5 runs. Going back to last year, Philadelphia won the season series, 4 games to 2. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 2-4, with the average run total being 8.33 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 3.0 runs per contest.

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland’s last 6 games when playing Kansas City
  • Oakland is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City’s last 6 games when playing Oakland
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Kansas City’s last 10 games

Philadelphia Phillies at San Diego Padres Prediction

Heading into Sunday’s National League showdown between Philadelphia and San Diego, I give the edge to the Padres. Yu Darvish has given up just 2 runs over his last 3 outings. This includes lasting at least 7 outings in each appearance. I like the Padres on the moneyline.

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