Pittsburgh Pirates vs. LA Angels Pick, Odds, Analysis

by | Last updated Jul 23, 2023 | mlb

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Angels
Date: Sunday, July 23rd, 4:07 ET
Location: Angel Stadium of Anaheim
TV: BSW
Money Line: Pirates +103/Angels -122 (Make sure you’re betting dimelines!)
Total Line: 9.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Los Angeles Angels and the Pirates on Sunday, July 23rd at Angel Stadium of Anaheim. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
PIT +103 +1.5 O 9.5 (-107)
LAA -122 -1.5 U 9.5 (-114)

Pirates vs. Angels Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Connor Joe 1 LF
Bryan Reynolds 2 CF
Andrew McCutchen 3 DH
Carlos Santana 4 1B
Henry Davis 5 C
Nick Gonzales 6 SS
Jared Triolo 7 3B
Tucupita Marcano 8 2B
Austin Hedges 9 C
Mitch Keller SP

 

Batting Order Position
Zach Neto 1 SS
Shohei Ohtani 2 DH
Mickey Moniak 3 RF
Taylor Ward 4 LF
Mike Moustakas 5 1B
Matt Thaiss 6 C
Hunter Renfroe 7 RF
Trey Cabbage 8 RF
Luis Rengifo 9 2B
Tyler Anderson SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Pittsburgh Pirates: 43-55 SU / OU 50-44 / Runline 45-53
Los Angeles Angels: 50-49 SU / OU 49-47 / Runline 46-53

Heading into today’s action, the Pirates’ record of 43-55 has them sitting 5th in the NL Central. Currently, they are 11.5 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 2-3 and have a road and home record of 20-29 and 23-26, respectively. Pittsburgh’s overall series record sits at 10-19-2.

 

  • The Pirates have covered the runline in 45.9% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.7
  • The Pirates have been favored in 21.4% of their games and have runline records of 20-29 and 25-24 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 53% of the Pirates’ 98 games at 50-44.

The Angels head into today’s game vs. the Pirates with an overall record of 50-49. This mark has them sitting 4th in the AL West. Currently, they are eight games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 4-1 and have a road and home record of 22-26 and 28-23, respectively. Los Angeles’ overall series record sits at 14-15-2.

 

  • The Angels have covered the runline in 46.5% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.2
  • The Angels have been favored in 57.6% of their games and have runline records of 22-29 and 24-24 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 51% of the Angels’ 99 games at 49-47.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Mitch Keller 20 20 123 9-5 3.73 1.16 13

 

Mitch Keller has gone at least six innings in two straight games and has a record of 9-5. Through 20 appearances, his ERA is 3.73 along with a WHIP of 1.16. So far, he has K/BB ratio of 130/36 and slugging percentage allowed of .357. This year, opponents have put together a batting average of .225 vs. him.

The last time, Keller took the mound, he lasted six innings, as the Pirates fell to the Guardians (10-1). Individually, Keller gave up 10 hits leading to eight earned runs.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Tyler Anderson 17 16 87 4-2 5.17 1.55 10

 

Today will be Tyler Anderson’s 18th appearance this season, and he has an overall record of 4-2. His current ERA stands at 5.17 and OBP allowed of .346. So far, he struckout 73 batters and has a WHIP of 1.55. On the road, his ERA is 6.01 compared to 4.77 at home.

Pitching only three innings and giving up one run in his last outing, Tyler Anderson did factor into the decision. The Angels ultimately fell to the Astros by a score of 9-8.

Pirates vs. Angels Offense Outlook

The Pittsburgh offense comes into the game with just 89 home runs, ranking them 24th in the league. The team’s current batting average is .236, putting them 19th in all of baseball. In terms of OPS, they are 25th in the league (.694).

Pittsburgh Pirates Top Hitters vs. Lefties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Rodolfo Castro .298 6 .553 .388
Connor Joe .295 4 .516 .394
Bryan Reynolds .263 1 .368 .300
Ke’Bryan Hayes .267 3 .453 .315
Andrew McCutchen .244 4 .433 .342

 

Pittsburgh Pirates Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Henry Davis .354 5 3 2 .729
Ji Man Choi .291 2 2 1 .666
Endy Rodríguez .271 3 2 1 .583
Connor Joe .271 3 2 1 .542
Jack Suwinski .222 2 1 1 .667

 

With 151 home runs hit so far this season (3rd), the Angels are showing why they are one of the top home run hitting teams in baseball. They are averaging 5 runs per game and have a collective batting average of .255. The team’s slugging percentage is .435 at home and .431 on the road.

Los Angeles Angels Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Angels 99 5 (6th) 151 (3rd) .255 (9th) .332 (5th) .332 (5th)

 

Los Angeles Angels Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Taylor Ward .208 3 4 2 .708
Shohei Ohtani .083 1 5 0 .250
Mickey Moniak .425 7 2 1 .675
Zach Neto .383 4 4 1 .633
Luis Rengifo .250 3 1 1 .625

 

Free MLB Pick

Pirates starter Mitch Keller was rocked in his only start since the break and the extra time off may have been the biggest factor in the dismal outing. He looked good in three of his four previous starts going six or more innings and allowing one or fewer runs. Tyler Anderson is a wildcard, but he’s facing a team that has had trouble scoring since the All-Star game and he could hold his own today. Take the Under 9. Football season is coming! Find out how you can get a 125% real cash bonus AND a free half point everytime you bet your favorite team!

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