Rangers vs. Guardians Early Game Pick

by | Last updated Jun 7, 2022 | mlb

Texas Rangers vs Cleveland Guardians
Date: Tuesday June 7th, 03:10 ET
Location: Progressive Field
TV: Bally Sports Southwest
Money Line: Rangers +113 / Guardians -135
Total Line: 9.0
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Texas: Taylor Hearn (3-4, 5.48)
Cleveland: Jeffrey Springs (2-2, 1.88)

Rangers Projected Lineup

Ezequiel Duran 3B
Sam Huff 1B
Adolis Garcia CF
Kole Calhoun RF
Jonah Heim C
Eli White CF
Mitch Garver C
Marcus Semien 2B
Corey Seager SS
Taylor Hearn P

Guardians Projected Lineup

Andrés Giménez 2B
Oscar Mercado RF
Oscar Gonzalez RF
Ernie Clement 2B
Austin Hedges C
José Ramírez 3B
Owen Miller 1B
Myles Straw CF
Amed Rosario SS
Konnor Pilkington P


Texas Rangers: 25-28-0 SU / OU 22-26-5 / Run Line W/L 32-21-0
Cleveland Guardians: 24-25-0 SU / OU 25-23-1 / Run Line W/L 26-23-0

The Cleveland Guardians host the Texas Rangers on Tuesday June 7th at Progressive Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 03:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Cleveland as the favorite (-135), with an OU line set at 9.0.

Recent Form

The Rangers will look to rebound from a close, 6-5 loss to the Mariners. Texas’s pitching staff finished the game by allowing 12 hits, leading to 6 runs. On offense, the Rangers’ 9 hits and 5 runs ended up not being enough to pull out the win. Rangers suffered the loss, despite being favored at -130.0. So far, the team has been the favorite in 19 of their games, winning at a rate of 42.0%. Together, the Rangers and Mariners combined to surpass the over-under betting line set at 7.5 runs. Games involving the Rangers have stayed below the over-under line more than half of the time, at 22-26-5.

After their 5 most recent games, the Rangers have gone just 1-4. In this rough stretch of games, the team’s run differential comes in at -4. Texas’s offense is in the middle of a cold streak, as their offensive production has dipped to just 3.0 runs per game over their last 5 contests. Texas’ overall series record is just 6-9-2.

The Guardians are coming off a tight 3-2 win over the Orioles. In the win, the pitching staff allowed just 2 runs on 4 hits. With their 6 hits, the Guardians could only muster 3 runs. Heading into action, Cleveland was the favorite at -115.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 21 games, winning at a rate of 67.0%. With this result, the Guardians and Orioles combined to fall below the over-under line of 9.0 runs. Cleveland still has an above .500 over-under record at (25-23-1).

In their last 5 games, the Guardians have put together a record of 4-1. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +12. Cleveland has benefited from strong pitching, as their offense has slipped in their last 5 games, averaging just 5.0 runs per game. Their overall average sits at 4.59. Cleveland has a below .500 series record of just 6-7-4.

Pitching Matchup

Texas will roll with Taylor Hearn (3-4) as their starter. To date, Hearn has an ERA of 5.48 while lasting an average of 4.41 innings per appearance. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.29. Home runs have been an issue for Hearn, as he is allowing an average of 1.43 per 9 innings pitched. Hearn is in the bottom half of the league in strikeouts, averaging just 4.1 K’s per game. This includes a strikeout percentage of 20.0%. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 4.67 walks per outing.

Jeffrey Springs gets the start for the Guardians, with an overall record of 2-2. In his previous outings, Springs has lasted an average of 2.72, putting together an ERA of just 1.88. Hits have been hard to come by against the left-hander, as his batting average allowed is just 0.187. Despite a strong batting average allowed, Springs is prone to giving up home runs, averaging 1.18 homers per 9 innings pitched. Springs is in the bottom half of the league in strikeouts, averaging just 2.86 K’s per game. This includes a strikeout percentage of 28.0%. Throughout the season, Springs has avoided walking batters, allowing just 1.88 per contest.

Texas vs Cleveland History

Today’s matchup between the Texas Rangers and Cleveland Guardians will be their first meeting of the season. Last year, Cleveland won the season series 4-2. The average scoring margin in these games was 4.5, with an over under record of 4-1. Between the games, the average run total was 10.83 runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas’s last 6 games
  • Texas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland’s last 6 games at home

Texas Rangers at Cleveland Guardians Prediction

Leading into game 1 of the double=header between Texas and Cleveland, the Guardians are the slight favorite on the moneyline. Even though Konnor Pilkington has seen his WHIP climb to 1.59, he should be in line for a good outing vs a struggling Rangers offense. I like Cleveland on the moneyline.

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