Rangers vs. Guardians Odds & Predictions

by | Jun 6, 2022 | mlb

Texas Rangers vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Monday, June 6th, 07:10 ET

Location: Progressive Field

TV: Bally Sports Southwest

Money Line: Rangers -105 / Guardians -115 (Get better lines >>> It’ll save you money!)

Total Line: 8.5

STARTING PITCHING

Texas: Jon Gray (1-2, 4.83)
Cleveland: Cal Quantrill (2-3, 3.52)

Rangers Projected Lineup

Nate Lowe 1B
Ezequiel Duran 3B
Adolis Garcia RF
Kole Calhoun RF
Jonah Heim C
Eli White CF
Mitch Garver C
Marcus Semien 2B
Corey Seager SS
Jon Gray P

Guardians Projected Lineup

Andrés Giménez 2B
Steven Kwan LF
Josh Naylor 1B
Oscar Gonzalez RF
José Ramírez 3B
Austin Hedges C
Owen Miller 2B
Myles Straw CF
Amed Rosario SS
Cal Quantrill P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Texas Rangers: 25-28-0 SU / OU 22-26-5 / Run Line W/L 32-21-0
Cleveland Guardians: 24-25-0 SU / OU 25-23-1 / Run Line W/L 26-23-0

The Cleveland Guardians host the Texas Rangers on Monday, June 6th at Progressive Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Cleveland as the favorite (-115), with an OU line set at 8.5.

Recent Form

After suffering a 1 run loss to the Mariners (6-5), the Rangers will look to get back in the win column. In the loss, Texas’s pitchers gave up 6 runs on 12 hits. The Rangers ended the game with 9 hits of their own, leading to 5 runs. This defeat came despite being favored at -130.0. So far, the team has been the favorite in 19 of their games, winning at a rate of 42.0%. This game went over the posted over-under line of 7.5 runs. Even with this game going over the total, Texas still has an over-under record of just 22-26-5.

Over the Rangers’ last 5 contests, they have a record of just 1-4. In this rough stretch of games, the team’s run differential comes in at -4. Texas’s offense is in the middle of a cold streak, as their offensive production has dipped to just 3.0 runs per game over their last 5 contests. Texas’s overall series record is just 6-9-2.

The Guardians will look to add another win, as in their last game, they defeated the Orioles by a score of 3-2. In the win, the pitching staff allowed just 2 runs on 4 hits. The Guardians’ offense ended the game with just 3 runs on 6 hits. Heading into action, Cleveland was the favorite at -115.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 21 games, winning at a rate of 67.0%. Combined, the Guardians and Orioles’ run total fell below the over-under line of 9.0 runs. Even still, Cleveland games have still gone over the betting total over half of the time, at 25-23-1.

Across their last 5 contests, the Guardians are above .500, going 4-1. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of +12 (last 5). Cleveland has benefited from strong pitching, as their offense has slipped in their last 5 games, averaging just 5.0 runs per game. Their overall average sits at 4.59. Cleveland has a below .500 series record of just 6-7-4.

Pitching Matchup

Jon Gray gets the start for the Rangers, with an overall record of 1-2. To date, Gray has an ERA of 4.83 while lasting an average of 5.12 innings per appearance. So far, Gray has a batting average allowed of 0.23. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below-average rate against Gray, as he is allowing just 1.1 per 9 innings. Gray has accumulated a strikeout percentage of 26.0% and a per-game average of 5.5. Throughout the season, Gray has avoided walking batters, allowing just 3.29 per contest.

Cal Quantrill gets the start for the Guardians, with an overall record of 2-3. To date, Quantrill has an ERA of 3.52 while lasting an average of 5.91 innings per appearance. So far, Quantrill has a batting average allowed of 0.241. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below-average rate against Quantrill, as he is allowing just 0.51 per 9 innings. Quantrill is in the bottom half of the league in strikeouts, averaging just 3.67 K’s per game. This includes a strikeout percentage of 15.0%. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 3.19 walks per outing.

Texas vs Cleveland History

Today’s game between the Texas Rangers and Cleveland Guardians is their first matchup of the year. Dating back to last season, the Cleveland picked up 4 wins compared to 2, taking the season series. The average scoring margin in these games was 4.5, with an over under record of 4-1-1. Last year, the two teams combined to average 10.83 runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas’s last 6 games
  • Texas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland’s last 6 games at home

Texas Rangers at Cleveland Guardians Prediction

Heading into Monday’s matchup between Cleveland and Texas, the Guardians are the slight favorite to pick up the win. On the season, Cal Quantrill has the edge in ERA, but his WHIP of 1.19 is right in line with Jon Gray at 1.22. However, I see the Guardians having the edge on offense, as they are 6th in team batting average vs right-handed pitching compared to Texas at 24th. I like Cleveland on the moneyline.

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